Realistic-Shield — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$4.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-16 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 0% $-0

Politics

21% 0% $-20

Other

19% — —

Sports

12% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$271	240	240	+0	open	—	08-10 09:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$268	625	625	+0	open	—	08-10 14:00
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$244	144	144	+0	open	—	07-07 20:53
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$209	110	110	+0	open	—	07-20 07:41
will nico williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$209	109	109	+0	open	—	07-19 22:13
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	4	$151	144	144	+0	open	—	06-19 20:26
btc updown 5m 1776853800	3	$120	112	10	+101	open	—	04-22 10:34
btc updown 5m 1776852600	2	$120	125	0	+125	open	—	04-22 10:14
btc updown 5m 1776806400	2	$120	123	0	+123	open	—	04-21 21:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$119	233	233	+0	open	—	08-10 14:06
will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	1	$101	112	0	+112	open	—	08-16 07:18
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	3	$101	140	0	+140	open	—	08-16 08:50
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	3	$101	113	0	+113	open	—	08-16 07:46
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	2	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	07-31 13:08
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	08-16 07:09
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$100	216	0	+216	open	—	07-11 21:40
will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	07-18 10:22
btc updown 5m 1776810900	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	04-21 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$64	72	0	+72	open	—	04-24 22:03
btc updown 5m 1776783600	3	$64	81	13	+68	open	—	04-21 15:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	4	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	05-25 21:45
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	1	$50	111	0	+111	open	—	06-17 12:19
btc updown 5m 1776809700	3	$48	38	11	+27	open	—	04-21 22:20
btc updown 5m 1776808500	4	$43	31	30	+1	open	—	04-21 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$41	43	0	+43	open	—	04-25 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$41	45	0	+45	open	—	04-25 08:34
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game1	5	$39	45	45	+0	open	—	06-19 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$32	41	0	+41	open	—	04-24 22:09
btc updown 5m 1776809400	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-21 22:14
btc updown 5m 1776807900	3	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-21 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 08:50:01	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	70	72¢	$51	0xe8c8fd…
08-16 07:46:04	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x361f72…
08-16 07:18:10	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	112	90¢	$101	0x5e1217…
08-16 07:14:57	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x1ecd6e…
08-16 07:14:55	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x1bce1a…
08-16 07:11:04	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x7631c4…
08-16 07:11:00	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	57	72¢	$41	0x34597a…
08-16 07:09:46	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xc29996…
08-10 14:06:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	233	8¢	$19	0x9e5b76…
08-10 14:00:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	625	27¢	$168	0xc927f7…
08-10 09:10:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	240	71¢	$170	0xdd847c…
08-06 08:38:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x35216d…
08-03 14:07:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	240	42¢	$101	0xe190a1…
08-02 07:31:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x53c704…
07-31 13:08:06	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x1443ba…
07-31 13:08:06	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0e240d…
07-20 07:41:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xab02ab…
07-19 22:48:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x597e6c…
07-19 22:13:12	will nico williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x5faf91…
07-18 10:22:21	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x48ff4b…
07-15 21:23:49	will nico williams score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xda9a86…
07-11 21:40:28	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0x4684c9…
07-07 20:53:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0xec177b…
07-06 20:54:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0xc654d6…
06-30 21:37:23	Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf66754…
06-19 20:26:34	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Team Falcons	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x6385c0…
06-19 19:41:31	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Team Falcons	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x890a5c…
06-19 19:27:07	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Vitality	SELL	44	68¢	$30	0x7d85e3…
06-19 19:24:11	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Vitality	BUY	44	70¢	$31	0x0d2877…
06-19 15:04:40	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game2	Spirit	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0xbc2d6f…
06-19 14:59:47	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game2	Spirit	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xfa086d…
06-19 14:40:25	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game1	G2	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x2f2d44…
06-19 14:39:40	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game1	G2	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xcdd05c…
06-19 14:39:40	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game1	G2	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5d332a…
06-19 14:38:41	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game1	Spirit	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0x8ff226…
06-19 14:37:55	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game1	Spirit	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0x75ddbf…
06-17 12:19:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xcf98bf…
06-11 11:42:39	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xba3230…
06-11 11:42:10	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x978007…
06-11 11:42:01	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd60322…
05-25 21:45:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x749184…
05-25 20:42:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x77907a…
05-25 14:06:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x63ab41…
05-25 14:01:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xcf266e…
05-04 21:19:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x174a7a…
05-04 21:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc1be4e…
05-04 21:19:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x961864…
05-04 21:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x940c34…
04-29 20:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x76fed2…
04-28 21:52:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0863e4…
04-28 21:52:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb973fb…
04-25 11:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xfcab3a…
04-25 11:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xf536b6…
04-25 11:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x554705…
04-25 11:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb34664…
04-25 08:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfdb07c…
04-25 08:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x4ec16c…
04-25 08:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xddeaf9…
04-25 08:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x09cdb8…
04-25 08:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x49b9e8…
04-25 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x4a3de7…
04-25 08:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x268184…
04-25 08:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe4d106…
04-25 08:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd45230…
04-25 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe3e7e6…
04-25 07:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9fde72…
04-24 22:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0cf0d7…
04-24 22:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xedff9e…
04-24 22:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe1ee44…
04-24 22:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x8c6313…
04-24 22:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xae4290…
04-24 22:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x8d2939…
04-24 22:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf9d69f…
04-24 21:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9987f2…
04-24 21:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x904268…
04-24 21:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc6a0dd…
04-24 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa652c7…
04-24 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xac88bd…
04-24 21:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x52ee4d…
04-24 21:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb87d36…
04-24 21:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x667fdf…
04-24 21:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xf90fed…
04-24 21:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb9df45…
04-24 20:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x9f3cab…
04-24 20:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0a6c3f…
04-24 20:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7fe375…
04-24 20:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x02a1e9…
04-24 20:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x0255db…
04-22 11:39:32	btc updown 5m 1776857700	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x6a3e68…
04-22 11:36:42	btc updown 5m 1776857700	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8d8f11…
04-22 10:37:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xddf63f…
04-22 10:34:04	btc updown 5m 1776853800	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbec45f…
04-22 10:33:38	btc updown 5m 1776853800	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x207348…
04-22 10:33:08	btc updown 5m 1776853800	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd0d5fb…
04-22 10:29:06	btc updown 5m 1776853500	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x969438…
04-22 10:28:14	btc updown 5m 1776853500	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc2e25e…
04-22 10:24:18	btc updown 5m 1776853200	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5f4516…
04-22 10:20:00	btc updown 5m 1776852900	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd8943b…
04-22 10:18:10	btc updown 5m 1776852900	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x97e48c…
04-22 10:14:00	btc updown 5m 1776852600	Up	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0xdbae69…