Disguised-Commotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

558

Trades

1,789

lifetime

Volume

$100.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-22 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 51% -$4,990

Other

20% 47% +$1,074

Sports

3% 58% -$506

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	37	$5.3K	3,664	3,664	+0	Down	+$699	05-07 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	8	$2.7K	3,096	3,096	+0	Up	+$817	05-07 18:53
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Maria Timofeeva	6	$2.5K	4,591	2,611	+1,981	Maria Timofeeva	-$48	05-10 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	11	$2.0K	1,579	1,579	+0	Down	+$235	05-20 08:49
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	8	$1.9K	1,543	1,543	+0	Up	-$52	05-07 21:45
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	7	$1.9K	1,515	1,515	+0	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	+$774	05-20 12:22
Oeiras 4: Henrique Rocha vs Roman Safiullin	20	$1.8K	3,266	3,152	+114	Roman Safiullin	-$188	05-11 17:38
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Suzan Lamens	25	$1.8K	2,583	2,583	+0	Suzan Lamens	+$245	05-20 11:32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	8	$1.5K	1,450	1,450	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$518	05-16 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	33	$1.4K	793	793	+0	Down	+$151	05-07 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	21	$1.3K	1,703	1,703	+0	Up	-$304	05-08 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$1.2K	837	837	+0	Up	+$266	05-20 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$1.2K	768	768	+0	Down	+$313	05-08 19:24
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo	6	$1.1K	711	711	+0	Kaitlin Quevedo	+$50	05-20 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$1.1K	699	699	+0	Down	+$138	05-20 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$1.0K	714	714	+0	Down	+$60	05-08 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	70	$1.0K	2,437	2,437	+0	Up	-$931	05-07 21:48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	3	$953	1,339	584	+755	Botic van de Zandschulp	-$300	05-08 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$918	855	855	+0	Up	+$113	05-20 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	23	$857	1,069	723	+346	Down	+$38	05-19 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$856	515	515	+0	Down	+$56	05-08 18:37
nba tor cle 2026 04 18	10	$807	529	525	+4	Cavaliers	-$4	04-18 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$806	578	578	+0	Down	+$206	05-11 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$800	883	883	+0	Down	-$454	05-08 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$800	1,121	0	+1,121	Up	-$800	05-08 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$800	932	0	+932	Up	-$800	05-07 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$761	548	548	+0	Down	+$125	05-11 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$730	481	481	+0	Down	+$171	05-11 16:28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova	2	$714	515	515	+0	Nikola Bartunkova	+$314	05-10 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	29	$699	948	948	+0	Up	-$272	05-20 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 12:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf81214…
05-21 09:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	89	19¢	$17	0x074b6f…
05-20 16:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	609	62¢	$378	0xee26c9…
05-20 16:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	392	99¢	$388	0xbeb191…
05-20 16:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x78a706…
05-20 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	386	52¢	$200	0x1c3875…
05-20 16:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	232	8¢	$19	0xb51de4…
05-20 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xfb964c…
05-20 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x625e9b…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xfa504d…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xf64142…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xf2606e…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xdb6ef2…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xda7e40…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	111	27¢	$30	0xd75648…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xbff6ff…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xbac867…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xa72d60…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0xa22ae9…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x91ddda…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x87b60b…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x4140e9…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x289ed4…
05-20 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x108c15…
05-20 16:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0x6a1d38…
05-20 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0xc73239…
05-20 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0xb0040a…
05-20 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0xa85d44…
05-20 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x2b7e9b…
05-20 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x095895…
05-20 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	191	27¢	$51	0xd4dfde…
05-20 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	220	28¢	$61	0xbf2324…
05-20 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xa82107…
05-20 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x901170…
05-20 16:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	948	51¢	$485	0x15ac14…
05-20 16:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	855	60¢	$516	0x610ecb…
05-20 16:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	855	47¢	$403	0x3b2238…
05-20 16:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	415	98¢	$407	0x94ea9d…
05-20 16:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	415	72¢	$300	0xd14109…
05-20 16:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	422	77¢	$323	0xa190cf…
05-20 16:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	422	39¢	$164	0x09a83b…
05-20 16:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x83ad50…
05-20 16:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	280	1¢	$3	0x7a8a31…
05-20 16:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	280	49¢	$137	0xd08e5d…
05-20 15:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	304	1¢	$3	0x39690a…
05-20 15:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x1e4a54…
05-20 15:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf00b84…
05-20 15:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xbfb092…
05-20 15:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5bcfef…
05-20 15:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0x30f9d6…
05-20 15:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x165a34…
05-20 15:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x129199…
05-20 15:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xa9910b…
05-20 15:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x824c08…
05-20 15:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x170419…
05-20 15:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	156	96¢	$150	0xd2889d…
05-20 15:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	156	49¢	$77	0x29db8c…
05-20 15:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdc8027…
05-20 15:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x4a72df…
05-20 15:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa661a3…
05-20 15:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x073651…
05-20 15:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfd768f…
05-20 15:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	79	80¢	$64	0x070e8d…
05-20 15:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	427	16¢	$68	0xad724f…
05-20 15:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x82b6ff…
05-20 15:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	131	15¢	$20	0xb718eb…
05-20 15:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	257	16¢	$40	0x7a54a7…
05-20 15:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x450e0f…
05-20 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0x168636…
05-20 15:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	345	11¢	$39	0x0244c1…
05-20 15:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	345	52¢	$178	0x01fa8a…
05-20 15:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x28ee7d…
05-20 14:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x51e281…
05-20 14:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x4fefd1…
05-20 14:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	179	80¢	$143	0xfda219…
05-20 13:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x5da8c9…
05-20 13:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x27dd99…
05-20 13:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xffa683…
05-20 13:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa4631e…
05-20 13:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x203561…
05-20 13:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb2c2f4…
05-20 13:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	44	50¢	$22	0xc4ed8d…
05-20 13:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	42¢	$18	0xb7f09c…
05-20 13:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x582b15…
05-20 13:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd6f03b…
05-20 13:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x3480a9…
05-20 13:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xeb7f1e…
05-20 13:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x237602…
05-20 13:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	245	5¢	$12	0x907a2a…
05-20 13:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	393	38¢	$149	0xeb069e…
05-20 12:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	185	3¢	$6	0x03ec6a…
05-20 12:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	185	50¢	$92	0x7c5258…
05-20 12:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	384	10¢	$37	0x3f796d…
05-20 12:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1,000	7¢	$65	0xbd8186…
05-20 12:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	662	44¢	$293	0xde5a85…
05-20 12:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	722	40¢	$291	0x0499c4…
05-20 12:24:50	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x5f549c…
05-20 12:24:36	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x786bf2…
05-20 12:24:36	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0x5062d3…
05-20 12:24:34	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Teodora Kostovic vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	SELL	602	83¢	$500	0x7b237c…