Realized P&L
+$258
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
42
Trades
40,588
lifetime
Volume
$806.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 22:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
50% 73% +$94
Other
31% 46% +$79
Sports
10% 88% +$114
Tech
6%
Crypto
3% 50% $-29
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 2765 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -498 $-280 60¢ $-301 $-21 07-09 16:52
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No -440 $-215 56¢ $-244 $-30 06-18 02:31
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No -127 $-116 95¢ $-120 $-5 06-24 09:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -140 $-113 78¢ $-110 +$3 06-18 05:33
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -100 $-87 93¢ $-93 $-6 06-14 19:31
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -100 $-62 68¢ $-68 $-6 06-02 17:59
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +110 $41 58¢ $64 +$23 06-15 21:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -172 $-64 17¢ $-29 +$35 06-27 21:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +40 $7 62¢ $25 +$18 06-24 11:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +26 $6 83¢ $21 +$16 06-16 21:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +87 $5 22¢ $19 +$13 06-13 17:58
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -201 $-12 $-12 $-0 06-17 06:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +52 $-51 20¢ $11 +$62 06-19 21:02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +28 $18 38¢ $11 $-8 06-15 05:26
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +21 $20 46¢ $10 $-10 07-17 01:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -5 $4 99¢ $-5 $-9 06-25 13:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -10 $-1 44¢ $-4 $-3 06-14 21:41
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +5 $-70 80¢ $4 +$75 06-20 12:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -5 $-15 80¢ $-4 +$11 06-20 16:33
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4 $-10 82¢ $3 +$13 06-27 19:05
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 19¢ $2 +$1 06-17 17:54
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $4 35¢ $2 $-2 06-28 06:29
ByteDance IPO before 2027? Yes -15 $2 $-1 $-3 06-22 09:33
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $-0 94¢ $1 +$1 06-04 10:14
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 06-18 13:47
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-2 57¢ $-0 +$2 06-10 14:23
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +1 $-1 57¢ $0 +$1 07-14 02:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +1 $4 30¢ $0 $-4 07-04 07:12
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $56 30¢ $0 $-56 07-05 06:54
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $9 88¢ $0 $-9 06-20 06:57