Realized P&L
-$11.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.30K
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
4,968
Trades
13,910
lifetime
Volume
$446.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$3.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-27 23:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 230 days
Categories
Other
71% 49% -$2,085
Sports
22% 47% -$7,393
Politics
6% 42% -$1,245
Pop-Culture
1% 54% -$567
Tech
0% 67% -$513
Crypto
0% 17% -$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +1,514 $325 85¢ $1.3K +$956 10-22 04:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +749 $121 34¢ $251 +$130 09-28 22:03
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +250 $96 96¢ $239 +$143 10-15 17:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +223 $167 96¢ $214 +$47 10-23 12:15
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +175 $138 95¢ $167 +$29 10-26 21:37
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +225 $200 71¢ $160 -$40 09-21 06:10
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +208 $176 72¢ $151 -$26 10-27 01:52
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +180 $143 79¢ $143 $0 10-02 16:59
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +150 $126 88¢ $133 +$6 09-22 12:00
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +128 $97 86¢ $111 +$14 10-11 18:27
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +750 $97 13¢ $99 +$2 09-20 19:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 10-23 12:14
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +1,675 $59 5¢ $80 +$20 10-27 15:13
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $74 79¢ $79 +$4 10-02 17:00
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +1,749 $56 4¢ $78 +$22 10-27 14:41
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +103 $74 72¢ $75 +$1 10-25 18:07
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +100 $13 71¢ $71 +$58 10-22 04:50
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +105 $80 65¢ $69 -$11 10-03 10:28
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +75 $68 79¢ $59 -$8 08-27 03:49
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +450 $64 12¢ $52 -$12 09-20 18:55
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +50 $43 88¢ $44 +$1 10-03 22:55
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +368 $47 11¢ $39 -$8 08-24 20:26
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +50 $37 76¢ $38 +$1 09-22 17:12
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +394 $35 10¢ $37 +$2 10-26 14:06
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +43 $15 84¢ $36 +$22 09-17 21:05
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +150 $36 21¢ $32 -$4 10-02 17:12
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No +50 $29 60¢ $30 +$1 10-26 20:49
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +249 $87 12¢ $29 -$59 10-16 02:13
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +225 $28 12¢ $27 -$1 10-07 03:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +75 $14 35¢ $26 +$12 10-01 12:29