Vapid-Bather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-08 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 67% $-2

Other

25% — —

Politics

14% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 56k on april 7	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-06 03:42
bitcoin above 60k on april 2	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-01 10:51
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 460 479	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-03 09:48
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	02-27 03:56
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 520 539	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-24 03:33
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 440 459	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-28 10:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-18 11:05
bitcoin above 66k on march 14	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-14 07:01
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	02-04 07:44
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	01-26 08:43
bitcoin above 66k on april 11	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	04-11 01:48
ethereum above 2900 on january 13	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	01-13 10:58
bitcoin above 96k on january 9	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	01-09 08:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	05-29 08:51
bitcoin above 98k on january 23	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-22 07:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-29 10:41
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	01-31 06:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	05-16 05:34
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-25 09:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	05-10 07:08
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-09 02:39
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-21 02:31
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	01-19 01:43
bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	06-06 01:32
bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	06-08 09:10
ethereum above 2600 on january 5	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	01-04 08:38
bitcoin above 76k on february 12	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	02-11 05:30
bitcoin above 66k on april 16	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-15 03:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	1	$4	1,830	+1,830	open	—	06-01 06:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	No	$-2	05-06 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:10:48	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x8f3d4e…
06-06 01:32:22	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xb08aa5…
06-01 06:12:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1,830	0¢	$4	0x33ef55…
05-29 08:51:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc68854…
05-16 05:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xfd2375…
05-13 02:15:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47d109…
05-10 07:08:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x72a0d2…
05-06 09:38:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0x95dd08…
04-29 10:41:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xf9dc05…
04-25 09:47:00	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x4d4251…
04-21 02:31:38	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xea12ee…
04-15 03:45:34	bitcoin above 66k on april 16	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x812a58…
04-15 03:45:26	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f87be…
04-15 03:45:14	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x377e0d…
04-15 03:45:04	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee8709…
04-11 01:48:03	bitcoin above 66k on april 11	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x1cdce1…
04-11 01:47:51	highest temperature in nyc on april 11 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84db84…
04-11 01:47:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a2d60…
04-06 03:42:21	bitcoin above 56k on april 7	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x672828…
04-01 10:51:33	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xf488a6…
03-28 10:45:57	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 440 459	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x659386…
03-24 03:33:37	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 520 539	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x847d3e…
03-18 11:05:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xf3d6f6…
03-14 07:01:25	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x5d2f04…
03-09 02:39:37	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d2f76…
03-09 02:39:19	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Kings	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe67028…
03-09 02:39:05	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x491fb3…
03-03 09:48:05	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 460 479	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xeb66a7…
02-27 03:56:34	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x43e6a4…
02-11 05:30:55	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d4dee…
02-11 05:30:45	highest temperature in london on february 11 2026 10c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63ede6…
02-11 05:30:23	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf8a216…
02-04 07:44:08	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xf30327…
01-31 06:42:28	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6c58cf…
01-31 06:42:18	will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf3444e…
01-31 06:42:10	will trump meet with nicols maduro in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9187b9…
01-26 08:43:53	will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xa582ce…
01-22 07:36:52	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x5a5d04…
01-22 07:27:18	bitcoin up or down on january 22	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa49b53…
01-19 01:43:00	bitcoin above 84k on january 19	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6f62f2…
01-19 01:42:50	elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 240plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bbe88…
01-19 01:42:44	highest temperature in london on january 19 7c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ad118…
01-13 10:58:01	ethereum above 2900 on january 13	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xcf6c8c…
01-09 08:13:26	bitcoin above 96k on january 9	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x4a5515…
01-04 08:38:41	ethereum above 2600 on january 5	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x56a7f9…
01-04 08:38:27	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b2ed4…
01-04 08:38:17	highest temperature in london on january 4 0c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3630fa…
01-04 08:38:07	highest temperature in london on january 4 5corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd77dd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	28	$3.77K	2,224	04-18 02:37
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	28	$718	2,210	06-07 02:41
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	27	$3.70K	1,176	06-07 20:14
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	25	$95.3K	1,437	06-01 12:11
Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6	24	$605	1,712	06-05 23:48
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	16	$2.70K	1,210	06-04 16:47
Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345	16	$1.65K	872	05-22 22:52
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	15	$727	90	06-07 13:01