Realized P&L (7d)
+$156
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
87.8%
Resolved (7d)
17
Trades (7d)
9
71,922 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$54
$1.29M lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$16
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Other
40% 44% -$2,373
Politics
40% 60% +$238
Sports
14% 59% +$1,248
Tech
5% 59% +$466
Crypto
2% 70% -$178
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 646 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +12 $4 88¢ $11 +$6 08-01 06:33
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 Yes +12 $8 12¢ $2 -$6 08-01 06:33
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +1 $4 94¢ $1 -$4 05-03 05:48
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -400 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 08-01 06:30
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -400 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 08-01 06:30
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -400 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 08-01 06:30
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -400 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 08-01 06:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1 -$14 92¢ $0 +$14 05-10 13:24
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +0 -$3 93¢ $0 +$3 06-22 11:34
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +0 $7 86¢ $0 -$7 07-03 05:55
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +1 $79 6¢ $0 -$79 05-03 07:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1 $0 8¢ $0 $0 08-01 06:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 05-14 19:17
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $20 57¢ $0 -$20 07-07 18:34
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +0 $12 12¢ $0 -$12 06-28 18:40
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +0 -$1 3¢ $0 +$1 06-09 15:15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 -$43 3¢ $0 +$43 07-13 18:49
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$2 4¢ $0 +$2 06-10 14:23