Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

186

Trades

405

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-25 19:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

68% 73% -$2

Crypto

15% 54% -$16

Sports

12% 48% -$45

Politics

4% 33% -$24

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$5	93¢	$5	+$0	05-01 08:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	07-13 18:37
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	07-04 08:46
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	+7	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	05-15 11:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	33	$68	458	15	+443	Down	-$21	10-21 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	15	$33	58	6	+51	Down	$0	10-23 06:23
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	3	$23	15	15	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$3	05-21 01:05
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$21	192	192	+0	No	+$1	05-31 23:05
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	3	$21	19	19	+0	Thunder	+$1	05-20 23:35
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$21	200	200	+0	No	+$15	05-30 21:07
Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2	$19	29	29	+0	Dayana Yastremska	+$9	05-16 11:24
Spread: Germany (-2.5)	2	$17	12	12	+0	Germany	+$7	05-31 20:35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17?	2	$16	17	17	+0	No	+$2	10-17 20:32
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 15?	2	$16	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	10-14 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$2	10-17 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	2	$15	13	13	+0	No	+$1	10-13 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 14?	2	$15	17	17	+0	No	+$1	10-13 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	10-10 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	10-15 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 14?	2	$15	11	11	+0	No	+$1	10-13 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?	2	$15	17	17	+0	No	+$1	10-17 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?	2	$15	13	13	+0	No	+$1	10-14 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?	2	$15	13	13	+0	No	+$1	10-15 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?	2	$15	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	10-14 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?	2	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	10-21 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	10-11 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 22?	2	$15	11	11	+0	No	+$1	10-21 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 11?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	10-10 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 11?	2	$15	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	10-10 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	2	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-11 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?	2	$14	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	10-16 11:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	2	$14	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 14?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 8?	2	$14	11	11	+0	No	+$0	10-07 01:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x9ee4ac…
10-25 19:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe2c0ab…
10-25 19:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x25f974…
10-25 19:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x551417…
10-25 19:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6abc03…
10-25 19:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xdc52b6…
10-25 19:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x14dd57…
10-23 17:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc90e0c…
10-23 17:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2059af…
10-23 17:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa840ad…
10-23 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x767614…
10-23 17:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xef97f9…
10-23 17:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xaa60df…
10-23 17:23:35	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa2800e…
10-23 17:21:41	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5fa5c3…
10-23 17:20:54	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2544bf…
10-23 17:20:32	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x6dbf55…
10-23 17:20:32	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x68adb5…
10-23 17:20:26	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd99406…
10-23 17:20:20	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x1f7cf4…
10-23 06:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x72bf58…
10-23 06:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x470255…
10-23 06:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x192735…
10-23 06:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x0571b7…
10-23 06:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe6d2b7…
10-23 06:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2436d8…
10-23 06:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x903a92…
10-23 06:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x029461…
10-23 06:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x79aae4…
10-23 06:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xeba96b…
10-23 06:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x158b08…
10-23 06:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5379e9…
10-23 06:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0072a6…
10-23 06:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x26c2ad…
10-23 06:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa70d39…
10-22 16:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x693051…
10-22 16:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x45b91d…
10-22 16:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xb18455…
10-22 16:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x81f718…
10-22 16:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6160c3…
10-22 15:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2036ba…
10-22 15:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd26dcb…
10-22 14:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x50ca96…
10-22 14:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3f131e…
10-22 09:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x33097f…
10-22 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xce4aac…
10-22 09:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x03ca24…
10-22 09:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x38498f…
10-22 09:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x25605d…
10-22 09:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0a457d…
10-22 06:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4f9b34…
10-22 06:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4cffab…
10-22 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8dd1a2…
10-22 06:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x607720…
10-22 06:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x369535…
10-22 05:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x1ec7cc…
10-22 05:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0d3011…
10-22 05:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2e9f6d…
10-22 05:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd47ccf…
10-22 05:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9424a5…
10-22 05:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x86adf4…
10-22 05:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xec7f26…
10-22 05:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x632e23…
10-22 05:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd66dc6…
10-22 05:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa91fd1…
10-22 02:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 23?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x61b56a…
10-21 14:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x661959…
10-21 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x810dd5…
10-21 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x2e5d56…
10-21 14:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xce47f5…
10-21 14:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 22?	No	SELL	11	67¢	$8	0x7613db…
10-21 14:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x26ad7e…
10-21 12:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1aef85…
10-21 12:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xb8e0f4…
10-21 12:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0557c2…
10-21 12:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x74210c…
10-21 12:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9fd714…
10-21 12:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc8e7e4…
10-21 12:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?	No	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0x02c642…
10-21 11:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6c62f1…
10-21 11:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x8c05fd…
10-21 11:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xa2702e…
10-21 11:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xd81d49…
10-21 11:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb7a973…
10-21 11:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9c57b8…
10-21 11:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2a7a4b…
10-21 11:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x26b19b…
10-21 11:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x251f56…
10-21 11:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe58ff0…
10-21 11:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x882b57…
10-21 11:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x004104…
10-21 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0x010d98…
10-21 11:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xa40fc4…
10-21 11:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x856c42…
10-21 11:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc09a94…
10-21 11:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xaeb07c…
10-21 11:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x060887…
10-21 11:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xaa0368…
10-21 11:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x0823a2…
10-21 11:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9b498d…