Quiet-Silly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

578

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-03 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 50% +$6

Other

32% 100% +$22

Politics

7% 100% +$41

Sports

1% 100% +$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 26 1	2	$1.1K	721	721	+0	open	—	01-30 21:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$640	870	380	+489	open	—	06-15 17:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$527	1,077	504	+573	open	—	05-24 13:14
will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	2	$493	299	295	+4	open	—	03-20 17:26
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	2	$287	196	196	+0	open	—	03-13 07:22
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$200	217	217	+0	open	—	03-28 05:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$200	240	0	+240	open	—	05-07 16:28
btc updown 5m 1771706700	2	$164	107	106	+2	open	—	02-21 20:50
will bitcoin dip to 82k january 26 1	1	$160	282	0	+282	open	—	01-29 21:23
will bitcoin dip to 88k january 5 11	2	$156	106	106	+0	open	—	01-11 20:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	1	$150	219	0	+219	open	—	04-19 06:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$150	176	0	+176	open	—	04-04 09:40
will xrp reach 1pt5 march 2 8	3	$150	243	0	+243	open	—	03-05 06:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$142	301	150	+151	open	—	04-14 05:24
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$140	213	0	+213	open	—	03-27 17:05
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	2	$124	252	0	+252	open	—	01-14 21:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$110	0	118	-118	open	—	07-10 06:23
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	2	$108	69	69	+0	open	—	04-13 15:54
will xrp dip to 1 in march 2026	1	$108	110	0	+110	open	—	03-29 06:58
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$105	65	65	+0	open	—	01-30 21:19
btc updown 5m 1772038200	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	02-25 16:50
will xrp reach 2pt6 in january 2026	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	01-05 22:46
rusixnat fra eng 2026 03 14 fra	1	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	03-14 20:07
btc updown 15m 1770631200	1	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	02-09 10:08
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	03-15 12:24
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	03-27 17:04
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	2	$100	278	0	+278	open	—	02-25 19:42
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 26 1	1	$100	159	0	+159	open	—	01-29 06:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	04-01 15:25
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	03-15 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 07:21:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x0ea1e3…
07-28 13:35:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x09b358…
07-26 10:07:46	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x0bd589…
07-21 20:55:13	will xrp reach 1pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x7916bd…
07-19 21:29:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x732b81…
07-14 09:31:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	134	60¢	$80	0x5c31d6…
07-10 17:22:41	will xrp dip to 1 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x88d39e…
07-10 17:21:58	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x5be6be…
07-10 17:19:52	will xrp reach 1pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xea5b72…
07-10 06:23:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7361b1…
07-10 06:23:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	118	93¢	$110	0x11b056…
06-29 23:08:31	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb52875…
06-29 23:05:01	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xc7d025…
06-29 22:55:28	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9b9d76…
06-29 22:54:44	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x51dd2a…
06-26 13:45:01	will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x75720a…
06-24 21:08:13	will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x805b98…
06-15 17:05:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	163	63¢	$103	0x16581c…
06-15 17:02:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	217	63¢	$137	0xd6575d…
06-15 16:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	69	24¢	$17	0x3e79c6…
06-15 05:33:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe26911…
06-11 20:02:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	870	46¢	$400	0xfed6ed…
05-30 09:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x37a73e…
05-29 16:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc0728b…
05-29 16:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x93864f…
05-29 16:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe54849…
05-29 16:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7fdf2f…
05-29 15:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x764077…
05-24 13:14:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	268	9¢	$25	0x5d5584…
05-09 15:55:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x714486…
05-09 14:30:30	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x609efd…
05-07 16:28:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0x151005…
05-07 16:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	304	33¢	$100	0xf23119…
05-07 05:46:00	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x533211…
04-20 18:04:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x3d6056…
04-20 18:02:30	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x352e4c…
04-19 13:19:54	btc updown 5m 1776604800	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xad9337…
