Mortified-Producer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

-$53

Hit rate

13.6%

Resolved

Trades

222

lifetime

Volume

$3.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$145

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-12 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

53% 18% -$45

Politics

25% 6% +$17

Pop-Culture

17% 14% -$2

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 0% -$79

Crypto

1% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	+150	$60	58¢	$88	+$28	11-12 06:54
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	No	+50	$16	34¢	$17	+$0	11-12 03:33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	+20	$14	69¢	$14	-$1	11-12 03:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	+30	$12	37¢	$11	-$1	10-28 16:43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	No	+50	$8	16¢	$8	$0	11-12 10:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+80	$62	8¢	$6	-$56	05-17 07:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+100	$25	1¢	$1	-$24	08-22 09:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	13	$316	350	350	+0	open	—	11-12 08:37
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	10	$199	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-17 06:26
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	6	$186	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-17 06:25
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	6	$113	90	90	+0	No	-$1	03-10 15:58
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	4	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	11-12 03:25
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	8	$108	106	106	+0	open	—	11-12 07:10
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	4	$104	100	100	+0	No	+$0	11-12 02:56
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$98	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-20 03:55
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	6	$98	200	50	+150	open	—	11-12 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 20?	5	$95	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	06-20 07:08
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$92	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-10 15:12
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	10	$92	205	205	+0	Yes	-$1	05-17 02:23
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?	2	$82	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-20 08:25
Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	2	$75	50	50	+0	No	-$5	06-20 12:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$66	100	0	+100	Yes	+$34	05-17 07:24
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$65	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	06-20 04:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$62	80	0	+80	open	—	05-17 07:26
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	2	$60	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-20 05:23
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	2	$58	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	06-20 12:39
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	2	$56	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-20 08:25
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	5	$54	60	60	+0	No	-$4	06-20 09:10
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	4	$45	70	70	+0	No	+$0	05-17 00:44
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	7	$45	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	05-17 02:34
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	2	$42	50	50	+0	No	-$10	06-20 13:16
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	2	$40	50	50	+0	Yes	-$11	06-20 13:16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	3	$38	40	40	-0	open	—	11-12 10:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$38	94	94	+0	Yes	-$2	05-17 00:44
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	2	$35	50	50	+0	Yes	-$17	05-17 03:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	2	$33	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 06:25
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?	2	$32	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	06-20 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 11:07:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x719228…
11-12 10:54:07	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x68f2f0…
11-12 10:49:39	Will Alice Huang be federally charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x19b804…
11-12 10:48:12	Will Alice Huang be federally charged by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xb3e527…
11-12 10:23:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xa7fd75…
11-12 08:37:21	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x8f6a13…
11-12 07:15:45	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xef4aec…
11-12 07:10:45	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x11c92c…
11-12 06:54:03	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xb1a884…
11-12 06:49:55	Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xc35adb…
11-12 06:49:15	Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x92aa47…
11-12 06:44:48	Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8e32d0…
11-12 06:43:39	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x17f2dd…
11-12 06:40:42	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x199dfc…
11-12 06:19:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xdcd747…
11-12 06:19:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x853f17…
11-12 06:19:21	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xabfc09…
11-12 06:19:10	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x44cce7…
11-12 06:16:00	Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x35672f…
11-12 06:07:25	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x45af60…
11-12 06:05:48	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xfede2e…
11-12 06:05:48	Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9d28df…
11-12 06:05:48	Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x944d6e…
11-12 06:04:16	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x65ce29…
11-12 06:04:01	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x8fcb59…
11-12 06:03:30	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x3ecd4e…
11-12 06:01:19	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x8b6cc5…
11-12 05:58:15	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x3e3db7…
11-12 05:51:58	NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x8fb299…
11-12 05:48:34	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x008bbd…
11-12 05:41:54	Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2a5013…
11-12 05:41:54	Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x065a33…
11-12 05:03:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf8fea5…
11-12 04:25:19	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x922acb…
11-12 04:08:42	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x70debc…
11-12 04:01:27	Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xe3274d…
11-12 03:40:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x0538d6…
11-12 03:35:45	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x94ecf9…
11-12 03:33:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x1976f8…
11-12 03:33:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x19c2d3…
11-12 03:31:54	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	42	38¢	$16	0x12a62a…
11-12 03:31:51	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xe11d60…
11-12 03:29:06	Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xfc039a…
11-12 03:28:21	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe9bb04…
11-12 03:26:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x336512…
11-12 03:25:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x33aa50…
11-12 03:23:42	NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xe51382…
11-12 03:23:42	NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x8ca8b3…
11-12 03:23:04	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xb71c0e…
11-12 03:21:13	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x527973…
11-12 03:18:55	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xf4f952…
11-12 03:17:45	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xbec157…
11-12 03:16:51	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8122dd…
11-12 03:10:31	Will Jensen Huang join a new company by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc2e842…
11-12 03:06:46	Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x484442…
11-12 03:05:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x1cca32…
11-12 03:00:42	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xbb0714…
11-12 02:58:07	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x8d97de…
11-12 02:56:42	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xe3a81c…
11-12 02:56:01	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x1382c7…
11-12 02:55:46	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x331f8c…
11-12 02:53:04	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x3b0b3c…
11-12 02:50:33	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xcf9c94…
11-12 02:47:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x9bdfeb…
11-12 02:44:22	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x622204…
11-12 02:41:01	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x367009…
11-12 02:37:12	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x79dcc6…
10-28 16:43:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xea33c0…
10-28 16:43:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xb78d5c…
10-28 08:27:10	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xb78a9d…
08-22 09:54:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x5ee124…
07-14 13:05:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xf8af4e…
06-20 13:16:20	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x070813…
06-20 13:16:07	Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xe23d3c…
06-20 12:47:26	Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x15fad7…
06-20 12:45:01	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x074ae1…
06-20 12:44:53	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xcad685…
06-20 12:44:40	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xd0a63f…
06-20 12:39:10	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x3c99a3…
06-20 12:38:07	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xbf3bd5…
06-20 12:38:04	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x7f4240…
06-20 12:37:37	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x4c03ba…
06-20 12:35:07	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x6610b8…
06-20 12:33:59	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x5c8db8…
06-20 12:33:13	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0xb342ed…
06-20 12:33:13	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x3802c3…
06-20 12:32:43	Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x64df6e…
06-20 12:25:41	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x9108c4…
06-20 12:21:10	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xf8e6fb…
06-20 12:07:56	Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xfa38bd…
06-20 12:07:56	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xbf9e9a…
06-20 09:28:05	Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xd5df1d…
06-20 09:26:38	Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x9c0bdd…
06-20 09:10:22	Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xce80fc…
06-20 09:01:11	Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3185da…
06-20 09:00:43	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xafd798…
06-20 08:56:02	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x019086…
06-20 08:50:38	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x929444…
06-20 08:45:50	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x279e38…
06-20 08:25:31	Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x7e1fd8…