Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

1,339 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$354

$24.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-06-08

last 11-12 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Politics

48% 99% +$62

Other

42% 99% +$85

Crypto

6% 55% -$58

Tech

3% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No		+40	$40	100¢	$40	+$0	11-12 17:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 01:00 UTC	142	$230	530	0	+530	Down	-$5	06-10 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	102	$229	440	0	+440	Up	-$7	06-15 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	67	$144	281	0	+281	Down	-$4	07-26 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	41	$137	159	71	+89	Up	-$6	06-14 19:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 01:15 UTC	55	$121	246	0	+246	Up	-$15	06-10 01:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 23:00 UTC	38	$84	160	0	+160	Up	-$4	07-26 23:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:30 UTC	32	$70	131	0	+131	Up	-$4	07-26 22:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:15 UTC	30	$48	117	0	+117	Down	-$3	07-26 20:26
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	10-01 06:03
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	11-10 17:00
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	11-12 17:00
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	11-10 16:01
Will Marshall retake Kansas Senate odds lead by November 1?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	11-02 05:47
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	11-10 08:56
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	10-15 20:30
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Grüne	+$0	09-21 09:57
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-04 19:31
Will Jonas Gahr Støre attend King Harald V's funeral?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-09 13:48
will trump say venezuela during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-30 17:45
Will PepsiCo say "Consumer" during earnings call?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	10-08 12:25
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	10-23 15:25
will blackrock say infrastructure during earnings call october 14	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	10-14 11:36
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	09-24 14:47
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	10-17 04:00
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	11-03 17:04
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	10-23 16:00
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-26 16:00
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	11-04 08:55
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	10-30 22:04
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by September 30?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	10-01 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 17:00:01	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe01a3b…
11-12 14:13:03	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal from NVIDIA board by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x9ca869…
11-12 14:13:03	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal from NVIDIA board by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x63f0f9…
11-12 14:13:03	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal from NVIDIA board by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x1b40b6…
11-12 05:00:01	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x2491ab…
11-12 00:41:34	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb8a523…
11-12 00:41:34	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2aa981…
11-12 00:41:34	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1829b4…
11-12 00:41:34	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x059caf…
11-11 12:43:16	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2af86d…
11-11 12:02:03	Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x912fc1…
11-10 23:03:48	Will CoreWeave say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x9e2204…
11-10 22:10:45	Will CoreWeave say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x15dfd5…
11-10 18:02:07	Will no Rogan episode air?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x49485a…
11-10 17:00:04	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x7ba6fa…
11-10 17:00:03	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb3563f…
11-10 17:00:03	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x7e4bc4…
11-10 16:01:42	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x777077…
11-10 16:01:34	Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0xc9e35d…
11-10 16:01:31	Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5b4265…
11-10 16:01:31	Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0x1bbf80…
11-10 08:56:07	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3794a0…
11-10 08:56:07	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2ce0ed…
11-10 06:10:45	California Immunology Research Bond Proposition	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x06be84…
11-09 19:01:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x5ab5f0…
11-09 11:17:39	Will Trump say "Brazil" this week?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6ffaaf…
11-09 01:26:00	Will Trump say "Susie" or "Wiles" during "60 Minutes" extended interview?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf4460f…
11-09 00:35:48	Will Trump say "Gas" or "Oil" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during "60 Minutes" extended interview?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x034739…
11-08 10:57:10	Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd2c341…
11-08 01:50:42	California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xdf7f88…
11-07 05:50:55	Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd85ebb…
11-07 05:00:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x51052b…
11-07 01:29:52	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xc2fd3c…
11-07 01:29:52	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x73b193…
11-07 01:29:52	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x40ea3b…
11-07 01:19:49	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x2c4e13…
