Fresh-Mill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$980

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

477

Trades

861

lifetime

Volume

$9.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-23 16:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% +$963

Other

1% 21% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+56	$10	7¢	$4	-$6	06-07 01:24
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No		+51	$20	3¢	$2	-$18	06-29 21:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$420	339	339	+0	Down	+$20	05-31 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$200	256	0	+256	Down	+$56	05-31 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:05 UTC	2	$200	101	101	+0	Down	+$0	06-07 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$186	158	158	+0	Down	+$126	05-29 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$172	257	257	+0	Down	+$12	05-30 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$159	114	114	+0	Up	+$61	06-01 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$150	326	0	+326	Up	-$150	05-31 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$150	248	0	+248	Down	+$98	05-31 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$150	195	0	+195	Up	-$150	05-31 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$150	574	0	+574	Up	+$424	05-31 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$141	123	123	+0	Down	-$9	05-31 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$136	117	117	+0	Up	+$16	05-30 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$132	109	109	+0	Down	+$32	06-01 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$110	71	71	+0	Down	+$10	06-01 14:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 17:15 UTC	4	$105	93	93	+0	Down	+$15	06-14 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	Up	+$72	05-31 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$99	65	65	+0	Up	-$1	06-01 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 17:05 UTC	3	$78	55	55	+0	Down	+$8	06-14 17:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 21:30 UTC	5	$78	71	71	+0	Down	+$8	06-18 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$75	156	0	+156	Down	-$75	05-31 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$75	142	0	+142	Down	+$67	05-31 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$75	103	0	+103	Up	+$28	06-01 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$75	135	0	+135	Down	+$60	05-31 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$75	99	0	+99	Down	-$75	06-01 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$70	98	0	+98	Up	+$28	05-30 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$67	103	103	+0	Up	-$33	06-01 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:25 UTC	3	$65	65	58	+7	Down	-$5	06-14 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$60	216	0	+216	Up	+$156	05-30 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$60	86	0	+86	Up	+$26	05-30 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$50	6,777	0	+6,777	Up	-$50	06-01 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 16:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2ebbff…
10-23 16:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x72449f…
10-21 16:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xca5f6d…
10-21 16:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x2680a6…
10-21 16:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7af3eb…
10-21 16:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x90472c…
10-21 16:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x262600…
10-21 16:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9c6fcd…
10-21 16:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1c2894…
10-21 16:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4deee2…
10-21 15:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x9ceb52…
10-21 15:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x85da02…
10-16 16:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc6b0e9…
10-16 16:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x82ef7d…
10-16 15:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x1b1e00…
10-16 15:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xcceea4…
10-13 13:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x080289…
10-13 13:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3ae8d4…
10-13 12:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0xba8750…
10-13 12:30:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbb6ca8…
10-12 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf3a21c…
10-12 14:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x392765…
10-12 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb99119…
10-12 14:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x9a325e…
10-12 14:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x95385d…
10-12 14:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd8610a…
10-12 14:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x741cac…
10-12 14:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf72cb4…
10-12 14:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xdc99a3…
10-09 16:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0xe151dd…
10-09 16:40:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x815d04…
10-09 16:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x522dad…
10-09 16:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1c7c5c…
10-09 16:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe912d5…
10-09 16:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2d565c…
07-20 15:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x191459…
07-20 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x42c4cd…
07-20 15:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2dfd7f…
07-20 15:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3e0f42…
07-20 14:20:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf6d784…
07-20 14:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0x108498…
07-20 14:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa35101…
07-20 14:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x193977…
07-15 16:30:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd46cc6…
07-15 16:23:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x50e9c3…
07-15 16:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xebffb5…
07-15 16:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0xee5b7e…
07-15 16:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x20c3e4…
07-10 18:51:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:50 UTC	Up	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0xe1b518…
07-10 18:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x395815…
07-10 16:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x9eec22…
07-10 16:26:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xed2673…
07-08 15:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2e6d70…
07-08 15:38:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	32	14¢	$5	0xa5629a…
07-08 15:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x589758…
07-08 15:36:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0xec6589…
07-08 15:35:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x5e2042…
07-08 15:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	29	47¢	$13	0x314d64…
07-08 15:31:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf4c196…
07-08 15:30:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x101c5d…
07-08 15:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb70175…
06-30 17:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:35 UTC	Down	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0xcda222…
06-30 17:36:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3657cb…
06-30 17:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x073c87…
06-30 17:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x58e6cb…
06-30 16:58:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	41	75¢	$30	0x04515b…
06-30 16:55:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x1fe8ce…
06-30 16:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x340d34…
06-30 16:45:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x8603ad…
06-29 21:29:23	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa7aa37…
06-29 16:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x8f4c36…
06-29 16:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x665c7e…
06-26 17:16:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x9d8e5b…
06-26 17:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x8de525…
06-26 17:13:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0x55474d…
06-26 17:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x3c7b93…
06-26 17:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x02a8ed…
06-26 17:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdbf879…
06-26 17:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0ba2f2…
06-26 16:55:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	23	65¢	$15	0x033072…
06-26 16:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa7ae91…
06-26 16:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x98eeaf…
06-26 16:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xe17275…
06-26 16:51:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x3e6b77…
06-26 15:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x140744…
06-26 15:50:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x50588f…
06-26 13:04:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0xbd688b…
06-26 13:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x2a1df0…
06-26 13:03:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0xeaa381…
06-26 13:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5cf41c…
06-26 12:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	14	67¢	$10	0x917270…
06-26 12:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3c6182…
06-26 12:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	37	77¢	$28	0x064ac1…
06-26 12:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x225446…
06-23 21:31:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1109ae…
06-23 21:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x436de7…
06-23 21:25:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa876de…
06-23 21:21:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x74c208…
06-23 21:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1c9afd…
06-23 21:13:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x07de0c…