Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$45,476
Trades
5,377
Unique wallets
914
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-10-21
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-21 15:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.2¢
(top1%: 28% YES on $20.5K
vs crowd: 25% YES on $41.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 162 | $6.9K | $18.2K | $11.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 224 | $2.0K | $7.1K | $5.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 313 | $1.1K | $4.8K | $3.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 215 | $455 | $810 | $355 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 162 | $5.7K | $14.9K | $9.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 129 | $972 | $4.3K | $3.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 46 | $267 | $938 | $671 |
| Median | 59 | $101 | $673 | $572 |
| Below median | 214 | $620 | $885 | $265 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 136 | $490 | $2.2K | $1.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 99 | $783 | $2.5K | $1.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 69 | $1.6K | $4.5K | $2.9K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +2,850 | $543 | $543 | 48 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +1,842 | $1,514 | $1,514 | 49 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | +1,500 | $1,485 | $1,485 | 11 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +1,439 | $267 | $267 | 75 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Gentle-Bell 0xb729…4e2e | Down | +1,353 | $683 | $683 | 1 | 10-21 15:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +1,170 | $221 | $221 | 58 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +1,087 | $624 | $624 | 53 | 10-21 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +1,083 | $866 | $866 | 36 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc375…3376 | Down | +1,015 | $700 | $700 | 7 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +982 | $719 | $719 | 57 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +926 | $571 | $571 | 51 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +919 | $345 | $345 | 40 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1 | Up | +873 | $138 | $138 | 36 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +833 | $244 | $244 | 45 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +800 | $792 | $792 | 8 | 10-21 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +761 | $64 | $64 | 9 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +759 | $545 | $545 | 58 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +723 | $135 | $135 | 50 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +702 | $206 | $206 | 23 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +700 | $7 | $7 | 14 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +689 | $344 | $344 | 25 | 10-21 15:47 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +664 | $132 | $132 | 40 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +649 | $186 | $186 | 29 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +637 | $458 | $458 | 38 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x80c6…b878 | Down | +633 | $425 | $425 | 11 | 10-21 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +605 | $85 | $85 | 27 | 10-21 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +600 | $519 | $519 | 11 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +571 | $257 | $257 | 14 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +570 | $489 | $489 | 18 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Cooperative-Upstairs 0x72d7…1b97 | Up | +561 | $170 | $170 | 15 | 10-21 15:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc13d…3588 | Down | +547 | $500 | $500 | 5 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x199a…0b1a | Up | +542 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +530 | $341 | $341 | 26 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +506 | $142 | $142 | 32 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +500 | $321 | $321 | 35 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd095…263b | Down | +496 | $456 | $456 | 1 | 10-21 15:48 |
| Lasting-Tweezers 0xcd8e…52a6 | Down | +487 | $452 | $452 | 1 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +479 | $131 | $131 | 28 | 10-21 15:48 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +458 | $97 | $97 | 31 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4e4…26a3 | Up | +455 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-21 15:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +443 | $124 | $124 | 7 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Down | +425 | $174 | $174 | 14 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +420 | $65 | $65 | 14 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +413 | $5 | $5 | 9 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f20…d0a4 | Down | +400 | $396 | $396 | 1 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +398 | $288 | $288 | 22 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +388 | $124 | $124 | 7 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +378 | $101 | $101 | 59 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | +351 | $265 | $265 | 13 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +346 | $262 | $262 | 17 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +345 | $157 | $157 | 15 | 10-21 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Up | +342 | $81 | $81 | 7 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +338 | $240 | $240 | 48 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +332 | $233 | $233 | 47 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +330 | $163 | $163 | 6 | 10-21 15:45 |
| Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | +320 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7773…c4d6 | Up | +315 | $119 | $119 | 1 | 10-21 15:46 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Down | +304 | $223 | $223 | 45 | 10-21 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc192…0366 | Down | +300 | $297 | $297 | 1 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +300 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 10-21 15:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 15:50:36 | Puny-Toad 0x790c…66f0 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xcc2495… |
| 10-21 15:50:36 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xcc2495… |
| 10-21 15:50:27 | (anonymous) 0x8419…1a9b | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xda8fc3… |
| 10-21 15:50:27 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xda8fc3… |
| 10-21 15:50:23 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0x2faa69… |
| 10-21 15:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xf3e0…e7a0 | Down | SELL | 174 | 99¢ | $172 | 0x2faa69… |
| 10-21 15:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 108 | 99¢ | $107 | 0x2faa69… |
| 10-21 15:50:12 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x674918… |
| 10-21 15:50:12 | (anonymous) 0x364c…754c | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x674918… |
| 10-21 15:50:06 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xbd5939… |
| 10-21 15:50:06 | (anonymous) 0x0f5d…252c | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xbd5939… |
| 10-21 15:50:00 | (anonymous) 0x9e88…a71d | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x99850f… |
| 10-21 15:50:00 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x99850f… |
| 10-21 15:49:57 | (anonymous) 0x33d8…b4cd | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdd0743… |
