Shiny-Camera — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.48K

Unrealized P&L

+$110

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

650

lifetime

Volume

$248.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$382

Open exposure

$23.6K

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-02 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

71% 94% +$2,041

Other

27% 86% +$437

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	+14,000	$13,986	99¢	$13.9K	-$98	11-02 05:34
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+3,786	$3,361	96¢	$3.6K	+$255	10-22 12:20
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	+3,478	$3,247	96¢	$3.3K	+$102	10-24 06:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,690	$1,434	82¢	$1.4K	-$40	10-08 14:44
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	+693	$683	97¢	$670	-$12	10-11 10:40
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	+881	$677	65¢	$573	-$104	10-11 10:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+344	$104	32¢	$112	+$7	10-10 16:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$15.0K	7,517	7,517	+0	No	+$8	09-30 14:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	8	$14.0K	14,166	0	+14,166	No	+$149	09-14 12:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	1	$14.0K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	11-02 05:34
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	12	$11.9K	12,305	0	+12,305	No	+$398	09-30 14:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	15	$11.5K	11,956	0	+11,956	Yes	+$444	09-01 03:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	7	$8.9K	8,943	0	+8,943	No	+$13	09-19 01:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	3	$8.2K	8,254	0	+8,254	Yes	+$35	10-18 19:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	8	$8.2K	8,384	0	+8,384	No	+$193	10-16 02:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	3	$7.3K	7,363	0	+7,363	Yes	+$47	10-22 13:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	30	$6.3K	6,022	472	+5,550	Yes	+$175	10-15 14:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	18	$5.9K	4,183	2,111	+2,072	No	+$114	07-29 10:40
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	13	$5.5K	5,609	0	+5,609	No	+$99	09-01 08:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$5.2K	5,291	0	+5,291	No	+$71	09-03 13:29
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	26	$5.1K	4,447	969	+3,478	open	—	10-24 06:06
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	13	$5.1K	5,413	0	+5,413	No	+$332	10-12 15:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	7	$4.7K	4,710	0	+4,710	Yes	+$37	10-09 12:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	5	$4.4K	4,369	0	+4,369	No	+$6	08-30 18:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	6	$4.0K	2,052	2,052	+0	Yes	+$130	08-17 08:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	20	$3.8K	1,969	1,969	+0	Yes	+$99	08-09 11:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	10	$3.8K	1,923	1,923	+0	No	+$36	06-03 14:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	9	$3.8K	2,687	1,109	+1,578	No	+$10	06-29 08:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	14	$3.7K	1,869	1,869	+0	Yes	+$59	08-05 07:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	4	$3.6K	3,872	0	+3,872	No	+$228	10-27 07:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	4	$3.6K	1,824	1,824	+0	No	+$44	07-05 17:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	1	$3.6K	3,571	0	+3,571	Yes	+$7	10-08 15:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	18	$3.5K	1,998	1,998	+0	Yes	+$198	09-18 08:30
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	8	$3.4K	3,786	0	+3,786	open	—	10-22 12:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	14	$3.3K	2,385	2,385	+0	open	—	10-11 16:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	1	$3.0K	3,008	0	+3,008	Yes	+$6	10-28 07:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	1	$3.0K	3,010	0	+3,010	Yes	+$10	10-25 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:34:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	BUY	14,000	100¢	$13,986	0x6a3371…
10-28 07:40:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	174	96¢	$167	0x4b1518…
10-28 07:39:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	3,008	100¢	$3,002	0xef5a1b…
10-27 07:38:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	385	96¢	$371	0xd0800c…
10-25 16:14:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	488	93¢	$454	0x6129bb…
10-25 15:11:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	3,010	100¢	$3,000	0x545f9a…
10-24 07:23:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x917fa0…
10-24 07:15:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0xc614d3…
10-24 07:04:45	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x7c0a4e…
10-24 06:06:05	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xe26c7f…
10-24 06:05:44	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xcbf24a…
10-24 06:02:09	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xd660f0…
10-22 13:48:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	6,800	100¢	$6,766	0x5c6ac7…
10-22 12:20:00	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	68	92¢	$63	0x6603ce…
10-21 20:19:42	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	102	95¢	$97	0xb28fd9…
10-21 15:32:20	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	435	98¢	$425	0x8b71a8…
10-21 14:33:45	Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb4afb3…
10-21 14:33:24	Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc64eb1…
10-21 14:33:08	Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc4da0a…
10-21 10:53:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	376	98¢	$370	0xa702a8…
10-21 09:39:18	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	281	97¢	$272	0xae2d4c…
10-21 09:37:23	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4874fd…
10-20 05:53:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	187	97¢	$181	0x2975cb…
10-19 11:10:39	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd89674…
10-18 19:09:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	4,256	100¢	$4,249	0x9829de…
10-18 10:56:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	3,688	99¢	$3,662	0xd1f51f…
