Sticky-Adult — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

673

lifetime

Volume

$6.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 07-20 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 64% $-25

Other

10% — —

Politics

7% 100% +$22

Sports

6% 67% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+65	$20	28¢	$18	$-2	07-19 15:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$200	205	0	+205	open	—	04-26 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	19	$145	688	100	+588	Down	$-5	05-06 14:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$140	295	0	+295	open	—	05-23 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$120	600	100	+500	Down	+$10	05-06 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$115	100	100	+0	Down	+$15	05-06 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	16	$111	102	102	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 14:41
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$106	400	0	+400	open	—	05-13 17:11
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$106	143	143	+0	open	—	05-23 23:01
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	04-26 16:47
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	05-03 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$100	108	0	+108	Down	+$8	05-06 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	16	$96	126	126	+0	open	—	05-14 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	14	$96	916	59	+857	Down	$-24	05-06 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$89	80	80	+0	open	—	05-31 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$85	206	206	+0	Up	+$25	05-06 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	9	$82	198	90	+108	Up	$-18	05-06 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$76	316	316	+0	Down	+$26	05-06 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$74	50	50	+0	Down	+$24	05-06 22:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$64	73	34	+39	open	—	06-14 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	8	$63	54	54	+0	Down	+$13	05-07 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	05-18 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	05-18 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$59	68	68	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$59	61	61	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 16:27
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	2	$58	63	63	+0	open	—	05-04 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	11	$56	51	51	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$55	50	50	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	7	$55	50	50	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$54	49	49	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	5	$53	57	57	+0	open	—	05-15 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 12:11:58	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x97daaa…
07-20 12:10:04	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x1e7680…
07-19 15:30:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x54d8b3…
07-18 14:43:52	btc updown 15m 1784385900	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x14fbb5…
07-18 11:55:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xbc9bc1…
07-18 11:12:22	btc updown 5m 1784373000	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xd0ada1…
07-18 11:11:13	btc updown 5m 1784373000	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xcf528d…
07-18 11:11:13	btc updown 5m 1784373000	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xab38c9…
07-18 11:11:13	btc updown 5m 1784373000	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x0132df…
07-18 11:10:43	btc updown 5m 1784373000	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xbfe09a…
07-12 20:36:53	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x692336…
07-12 20:33:25	btc updown 15m 1783888200	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xd48dca…
07-12 20:33:25	btc updown 15m 1783888200	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xa236d9…
07-12 20:33:25	btc updown 15m 1783888200	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x4371a8…
07-12 20:28:23	btc updown 15m 1783888200	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0bc671…
06-27 15:14:58	btc updown 5m 1782573300	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x59d10d…
06-18 22:54:58	btc updown 5m 1781823300	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x0a77cb…
06-14 23:03:57	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0x04bf68…
06-14 22:03:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbdeb2f…
06-14 21:29:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x3110b5…
06-11 00:44:33	btc updown 5m 1781138400	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xae6b91…
06-11 00:44:33	btc updown 5m 1781138400	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x93d3c3…
06-11 00:44:33	btc updown 5m 1781138400	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x1cb5fd…
06-11 00:39:25	btc updown 5m 1781138400	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x242241…
06-11 00:37:51	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Up	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x7667aa…
06-11 00:37:49	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa76f81…
06-11 00:37:49	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x31363a…
06-11 00:36:33	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x632ef3…
06-11 00:36:16	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x399abb…
06-11 00:36:16	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Down	SELL	15	70¢	$11	0x24f0e2…
06-11 00:35:34	btc updown 5m 1781138100	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8cea42…
06-07 18:17:16	btc updown 15m 1780856100	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x76c463…
06-07 18:16:00	btc updown 15m 1780856100	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0xb77bc4…
06-07 18:15:58	btc updown 15m 1780856100	Down	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0xf0f342…
06-07 18:15:58	btc updown 15m 1780856100	Down	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x686525…
06-07 18:15:58	btc updown 15m 1780856100	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x39a6dd…
06-07 18:14:46	btc updown 15m 1780856100	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xbd68f1…
06-07 16:20:03	btc updown 5m 1780849200	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8f4642…
06-07 16:12:49	btc updown 5m 1780848600	Up	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0x7a9b16…
06-07 16:11:54	btc updown 5m 1780848600	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa39a09…
06-01 00:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xae7eff…
06-01 00:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xda2ea8…
06-01 00:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb17cd4…
06-01 00:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x8c7828…
06-01 00:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x387819…
06-01 00:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x08b9b5…
06-01 00:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x07b66b…
05-31 23:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x9474dc…
05-31 23:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x833ffd…
05-31 23:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xc95a5f…
05-31 23:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x20e81a…
05-31 23:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xc72649…
05-31 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x604dad…
05-31 17:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xb60ad8…
05-31 17:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x84012f…
05-31 17:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6677a7…
05-31 17:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x86f054…
05-31 17:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xac5b8e…
05-30 23:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x8a6cdf…
05-30 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x682d55…
05-30 11:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf481a4…
05-28 23:41:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	34	70¢	$24	0x6298a3…
05-28 23:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9ff8cb…
05-28 23:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0x5ab9a2…
05-28 23:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xb052c9…
05-27 01:01:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xf7624a…
05-27 00:35:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xb7f922…
05-27 00:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xcb5f5d…
05-27 00:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xac347c…
05-27 00:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x80245b…
05-27 00:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6cd812…
05-27 00:08:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xc4f237…
05-26 23:56:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xe68337…
05-26 23:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xac65c2…
05-26 23:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x9cad01…
05-26 23:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x5589dd…
05-26 23:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x3851d6…
05-26 23:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc555fb…
05-26 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x1aa2be…
05-26 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	70¢	$12	0x0dc59d…
05-26 20:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x734c0d…
05-26 20:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4bac1a…
05-26 20:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0xf9e3ec…
05-26 20:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xac2f9b…
05-26 20:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xde93ce…
05-26 20:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x76e035…
05-26 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xeea964…
05-26 18:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5c0ca9…
05-26 18:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6ac39d…
05-26 18:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xba883b…
05-23 23:14:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd7360c…
05-23 23:13:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf94b62…
05-23 23:01:25	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	143	67¢	$96	0xaae1f1…
05-23 21:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x60b51e…
05-23 21:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x752f10…
05-23 21:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8ab47a…
05-23 21:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x34f9da…
05-23 21:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1a15e8…
05-23 21:17:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x3f2e77…
05-23 21:17:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0xe3aad7…