Realized P&L
+$258
Unrealized P&L
+$71
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
42
Trades
37,012
lifetime
Volume
$709.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$3.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
53% 73% +$94
Other
32% 46% +$79
Tech
6%
Sports
6% 88% +$114
Crypto
3% 50% $-29
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 2765 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -804 $-679 99¢ $-799 $-121 06-26 09:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -418 $-286 100¢ $-417 $-131 06-18 01:59
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No -440 $-215 64¢ $-284 $-69 06-18 02:31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -244 $-237 100¢ $-243 $-6 06-17 14:29
Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +229 $221 99¢ $226 +$4 06-29 15:43
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +152 $96 100¢ $152 +$56 06-22 13:59
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +131 $88 99¢ $130 +$41 06-19 16:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -140 $-113 90¢ $-125 $-12 06-18 05:33
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +129 $112 97¢ $125 +$13 06-30 03:11
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No -127 $-116 95¢ $-120 $-5 06-24 09:55
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +102 $90 100¢ $102 +$11 06-14 22:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -100 $-93 100¢ $-100 $-7 06-08 11:30
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -100 $-49 97¢ $-97 $-48 06-26 14:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -100 $-87 90¢ $-90 $-4 06-14 19:31
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +75 $43 97¢ $73 +$29 06-14 09:20
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -100 $-62 70¢ $-70 $-8 06-02 17:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +95 $-26 66¢ $63 +$89 06-30 05:03
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +110 $41 52¢ $58 +$16 06-15 21:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -172 $-64 26¢ $-45 +$19 06-27 21:09
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +44 $10 98¢ $43 +$33 06-21 14:56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +36 $19 95¢ $34 +$16 06-14 03:15
Discord IPO before 2027? No +61 $20 44¢ $27 +$6 06-29 23:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +40 $7 52¢ $21 +$14 06-24 11:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +26 $6 74¢ $19 +$14 06-16 21:27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +19 $-34 97¢ $19 +$52 06-14 21:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +52 $-51 29¢ $15 +$66 06-19 21:02
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +192 $19 $14 $-4 06-09 15:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +28 $18 48¢ $13 $-5 06-15 05:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +12 $6 100¢ $12 +$6 06-15 06:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +87 $5 11¢ $9 +$4 06-13 17:58