10-18 05:39:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	311	99¢	$308	0x20db3b…
10-17 04:40:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa1f958…
10-17 04:40:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x9770ee…
10-16 02:13:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,556	100¢	$5,550	0x73db22…
10-15 14:42:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	636	99¢	$630	0xeebc88…
10-15 10:01:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	SELL	750	84¢	$630	0x2c8063…
10-15 09:58:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1,193	99¢	$1,178	0x81d2be…
10-15 08:11:02	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	969	97¢	$942	0xeb9341…
10-14 15:53:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	370	98¢	$363	0x381a19…
10-14 15:45:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9db25d…
10-14 15:39:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x528835…
10-14 01:33:47	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	214	98¢	$209	0x2d9662…
10-13 17:46:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	348	95¢	$331	0x8ab1a2…
10-13 17:36:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	279	96¢	$267	0x738678…
10-12 15:01:42	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	214	91¢	$194	0xacdaab…
10-12 11:18:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	122	97¢	$118	0x913e9e…
10-12 10:17:44	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe762c2…
10-12 08:09:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	218	96¢	$209	0xa35ed2…
10-12 07:55:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	276	97¢	$266	0xe4d841…
10-12 06:45:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	250	96¢	$241	0x8add2f…
10-11 16:55:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	232	95¢	$220	0xc0e665…
10-11 16:53:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,845	81¢	$1,495	0xd1e8fc…
10-11 16:43:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x2bff3e…
10-11 16:41:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	214	96¢	$206	0x596455…
10-11 14:54:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	88	96¢	$85	0xb172fd…
10-11 14:51:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	906	97¢	$876	0x82054b…
10-11 14:50:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	321	97¢	$310	0x62b535…
10-11 14:49:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0x0aaa99…
10-11 14:48:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1907ee…
10-11 14:43:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	122	95¢	$116	0x3320c8…
10-11 14:20:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	258	95¢	$247	0xb63643…
10-11 13:13:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x3cae8d…
10-11 11:13:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	274	95¢	$261	0xa11fe2…
10-11 11:03:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	230	96¢	$221	0x5e3cc9…
10-11 11:02:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb1764a…
10-11 11:02:32	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdf5a16…
10-11 10:40:59	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x4c756c…
10-11 10:40:02	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	70	75¢	$52	0x0d5589…
10-11 10:38:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x0de0eb…
10-11 10:32:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x75295c…
10-11 10:31:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x6dd03c…
10-11 10:28:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x18961f…
10-11 10:27:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9314d9…
10-11 10:19:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xe18c37…
10-11 09:11:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	128	81¢	$104	0x1e7c19…
10-10 16:59:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x4c3e0c…
10-10 16:46:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x757bfb…
10-10 14:53:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x86a4b3…
10-09 12:54:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,486	0x0f1b5c…
10-09 12:53:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x11b144…
10-09 05:02:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	1,720	99¢	$1,708	0xf11e0f…
10-09 05:01:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	349	99¢	$346	0xef610d…
10-08 19:03:30	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	385	91¢	$351	0xd7a9c6…
10-08 18:19:03	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	93¢	$149	0x50ad17…
10-08 17:35:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	1,006	99¢	$1,000	0x7e48d1…
10-08 17:31:35	Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	149	95¢	$141	0xed1f39…
10-08 17:22:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	154	55¢	$85	0x044e87…
10-08 17:10:29	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	551	94¢	$518	0xb2262f…
10-08 15:56:44	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0xacf0b4…
10-08 15:35:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	488	77¢	$376	0xa83563…
10-08 15:33:38	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x3a698b…
10-08 15:03:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0x21278a…
10-08 15:01:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	3,571	100¢	$3,564	0x85dfa3…
10-08 14:44:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0x826166…
10-08 14:18:17	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	94¢	$179	0xf4a58d…
10-08 14:06:47	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	Yes	SELL	102	12¢	$12	0x9bf3fd…
10-08 08:37:07	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,009	94¢	$1,889	0x3a8430…
10-08 07:04:13	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	257	94¢	$242	0x3f64a1…
10-07 18:55:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xa108d9…
10-07 13:22:35	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	811	77¢	$625	0xd1f788…
10-07 13:22:20	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x553781…
10-07 13:22:13	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9f7652…
10-07 13:22:01	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	590	96¢	$566	0x4ec2bf…
10-07 13:14:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0b88ff…