Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$91.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$242

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 10-21 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 62% +$2,925

Politics

30% 40% +$55

Other

13% 33% -$5

Sports

6% 100% +$27

Tech

3% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	17	$17.3K	9,350	9,350	+0	Yes	+$81	10-21 16:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$9.7K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	07-21 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	25	$5.9K	3,160	3,160	+0	Down	+$86	10-20 16:41
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	13	$5.8K	8,918	8,918	+0	No	+$1,050	07-26 16:13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$5.2K	4,436	4,436	+0	Yes	+$27	07-17 16:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$5.1K	2,700	2,700	+0	Yes	-$3	07-15 17:01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	21	$4.7K	2,706	2,706	+0	open	—	08-12 16:06
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	6	$4.5K	3,334	3,334	+0	Yes	-$243	07-22 15:19
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	2	$3.3K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	+$7	07-21 15:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	7	$3.2K	3,129	3,129	+0	Yes	+$2,200	10-21 14:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	24	$3.1K	2,900	2,900	+0	open	—	07-20 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	18	$2.4K	2,596	0	+2,596	Up	+$146	10-20 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	23	$2.2K	2,314	132	+2,182	Down	-$16	10-20 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	10	$2.0K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$168	10-19 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	14	$1.8K	1,777	407	+1,370	Down	-$167	10-20 16:54
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	7	$1.7K	7,590	7,590	+0	No	+$64	07-26 16:13
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	7	$1.7K	2,265	2,265	+0	No	-$105	08-19 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	12	$1.5K	1,952	0	+1,952	Down	-$128	10-20 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	12	$1.5K	1,546	0	+1,546	Up	+$46	10-20 16:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$1.4K	730	730	+0	No	-$1	08-19 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	13	$1.3K	1,514	0	+1,514	Up	+$214	10-20 16:27
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	4	$1.1K	639	639	+0	Yes	+$49	07-14 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$850	928	0	+928	Up	+$78	10-21 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$613	320	320	+0	Up	+$21	10-20 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$600	843	0	+843	Down	-$499	10-20 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$500	598	0	+598	Up	+$98	10-19 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$500	547	0	+547	Down	+$47	10-21 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$400	435	0	+435	Up	+$35	10-19 17:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?	2	$332	190	190	+0	Yes	+$47	10-21 16:03
will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	3	$233	570	570	-0	No	-$130	08-22 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 16:03:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x9d2591…
10-21 16:03:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	2,700	97¢	$2,609	0x40c078…
10-21 15:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x5752c3…
10-21 15:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x227e63…
10-21 15:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xdaf7e9…
10-21 15:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x0f48e5…
10-21 15:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x934196…
10-21 15:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xa5e340…
10-21 15:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x75f92f…
10-21 15:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8323fb…
10-21 15:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x318615…
10-21 15:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa97dd1…
10-21 15:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x04fc16…
10-21 15:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x732e83…
10-21 14:58:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	3,129	86¢	$2,691	0xaf1c2e…
10-20 17:02:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	190	75¢	$142	0x2096a9…
10-20 17:01:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x4993a7…
10-20 17:01:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	2,400	94¢	$2,258	0xa0ec17…
10-20 16:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0xd01ad1…
10-20 16:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xe4c329…
10-20 16:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xbd97f2…
10-20 16:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x4ff387…
10-20 16:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x1e1383…
10-20 16:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xb27e53…
10-20 16:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xdfe1dc…
10-20 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xa7d049…
10-20 16:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xc10873…
10-20 16:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x65176b…
10-20 16:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0x3d5eb7…
10-20 16:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0xc236e3…
10-20 16:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x673620…
10-20 16:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x75f281…
10-20 16:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	166	90¢	$150	0x7698d6…
10-20 16:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x90c633…
10-20 16:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x0e4ad0…
10-20 16:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x541ca3…
10-20 16:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x06a2b0…
10-20 16:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x6ed87f…
10-20 16:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x67847a…
10-20 16:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x0f7b58…
10-20 16:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x33f415…
10-20 16:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xd2853c…
10-20 16:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xbebe5c…
10-20 16:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xe9a0e1…
10-20 16:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xc44cdd…
10-20 16:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	387	28¢	$108	0x1eea19…
10-20 16:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x6ad2ad…
10-20 16:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	134	74¢	$100	0xcc6981…
10-20 16:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x02acc9…
10-20 16:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x80b33c…
10-20 16:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	320	99¢	$317	0xe1c550…
10-20 16:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x8fa7ac…
10-20 16:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xdcdb45…
10-20 16:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe9d6f8…
10-20 16:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x0a0ee3…
10-20 16:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x4ff3a2…
10-20 16:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x144a42…
10-20 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	164	91¢	$150	0x918ea0…
10-20 16:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	193	78¢	$150	0x9ec3a6…
10-20 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	192	78¢	$150	0x0b69cf…
10-20 16:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	205	73¢	$150	0xe91df7…
10-20 16:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x730546…
10-20 16:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x6dad45…
10-20 16:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xf65c40…
10-20 16:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x21ff63…
10-20 16:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x931c10…
10-20 16:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2,847	100¢	$2,845	0x25ee1f…
10-20 16:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xa1eb48…
10-20 16:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x0a27e6…
10-20 16:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x614958…
10-20 16:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x271410…
10-20 16:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x791f49…
10-20 16:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0xc8b188…
10-20 16:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0x61945b…
10-20 16:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	162	93¢	$150	0x9584c4…
10-20 16:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x83b55a…
10-20 16:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x0b4a10…
10-20 16:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xe1df4a…
10-20 16:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	159	94¢	$150	0x9dc5d8…
10-20 16:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0x0a683d…
10-20 16:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	157	96¢	$150	0x92ae8b…
10-20 16:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0x1a8d08…
10-20 16:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x0c9391…
10-20 16:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x0288fb…
10-20 16:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	159	4¢	$6	0x23d9ab…
10-20 16:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xc45880…
10-20 16:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd43d0a…
10-20 16:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x413573…
10-20 16:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	154	88¢	$135	0x25d8db…
10-20 16:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x55230f…
10-20 16:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x98dd4e…
10-20 16:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xb81de1…
10-20 16:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xcee877…
10-20 16:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x58a1bd…
10-20 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xfeed83…
10-20 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xe36efe…
10-20 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xbfd215…
10-20 16:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x77bb3e…
10-20 16:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd9e2f8…
10-20 16:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x46b9fe…