Regal-Visa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$109

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-08 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

51% 75% +$1

Politics

46% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-08 20:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	8	$37	140	11	+129	open	—	04-08 00:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	04-05 00:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-17 23:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$6	14	14	+0	No	+$0	04-13 04:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-31 03:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 18:42
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-09 00:18
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-30 22:37
lol gen fox1 2026 04 05	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-05 00:58
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$2	3	0	+3	T1	+$1	05-09 20:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-13 03:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-13 04:06
btc updown 5m 1775490000	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-06 15:43
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 19:06
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	40	0	+40	open	—	05-16 21:51
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Team Vitality	$-1	05-08 20:50
lol fnc g2 2026 04 05	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 17:28
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$1	167	0	+167	open	—	05-08 20:51
will trump praise allah again by april 15	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-07 16:39
lol use1 me1 2026 04 07 game1	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-06 15:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-09 20:44
lol t1 gen 2026 04 08	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-05 17:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-01 21:41
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-08 19:00
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 21:45
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-08 20:50
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 21:51
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-13 04:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-09 00:28
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-16 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:50:45	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x545ec6…
06-01 21:41:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2d81f2…
05-30 22:37:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x690e57…
05-16 21:51:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x7712b4…
05-16 21:45:49	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x52c5a1…
05-16 21:45:23	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6eab61…
05-09 20:46:24	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x11cd14…
05-09 20:44:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x14f60e…
05-08 20:51:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x956877…
05-08 20:50:12	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Fnatic	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8cae77…
04-27 21:51:54	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc704ab…
04-17 23:52:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0xe1d34b…
04-13 04:07:53	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1c7591…
04-13 04:06:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0e6647…
04-13 04:06:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xeed01d…
04-13 04:02:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0xcc7770…
04-13 03:54:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1d787f…
04-13 03:53:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x812eac…
04-09 00:28:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17091b…
04-09 00:18:31	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x94f3ab…
04-08 19:06:53	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x23550c…
04-08 19:00:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcc373d…
04-08 18:42:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xed9b8e…
04-08 00:02:45	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x46c80d…
04-08 00:02:21	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xbf693f…
04-08 00:01:09	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x27bb42…
04-07 23:59:55	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xdad3fc…
04-07 23:55:25	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6aaf89…
04-07 22:25:37	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xd2e75e…
04-07 22:25:17	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb9ff40…
04-07 22:21:29	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe0faaa…
04-07 16:42:01	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3d29de…
04-07 16:39:05	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3fb9c5…
04-06 15:43:27	btc updown 5m 1775490000	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x201ccc…
04-06 15:43:07	btc updown 5m 1775490000	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x030bf4…
04-06 15:40:27	lol use1 me1 2026 04 07 game1	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa6347e…
04-05 17:30:37	lol t1 gen 2026 04 08	T1	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf523c8…
04-05 17:28:29	lol fnc g2 2026 04 05	Fnatic	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd41025…
04-05 00:58:27	lol gen fox1 2026 04 05	Gen.G	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x190cc6…
04-05 00:57:05	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1a3cf4…
04-05 00:51:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x67ced9…
04-05 00:49:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xc0c63a…
04-05 00:49:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x94cb51…
03-31 03:37:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x105ad1…
03-31 03:36:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x939be2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	24	$171.9K	10,343	06-09 21:37
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	23	$4.92M	7,154	06-09 22:59
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	22	$237.5K	4,059	06-09 22:03
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	20	$269.5K	466	05-22 17:07
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	20	$83.6K	1,471	06-09 22:03
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	19	$72.6K	322	06-08 20:17
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	19	$26.1K	2,471	06-09 11:22
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	18	$59.8K	4,735	06-01 04:27