11-06 23:59:37	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times at Cape Canaveral?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x90a720…
11-06 23:34:40	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" at Cape Canaveral?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0x77ef26…
11-06 23:34:36	Will Trump say "SpaceX" at Cape Canaveral?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2951d5…
11-06 23:26:13	Will Trump say "China" at Cape Canaveral?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xecb592…
11-06 23:25:40	Will Trump say "Drone" at Cape Canaveral?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xef6853…
11-06 19:08:43	Will Republicans lose any "Solid R" House race?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xab393a…
11-06 05:21:34	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa734d6…
11-05 23:14:54	Will Airbnb say "Code / Coding" during earnings call?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd035ce…
11-05 23:14:54	Will Airbnb say "Social Media" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xab23b5…
11-05 22:56:51	Will Airbnb say "Holiday" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x24b589…
11-05 22:44:46	Will Airbnb say "Take Rate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf2ee65…
11-05 22:34:43	Will Airbnb say "Delta" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x01d0ec…
11-05 22:05:57	Will Airbnb say "Growth" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xde0085…
11-05 22:04:39	Will Airbnb say "Project Hawaii" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x9b6f6e…
11-05 20:26:10	Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xf42332…
11-05 20:25:51	Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x693b24…
11-05 20:17:49	Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xd9d01d…
11-05 20:14:04	Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x80cb7d…
11-05 20:05:13	Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x06847e…
11-05 14:12:58	Will the loser of the Ohio Senate election concede by November 3?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xae1d7f…
11-05 12:32:37	Will the loser of the Michigan Senate election concede by November 4?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x99b95a…
11-05 08:01:51	Will Trump say "Allah" on November 4?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf22cc8…
11-05 07:35:24	Will Trump say "Rigged" 5+ times on November 4?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x533851…
11-05 05:31:25	Will the loser of the Vermont Governor election concede by November 3?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf579b8…
11-05 05:06:03	Will the loser of the Kansas Senate election concede by November 4?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1864d4…
11-05 03:34:37	California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x285880…
11-05 03:25:52	California Clinic Funding Proposition	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbfad16…
11-04 23:06:07	Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7e156f…
11-04 22:41:57	Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe78f8a…
11-04 21:31:07	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe8944b…
11-04 20:34:45	Will Trump say "Congratulations" or "Congrats" on November 4?	Yes	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x33d706…
11-04 18:58:33	Will Trump say "China" on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe71573…
11-04 18:56:40	Will Trump say "Veto" on November 4?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x15de87…
11-04 16:00:00	California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x559cb0…
11-04 15:03:31	First Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x575f5d…
11-04 15:03:24	First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd1377c…
11-04 15:02:21	First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2ac567…
11-04 15:02:13	First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x20eb8b…
11-04 15:00:22	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6b9ba9…
11-04 14:59:46	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x491e11…
11-04 14:59:36	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6dd59…
11-04 14:59:10	First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf8f606…
11-04 13:29:58	Will Uber say "DoorDash" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x53bc29…
11-04 13:22:18	Will Uber say "Delivery" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd61866…
11-04 11:24:40	Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x38e55b…
11-04 08:57:48	Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x9173ef…
11-04 08:57:46	Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xdc4387…
11-04 08:57:46	Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xdc0fab…
11-04 08:57:46	Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x64268c…
11-04 08:57:46	Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x21e863…
11-04 08:55:09	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x26dbfb…
11-04 08:37:21	Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb581c4…
11-04 07:26:19	Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xeda70e…
11-04 07:02:46	Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0x16b1f4…
11-04 06:46:48	Will the loser of the Florida Governor election concede by November 3?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x66af39…
11-04 06:46:48	Will the loser of the Florida Governor election concede by November 4?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x3eb7dc…
11-04 06:30:34	Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xde6268…
11-04 05:16:51	New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdffd23…
11-04 04:36:25	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0xae0e86…
11-03 23:25:30	Will AMD say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" 30+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6d0790…
11-03 22:17:00	Will AMD say "Growth" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa3bede…
11-03 22:13:49	Will AMD say "Revenue" 15+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x14010c…
11-03 22:02:55	Will AMD say "Data Center" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x230aee…
11-03 17:04:04	Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4040fa…