Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

$58

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-04 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 86% +$91

Other

34% 76% -$86

Tech

15% 80% +$29

Politics

5% 50% +$3

Sports

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?	No		+57	$55	96¢	$55	$0	11-04 06:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+4	$3	69¢	$3	+$0	11-04 06:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	7	$1.8K	948	948	+0	open	—	11-04 06:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	2	$1.2K	605	605	+0	Yes	-$1	05-02 08:26
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	2	$861	434	433	+0	Yes	-$1	04-10 08:15
bitcoin above 74k on april 21	1	$601	608	0	+608	Yes	+$7	04-21 11:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$480	483	0	+483	No	+$3	06-13 09:23
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$374	384	0	+384	Yes	+$10	02-26 09:00
bitcoin above 66k on march 4	1	$227	229	0	+229	Yes	+$2	03-04 09:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$206	497	497	+0	open	—	08-08 08:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$204	119	119	+0	Yes	+$4	08-08 08:28
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$203	515	515	+0	No	+$3	07-09 10:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	04-21 11:17
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$196	211	0	+211	Yes	+$15	03-22 06:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$180	207	0	+207	Yes	+$27	07-01 13:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$176	108	108	+0	Yes	-$24	04-21 11:17
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$100	110	0	+110	No	-$100	06-13 09:20
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	03-22 06:01
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-04 09:43
nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	03-04 09:51
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?	1	$80	81	0	+81	No	+$1	07-09 10:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?	1	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	11-04 06:58
bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	07-09 10:11
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	03-22 06:05
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$30	34	0	+34	Yes	+$4	03-22 06:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	09-18 02:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-08 08:30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	+$7	07-01 13:46
ethereum above 2800 on october 1 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-01 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$1	06-13 09:21
will gold gc hit low 5100 by end of march	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	03-04 09:52
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	10-01 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:58:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x8ed2b1…
11-04 06:58:10	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4a4195…
11-04 06:54:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xa7148b…
10-01 00:39:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x63e789…
10-01 00:38:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf467a3…
10-01 00:38:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xea09a8…
10-01 00:37:11	ethereum above 2800 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0eeb0d…
09-18 02:20:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x8f6ac6…
09-18 02:19:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x4b7cbd…
09-18 02:18:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	115	96¢	$110	0xbaa348…
09-04 06:15:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	196	96¢	$189	0x45f4f5…
08-08 08:34:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x81708b…
08-08 08:30:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa068c5…
08-08 08:29:15	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	497	21¢	$106	0xba4b06…
08-08 08:28:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	119	87¢	$104	0xd5c010…
07-09 10:12:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0x5fed95…
07-09 10:12:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0c051c…
07-09 10:12:01	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7f9556…
07-09 10:11:46	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb22e5d…
07-09 10:11:10	bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x97bf8f…
07-09 10:07:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	515	20¢	$103	0x00f489…
07-09 10:05:23	dota2 poorra xtreme 2026 07 09	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x402c97…
07-01 13:49:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	87¢	$180	0xef2e73…
07-01 13:48:07	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	497	20¢	$100	0xf30424…
07-01 13:47:37	dota2 pckcp nemiga 2026 07 01	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x021d51…
07-01 13:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a5396…
07-01 13:46:10	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x89ce23…
07-01 13:42:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xb105f0…
07-01 13:38:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	515	19¢	$100	0x5cef0f…
06-13 09:23:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	483	99¢	$480	0x776aa5…
06-13 09:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2951e2…
06-13 09:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x338e46…
06-13 09:20:45	bitcoin above 64k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd08f23…
06-13 09:20:06	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x00533f…
06-13 09:17:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	605	94¢	$566	0x012290…
05-02 08:27:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	605	94¢	$570	0xa23a6f…
05-02 08:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	605	99¢	$599	0x25e12f…
05-02 08:25:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	605	99¢	$600	0x189c93…
04-21 11:42:50	bitcoin above 74k on april 21	Yes	BUY	608	99¢	$601	0x5ee667…
04-21 11:17:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	71¢	$76	0x8fdd87…
04-21 11:17:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	102	99¢	$102	0xbcd068…
04-10 08:21:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb61ae0…
04-10 08:16:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xdb93f5…
04-10 08:15:59	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	SELL	433	99¢	$430	0x34ff62…
04-10 08:06:21	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	434	99¢	$431	0xa5f126…
03-22 06:24:41	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	103	93¢	$96	0x0aec47…
03-22 06:24:03	highest temperature in chengdu on march 23 2026 19corhigher	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8ef14f…
03-22 06:05:47	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9dc3c6…
03-22 06:05:31	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x09a4e4…
03-22 06:04:29	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd8b416…
03-22 06:01:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xacc45d…
03-04 09:58:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 4	Yes	BUY	229	99¢	$227	0x5bdc96…
03-04 09:52:19	will gold gc hit low 5100 by end of march	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd77cbc…
03-04 09:51:27	nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3daed0…
03-04 09:49:33	trump approval up or down this week 596	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1319eb…
03-04 09:43:29	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x54af6e…
02-26 09:00:06	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	384	97¢	$374	0xfa01ec…
01-26 09:17:53	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	280	1¢	$2	0x563bf8…