Disguised-Commotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

8 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.07K

$1.07K lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 07:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Crypto

42% 100% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$625	500	500	+0	open	—	05-07 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$423	1,852	0	+1,852	open	—	05-08 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	+$26	05-08 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 07:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	384	15¢	$58	0xaad19a…
05-08 07:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,066	14¢	$150	0x3aaee8…
05-08 07:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	402	53¢	$215	0x28e252…
05-08 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x591642…
05-07 21:41:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	500	61¢	$305	0x9e2498…
05-07 21:07:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x4ade62…
05-05 13:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x7e2c0c…
05-05 13:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x523cc9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$6.13K	37	05-08 07:32
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$602	27	05-08 07:33