04-19 13:19:06	btc updown 5m 1776604500	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbd865b…
04-19 13:17:20	btc updown 5m 1776604500	Down	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0xc6ea55…
04-19 13:16:42	btc updown 5m 1776604500	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x22b816…
04-19 13:10:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x377df4…
04-19 13:09:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x87c339…
04-19 13:07:36	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6af5d6…
04-19 13:06:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0x16c1ba…
04-19 13:05:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x570914…
04-19 13:05:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe0dab1…
04-19 06:44:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x02bce7…
04-19 06:44:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x759745…
04-19 06:44:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5ac244…
04-19 06:33:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	219	69¢	$150	0xbc5e77…
04-18 15:31:38	btc updown 5m 1776526200	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x41101b…
04-18 15:31:02	btc updown 5m 1776526200	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x77d093…
04-18 15:30:32	btc updown 5m 1776526200	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x492240…
04-18 15:26:20	btc updown 5m 1776525900	Down	SELL	28	76¢	$21	0x0b883b…
04-18 15:25:32	btc updown 5m 1776525900	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x836852…
04-18 15:23:42	btc updown 5m 1776525600	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x482414…
04-18 15:20:50	btc updown 5m 1776525600	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x774f8a…
04-18 15:17:50	btc updown 5m 1776525300	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc22c11…
04-18 15:15:04	btc updown 5m 1776525000	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x55c992…
04-18 15:12:10	btc updown 5m 1776525000	Up	SELL	34	24¢	$8	0xc403f1…
04-18 15:10:54	btc updown 5m 1776525000	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x3db759…
04-18 13:26:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x7b0732…
04-17 17:34:56	btc updown 5m 1776447300	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbeb006…
04-17 17:32:38	btc updown 5m 1776447000	Down	SELL	134	4¢	$5	0x82ece5…
04-17 17:31:22	btc updown 5m 1776447000	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xff74cd…
04-17 17:30:18	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe7b3f9…
04-17 17:30:02	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa01b3b…
04-17 01:53:36	will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x196b9e…
04-16 19:12:08	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xef9e09…
04-16 19:11:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	Yes	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x78e87b…
04-16 12:43:48	btc updown 5m 1776343200	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x36ee35…
04-16 12:40:50	btc updown 5m 1776343200	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x893be1…
04-16 12:36:38	btc updown 5m 1776342900	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x325bf4…
04-16 12:35:34	btc updown 5m 1776342900	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5020e9…
04-16 12:32:30	btc updown 5m 1776342600	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9c87f1…
04-16 12:31:48	btc updown 5m 1776342600	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaa0006…
04-16 12:29:40	btc updown 5m 1776342300	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe2e5ef…
04-16 12:29:10	btc updown 5m 1776342300	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x37a731…
04-16 10:59:14	btc updown 5m 1776336900	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x2c08e8…
04-16 10:58:08	btc updown 5m 1776336900	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xcd335c…
04-16 10:56:50	btc updown 5m 1776336900	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x93460a…
04-16 10:55:00	btc updown 5m 1776336900	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0a42fd…
04-16 10:54:14	btc updown 5m 1776336600	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1f5a44…
04-16 10:51:44	btc updown 5m 1776336600	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x72414d…
04-16 10:49:58	btc updown 5m 1776336600	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfd8202…
04-16 10:49:06	btc updown 5m 1776336300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x87b7b4…
04-16 10:45:26	btc updown 5m 1776336300	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x484532…
04-16 10:43:38	btc updown 5m 1776336000	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x519e42…
04-16 10:40:58	btc updown 5m 1776336000	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9b19e1…
04-16 10:40:18	btc updown 5m 1776336000	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x11964a…
04-15 09:49:02	btc updown 5m 1776246300	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2ce7cc…
04-14 10:44:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x02f0c3…
04-14 05:27:01	will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x43c87f…
04-14 05:25:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x43032c…
04-14 05:24:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	150	25¢	$38	0xa2f61a…
04-13 15:54:39	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	69	100¢	$68	0xd86828…
04-11 06:50:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	53	70¢	$38	0xee4504…
04-10 11:57:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x197831…
04-10 11:40:31	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xcdf0a5…
04-10 11:35:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdb4a6b…