Sticky-Adult — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

332

Trades

891

lifetime

Volume

$9.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$170

11 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-30 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 58% -$99

Other

18% 46% +$49

Sports

14% 65% +$285

Politics

8% 27% -$162

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+70	$34	72¢	$50	+$16	09-13 17:17
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	+286	$20	8¢	$21	+$1	07-18 11:35
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+140	$29	14¢	$19	-$10	09-25 19:50
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+250	$30	6¢	$16	-$14	09-25 19:50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+91	$10	14¢	$12	+$2	08-19 11:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+65	$20	18¢	$11	-$9	07-19 15:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	+125	$10	7¢	$9	-$1	09-06 18:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+285	$10	3¢	$9	-$1	08-19 10:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+91	$10	10¢	$9	-$1	05-05 22:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+58	$10	12¢	$7	-$3	05-05 22:04
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+55	$30	11¢	$6	-$24	08-25 14:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$280	575	575	+0	No	+$180	07-18 11:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	5	$204	392	34	+358	Yes	-$156	06-14 21:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$200	205	0	+205	No	+$5	04-26 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	19	$145	688	100	+588	Down	-$5	05-06 14:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$140	295	0	+295	No	+$155	05-23 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$120	600	100	+500	Down	+$10	05-06 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	6	$119	212	128	+83	Up	+$9	10-28 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$115	100	100	+0	Down	+$15	05-06 14:56
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$114	150	150	+0	Yes	+$64	07-18 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	16	$111	102	102	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$110	113	0	+113	Up	+$3	10-29 22:23
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$108	68	67	+1	Yes	+$9	05-26 11:24
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$106	400	0	+400	Yes	-$106	05-13 17:11
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$106	143	143	+0	Usyk	+$86	05-23 23:01
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$105	155	155	+0	No	-$25	05-06 13:43
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$100	111	0	+111	Yes	+$11	04-26 16:47
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5	1	$100	118	0	+118	Under	+$18	05-03 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$100	108	0	+108	Down	+$8	05-06 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	16	$96	126	126	+0	Up	+$26	05-14 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	14	$96	916	59	+857	Down	-$24	05-06 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$89	80	80	+0	Up	+$29	05-31 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$85	206	206	+0	Up	+$25	05-06 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	9	$82	198	90	+108	Up	-$18	05-06 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$76	316	316	+0	Down	+$26	05-06 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$74	50	50	+0	Down	+$24	05-06 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	8	$63	54	54	+0	Down	+$13	05-07 16:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$63	213	213	+0	No	+$43	07-25 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$62	50	50	+0	Down	+$12	05-18 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$62	50	50	+0	Up	+$12	05-18 22:13
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	3	$60	50	50	+0	No	+$10	08-28 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:45:25	Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes	Blue Jackets	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xb67a88…
10-30 00:45:06	Jets vs. Lightning	Lightning	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xbe48fc…
10-29 22:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x19434a…
10-29 22:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x1aac4a…
10-29 22:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x37cfc3…
10-29 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xca31b6…
10-29 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xb68b45…
10-29 22:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x3a157b…
10-29 22:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe6c149…
10-29 22:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5a620a…
10-29 22:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x14a918…
10-29 22:21:31	Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes	Blue Jackets	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1704a9…
10-29 22:19:43	Jets vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x299226…
10-29 22:18:07	Jets vs. Lightning: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x09db46…
10-28 23:54:07	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	SELL	34	44¢	$15	0x54683b…
10-28 22:43:31	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x7bf333…
10-28 22:43:19	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf15f20…
10-28 22:37:17	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x9dd36c…
10-28 22:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf776d2…
10-28 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x70b2ea…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xcde0be…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0xc7a7a7…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	84	50¢	$42	0x7bb720…
10-28 22:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x5dab2b…
10-28 22:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xaa5190…
10-28 11:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x051e7f…
10-28 02:42:30	Wild vs. Utah: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3ca569…
10-28 02:40:51	Wild vs. Utah	Wild	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xbd0874…
10-28 02:40:50	Wild vs. Utah	Wild	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xe0421f…
