Realized P&L
+$258
Unrealized P&L
+$151
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
42
Trades
19,257
lifetime
Volume
$282.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$673
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
50% 46% +$79
Politics
35% 73% +$94
Crypto
6% 50% $-29
Sports
5% 88% +$114
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 1445 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +399 $180 50¢ $201 +$22 06-09 21:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -136 $-99 78¢ $-105 $-6 06-09 14:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -100 $-93 98¢ $-98 $-4 06-08 11:30
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +115 $100 74¢ $85 $-15 06-09 23:46
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -100 $-62 62¢ $-62 $-0 06-02 17:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +60 $37 81¢ $48 +$11 06-09 22:56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +119 $20 19¢ $23 +$3 06-09 22:00
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +192 $19 $14 $-4 06-09 15:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +53 $3 22¢ $12 +$8 06-09 16:59
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +20 $8 37¢ $7 $-1 06-09 21:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +5 $-10 62¢ $3 +$13 06-09 16:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +3 $-30 89¢ $3 +$33 06-08 16:10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +3 $-2 87¢ $3 +$5 06-09 18:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +2 $0 91¢ $2 +$2 06-09 15:53
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $-0 92¢ $1 +$1 06-07 18:16
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $-0 91¢ $1 +$1 06-04 10:14
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +1 $-43 74¢ $1 +$43 06-09 21:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1 $2 80¢ $1 $-2 06-03 05:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +0 $16 76¢ $0 $-16 06-08 05:31
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +0 $-69 100¢ $0 +$69 06-07 21:29
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $62 26¢ $0 $-62 06-09 20:29
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Yes +0 $-4 64¢ $0 +$4 06-06 21:13
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-0 79¢ $0 +$0 06-03 21:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +0 $-7 88¢ $0 +$7 06-09 00:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $-38 26¢ $0 +$38 06-09 19:22
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-2 24¢ $0 +$2 06-09 03:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +1 $8 24¢ $0 $-8 06-09 07:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +1 $-1 17¢ $0 +$1 06-02 19:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +1 $-2 12¢ $0 +$2 06-08 21:23
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +1 $-5 $0 +$5 06-08 22:09