Realized P&L (7d)
-$55
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved (7d)
257
Trades (7d)
1,855
10,629 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$8.77K
$52.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$40
28 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 11-06 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
74% 38% -$388
Tech
13% 30% -$172
Politics
10% 52% +$146
Sports
3% 54% +$8
Crypto
0% 17% -$81
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +8 $7 93¢ $8 +$1 11-02 23:17
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 7? No +200 $2 3¢ $7 +$5 11-05 10:31
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +54 $8 10¢ $6 -$2 10-29 17:31
Avtodor vs. Unics Kazan Avtodor +200 $2 2¢ $4 +$2 11-05 10:01
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane +4 $2 68¢ $3 +$1 11-01 02:55
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $3 20¢ $2 $0 10-21 13:52
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30? Yes +252 $14 1¢ $2 -$12 11-05 23:16
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026? Yes +200 $4 1¢ $2 -$3 11-01 19:11
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $3 3¢ $2 -$2 10-30 13:31
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026? Yes +48 $1 3¢ $1 +$1 11-02 19:19
Will Jordan vs. Indonesia end in a draw? No +38 $13 2¢ $1 -$12 11-05 10:13
Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15? Yes +6 $1 10¢ $1 $0 11-05 00:44
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +9 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-06 00:00
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-02 13:37
Will Jordan win on 2026-11-13? Yes +43 $7 1¢ $0 -$6 11-05 15:35
Will Bradford City AFC win on 2026-11-14? Yes +58 $7 1¢ $0 -$7 11-03 13:04
Will Leicester City FC vs. Bradford City AFC end in a draw? No +8 $9 1¢ $0 -$9 11-05 22:06
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026? No +0 $2 74¢ $0 -$2 11-03 02:33
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +0 -$3 54¢ $0 +$3 10-29 17:29
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by November 30? No +0 $0 64¢ $0 +$0 11-02 15:58
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 11-03 20:00
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 10-19 14:13
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 60¢ $0 +$1 11-04 15:01
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-08? No +0 -$2 64¢ $0 +$2 11-04 21:46
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +0 $0 55¢ $0 $0 10-29 19:01
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026? Yes +0 $1 26¢ $0 -$1 11-03 22:15
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +0 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 10-31 22:30
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No +0 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 10-08 23:21