10-28 02:40:47	Wild vs. Utah	Wild	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xf9a8d1…
10-28 02:40:45	Wild vs. Utah	Wild	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xf76312…
10-28 02:05:00	Islanders vs. Predators	Predators	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xab912f…
10-28 01:51:17	Devils vs. Stars: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0x2c59cd…
10-28 00:52:45	Wild vs. Utah	Wild	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xed2bdf…
10-28 00:49:42	Islanders vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x120814…
10-28 00:43:15	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0x57543d…
10-27 19:12:38	Devils vs. Stars: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x888000…
10-27 19:00:57	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9178a1…
10-26 10:09:47	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x8baf6e…
10-24 19:37:12	Kings vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x2c8989…
10-24 19:23:48	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	310	1¢	$2	0x04191a…
10-04 19:43:25	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4926f2…
10-04 19:13:31	Cowboys vs. Texans: O/U 48.5	Under	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x580fe7…
10-04 18:13:11	Cowboys vs. Texans: O/U 48.5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x495b65…
10-04 18:11:08	Panthers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb18de3…
10-04 18:06:50	Utah vs. Rangers	Utah	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb652a8…
10-04 17:57:58	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x11edd3…
10-04 17:50:55	Jets vs. Red Wings	Jets	SELL	19	81¢	$16	0x4de490…
10-04 16:47:53	Jets vs. Red Wings	Jets	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x02229e…
10-03 22:17:38	Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb1c525…
10-03 22:16:47	Senators vs. Maple Leafs	Senators	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x94c017…
10-03 14:47:15	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x35b2fa…
10-02 23:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xd7f9bc…
10-02 23:02:17	Grizzlies vs. Hawks	Grizzlies	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x916f9e…
10-02 22:55:32	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf4ce79…
10-02 22:54:24	Capitals vs. Hurricanes	Capitals	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb114fa…
10-02 22:51:21	Rangers vs. Red Wings	Rangers	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0x0ac1cd…
10-02 22:50:45	Rangers vs. Red Wings	Rangers	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x1c95d3…
10-02 22:46:44	Rangers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7ad362…
10-02 22:46:14	Rangers vs. Red Wings	Rangers	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xa39f7f…
09-28 20:26:12	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xa2a467…
09-27 19:18:24	Chargers vs. Bills	Chargers	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x97dfb7…
09-27 19:16:11	Panthers vs. Hurricanes	Panthers	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2ad195…
09-27 19:12:32	Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x546577…
09-27 19:09:53	Chargers vs. Bills	Chargers	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf671e2…
09-26 10:24:48	Texas vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x5b59ac…
09-25 19:55:38	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Cup?	Yes	BUY	150	9¢	$14	0x50ad70…
09-25 19:50:56	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x975c12…
09-25 19:50:14	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	140	21¢	$29	0xcca258…
09-25 19:45:54	Türkiye vs. France: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2adf59…
09-23 15:15:56	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd75250…
09-16 15:41:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	87¢	$30	0x0a3bf6…
09-13 17:17:34	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0x9a0896…
09-13 13:52:07	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x15c8da…
09-13 13:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3212bd…
09-06 18:14:01	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xbde343…
09-06 18:12:19	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x7d3d6a…
09-03 16:15:51	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xb3e523…
09-01 12:44:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	750	0¢	$4	0x5eaabd…
08-29 16:17:51	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x2e730e…
08-28 16:47:54	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xafbce9…
08-28 08:14:28	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x055f43…
08-27 13:57:54	will ukraine target moscow by august 26 2026	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x9193d0…
08-26 03:35:48	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa3f339…
08-26 02:20:04	will ukraine target moscow by august 31 2026 v2	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7b0940…
08-26 00:54:51	will ukraine target moscow by august 31 2026 v2	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x5a3a64…
08-25 19:30:18	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0xc87845…
08-25 14:34:36	Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4b6d46…
08-25 14:26:01	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc4952d…
08-25 14:24:40	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2b9d58…
08-25 14:24:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xd404dd…
08-24 14:09:57	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xc7f677…
08-24 14:09:06	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xd46ea7…
08-21 11:38:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xdbbceb…
08-21 11:37:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$1	0xc43f4b…
08-21 11:37:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xa06f3d…
08-21 11:37:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	750	1¢	$9	0xc5d618…
08-19 11:00:19	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xcf2339…
08-19 10:59:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	285	3¢	$10	0xc7dd52…
08-18 22:43:06	will mu dip to 900 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x56ed1d…