| 10-21 15:49:57 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xdd0743… |
| 10-21 15:49:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 57 | 99¢ | $57 | 0x95bccd… |
| 10-21 15:49:54 | Knowledgeable-Jail 0x1456…edb2 | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x986b77… |
| 10-21 15:49:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x986b77… |
| 10-21 15:49:54 | (anonymous) 0x199a…0b1a | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xf38fb2… |
| 10-21 15:49:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0xf38fb2… |
| 10-21 15:49:54 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 143 | 99¢ | $141 | 0x95bccd… |
| 10-21 15:49:54 | (anonymous) 0x4ce0…b1ec | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x95bccd… |
| 10-21 15:49:53 | (anonymous) 0xfeba…ae51 | Down | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x69fb77… |
| 10-21 15:49:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b55…12b4 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x5da434… |
| 10-21 15:49:53 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x69fb77… |
| 10-21 15:49:53 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x5da434… |
| 10-21 15:49:48 | (anonymous) 0xe1dd…73be | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x6371a9… |
| 10-21 15:49:48 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xec0586… |
| 10-21 15:49:48 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x6371a9… |
| 10-21 15:49:48 | Lanky-Diabetes 0xa61f…a6ed | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xec0586… |
| 10-21 15:49:47 | Old-Fashioned-Reprocessing 0xe054…15f7 | Down | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xf90840… |
| 10-21 15:49:47 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xf90840… |
| 10-21 15:49:45 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x34dac2… |
| 10-21 15:49:45 | (anonymous) 0x4f9b…501e | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x34dac2… |
| 10-21 15:49:44 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 357 | 99¢ | $353 | 0x829a5b… |
| 10-21 15:49:44 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x829a5b… |
| 10-21 15:49:44 | (anonymous) 0xf43f…999f | Down | SELL | 358 | 99¢ | $354 | 0x829a5b… |
| 10-21 15:49:42 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x39430d… |
| 10-21 15:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x314b…51b5 | Down | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x39430d… |
| 10-21 15:49:42 | (anonymous) 0xb4a5…811e | Down | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x53a625… |
| 10-21 15:49:42 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x53a625… |
| 10-21 15:49:41 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x87fcb2… |
| 10-21 15:49:41 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x387add… |
| 10-21 15:49:41 | (anonymous) 0x2371…53da | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x87fcb2… |
| 10-21 15:49:41 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x387add… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xde22…c22a | Down | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x1c3a20… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x164f…7b6d | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x5577…7d35 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa4d6ba… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xe80c…4bd8 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa4d6ba… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x4a03…a9b9 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x59a60c… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xe471…5c7c | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa238a2… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x59a60c… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x344c…dfc7 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x4f5a…2ec7 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xd8cd…da01 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa238a2… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | BUY | 338 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xab5d…98e0 | Up | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe922e1… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 109 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2b3275… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x342c39… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 75 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1c3a20… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe922e1… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 838 | 99¢ | $830 | 0x17e072… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 109 | 99¢ | $108 | 0x2b3275… |
| 10-21 15:49:39 | Blue-Valuable 0x78b3…3a3d | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x342c39… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x725f83… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x0d74…318e | Down | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x7fd670… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 285 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x725f83… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Foolish-Idea 0x6d79…7a1b | Down | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xe83770… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 261 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xc80e64… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xe83770… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x7fd670… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0xe471…5c7c | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x78cbcd… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x966f99… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x256dd4… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x752153… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x49306f… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b60…d5d5 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x4450ce… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Up | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2b4765… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | BUY | 141 | 98¢ | $138 | 0x2b4765… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x809f…2ef0 | Up | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7fd670… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0xef49…cbca | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x256dd4… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x808223… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x2e9e…08de | Down | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x5a884d… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x5f20…d0a4 | Down | BUY | 400 | 99¢ | $396 | 0x725f83… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x7e82…7a4a | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x78cbcd… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 61 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x00e83f… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Whimsical-Dolor 0x5187…aa17 | Up | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2b4765… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0xb013…7ad4 | Down | SELL | 173 | 98¢ | $170 | 0x2b4765… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49306f… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Murky-Passing 0x1d3c…b1aa | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7b1ca2… |
| 10-21 15:49:38 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b1ca2… |