Reflecting-Nasal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-22 00:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-1

Sports

37% 0% $-3

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$1.5K	769	769	+0	No	$-3	04-09 00:42
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$871	452	452	+0	open	—	04-13 07:35
Netanyahu out by April 30?	8	$849	438	438	+0	open	—	04-07 11:06
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	11	$836	429	429	+0	open	—	04-21 02:14
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$682	361	361	+0	open	—	03-10 16:17
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$674	357	357	+0	Yes	$-1	03-13 17:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$642	334	334	+0	open	—	03-29 19:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$625	320	320	+0	open	—	03-28 08:35
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$623	325	325	+0	open	—	03-19 10:33
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$381	195	195	+0	open	—	03-03 14:37
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$373	191	191	+0	No	$-0	03-08 01:54
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$363	188	188	+0	open	—	03-04 02:53
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$353	180	180	+0	open	—	03-10 00:17
2026 the players championship winner collin morikawa win	2	$350	184	184	+0	open	—	03-11 16:40
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	6	$350	186	186	+0	open	—	03-09 01:49
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$340	177	177	+0	open	—	03-17 21:19
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$340	175	175	+0	open	—	03-12 23:52
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$337	176	176	+0	open	—	03-16 15:06
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$337	174	174	+0	open	—	03-12 10:53
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$334	175	175	+0	open	—	03-15 02:31
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$330	176	176	+0	open	—	03-21 19:38
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$328	174	174	+0	open	—	03-27 16:40
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	6	$315	164	164	+0	open	—	03-26 03:04
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$314	164	164	+0	open	—	03-23 20:16
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$311	159	159	+0	open	—	03-29 10:28
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$310	159	159	+0	open	—	03-25 20:14
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$309	164	164	+0	open	—	03-29 03:19
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$304	157	157	+0	open	—	03-27 09:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	4	$228	120	120	+0	open	—	06-04 15:31
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$224	115	115	+0	open	—	03-27 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 00:51:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0x1ea762…
06-21 18:44:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$55	0x7aa008…
06-19 18:51:20	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xc6924e…
06-19 12:43:40	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe74e5f…
06-19 12:11:23	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	SELL	39	92¢	$36	0xcd39cd…
06-19 08:06:26	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x9ef073…
06-18 11:23:53	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x3f6d44…
06-18 03:17:14	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xbd2a6b…
06-17 10:39:20	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0x9a20c7…
06-17 06:37:32	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xf0cbab…
06-17 06:36:50	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd6a834…
06-15 20:56:39	will australia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149722	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x015baf…
06-15 14:54:40	will australia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149722	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xaf627f…
06-12 19:31:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xa5aa37…
06-12 13:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$47	0x9b07db…
06-12 04:14:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xa643d8…
06-11 20:11:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5b70a9…
06-11 11:56:39	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x6285e7…
06-11 06:24:03	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xccae8f…
06-11 06:02:18	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x17a4bf…
06-11 05:55:48	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfaabd1…
06-10 10:23:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x8c4790…
06-10 06:23:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x9d8667…
06-10 05:47:21	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	SELL	49	91¢	$45	0x326d57…
06-09 23:42:55	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x8e2316…
06-07 07:48:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0xb5b522…
06-07 00:41:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x682b19…
06-07 00:05:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x96049b…
06-06 20:05:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xb585e8…
06-04 15:31:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xfd8cee…
06-04 09:24:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xa0b4c0…
06-03 10:15:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	68	94¢	$63	0xa1fdc2…
06-03 04:15:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$64	0x408984…
06-02 22:32:41	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xef6f9c…
06-02 12:46:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xdaa158…
06-02 05:41:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x52de77…
05-21 20:29:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0xe03302…
05-21 16:24:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x11ce83…
05-18 11:23:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0xf17e1f…
05-18 06:13:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xc5f90c…
05-18 05:23:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xbed3a1…
05-15 20:00:39	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xfc8195…
05-15 14:57:16	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$41	0x09022e…
04-27 09:09:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	113	94¢	$106	0x8057de…
04-27 04:02:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	113	93¢	$106	0xc28701…
04-22 12:48:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x2339b7…
04-22 03:35:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x088a1d…
04-21 02:14:16	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$63	0xb2c5d8…
04-20 18:30:36	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0x80e813…
04-13 18:23:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0xaf458d…
04-13 10:20:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0xa8c9f6…
04-13 07:35:17	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xc62db6…
04-12 23:42:17	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xa6dc1c…
04-12 09:38:43	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x2f9115…
04-12 02:21:23	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x318c5b…
04-12 01:53:11	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	95¢	$61	0x625bcf…
04-11 19:50:13	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$61	0x0dc2ab…
04-11 09:10:47	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x5a76e6…
04-11 01:45:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0xeb76b9…
04-09 00:42:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x69dcf4…
04-08 17:24:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0xf419da…
04-08 15:59:49	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	65	94¢	$60	0xa5c87d…
04-08 08:27:43	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	65	95¢	$61	0x017bd6…
04-07 23:16:29	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x1b0245…
04-07 14:29:35	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xcf1439…
04-07 11:06:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x9b3c27…
04-01 03:26:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xb33783…
03-31 17:39:19	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x881c14…
03-31 09:28:49	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x2e3f52…
03-31 01:19:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$60	0xa683e1…
03-30 20:45:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0x128c45…
03-30 11:57:10	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	167	97¢	$163	0x43505d…
03-30 04:56:56	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0x0241ca…
03-30 03:27:24	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	157	98¢	$153	0x33361e…
03-29 21:19:34	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	157	98¢	$153	0x2b7d3a…
03-29 19:44:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	165	97¢	$159	0xad8219…
03-29 14:11:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	165	97¢	$159	0xc3cea7…
03-29 10:28:26	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	159	98¢	$155	0xda2eea…
03-29 03:26:40	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	159	98¢	$156	0x034477…
03-29 03:19:24	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	164	94¢	$155	0x6ae2e2…
03-28 20:39:24	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	164	94¢	$154	0xd50165…
03-28 08:35:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	162	98¢	$159	0x171ed9…
03-28 01:16:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	162	98¢	$159	0x53cecf…
03-27 23:09:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	157	98¢	$154	0x864ba2…
03-27 18:00:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	157	98¢	$154	0xd459ec…
03-27 16:40:41	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	174	94¢	$164	0xbaca48…
03-27 09:40:29	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	174	94¢	$163	0x51e513…
03-27 09:02:57	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	157	96¢	$152	0x9b5f7a…
03-27 02:10:45	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	157	97¢	$152	0xb0e482…
03-27 00:54:49	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	115	98¢	$113	0x5d39a0…
03-26 19:05:09	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	115	97¢	$111	0xc311e0…
03-26 18:39:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	169	96¢	$162	0x9c86ef…
03-26 10:54:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	169	96¢	$162	0x8d1b25…
03-26 03:04:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	164	96¢	$157	0xedef9c…
03-25 21:39:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	43	96¢	$42	0xa148bb…
03-25 21:26:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x57f0ac…
03-25 21:25:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x95b70a…
03-25 21:23:41	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x3e0fff…
03-25 21:15:57	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xcba700…
03-25 20:14:31	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	159	98¢	$155	0x9cecda…