Realized P&L (24h)
+$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$533
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved (24h)
15
Trades (24h)
83
13,974 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$903
$446.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$3.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-28 16:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 230 days
Categories
Other
71% 49% -$952
Sports
22% 47% -$7,337
Politics
6% 42% -$1,245
Pop-Culture
1% 54% -$567
Tech
0% 67% -$513
Crypto
0% 17% -$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +749 $121 36¢ $266 +$145 09-28 22:03
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +250 $96 91¢ $227 +$131 10-15 17:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +223 $167 100¢ $223 +$56 10-23 12:15
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw? No +179 $169 92¢ $166 -$3 10-28 15:25
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +1,749 $56 9¢ $160 +$104 10-27 14:41
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +175 $138 91¢ $159 +$21 10-26 21:37
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +225 $200 70¢ $158 -$43 09-21 06:10
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +1,675 $59 9¢ $153 +$94 10-27 15:13
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +208 $176 73¢ $152 -$25 10-27 01:52
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +180 $143 77¢ $139 -$4 10-02 16:59
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +150 $126 88¢ $132 +$6 09-22 12:00
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +128 $97 86¢ $111 +$13 10-11 18:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 10-23 12:14
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +750 $97 12¢ $90 -$6 09-20 19:04
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $74 77¢ $77 +$2 10-02 17:00
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +103 $74 74¢ $76 +$2 10-25 18:07
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +100 $13 71¢ $71 +$58 10-22 04:50
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +105 $80 63¢ $66 -$13 10-03 10:28
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +75 $68 77¢ $58 -$10 08-27 03:49
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +450 $64 12¢ $54 -$10 09-20 18:55
76ers vs. Pacers 76ers +75 $52 70¢ $53 +$0 10-28 17:37
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +368 $47 12¢ $46 -$1 08-24 20:26
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +50 $43 88¢ $44 +$1 10-03 22:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +111 $42 34¢ $38 -$5 10-28 05:31
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +50 $37 75¢ $38 +$0 09-22 17:12
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +150 $36 23¢ $34 -$2 10-02 17:12
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +394 $35 8¢ $33 -$2 10-26 14:06
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +50 $29 59¢ $30 +$0 10-26 20:49
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +36 $28 79¢ $28 +$1 10-28 16:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +75 $14 37¢ $28 +$13 10-01 12:29