Outlandish-Chem — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved (30d)

522

Trades (30d)

686

1,199 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$694

$2.09K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-11 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 40% -$14

Other

21% 48% -$16

Sports

1% 25% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$61	52	52	+0	No	+$1	05-15 19:32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?	2	$57	45	45	+0	Yes	+$6	05-12 19:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$48	74	74	+0	No	+$4	05-10 20:43
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	2	$42	123	123	+0	No	-$17	05-25 02:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	13	$35	45	45	+0	Up	+$0	03-08 23:25
bitcoin up or down march 11 12pm et	10	$34	49	49	+0	Up	-$1	03-11 16:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 23:45 UTC	2	$25	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	03-08 23:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:00 UTC	2	$25	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	03-09 03:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 22:00 UTC	14	$25	26	26	+0	Up	+$0	03-06 22:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 21:45 UTC	4	$25	27	26	+0	Up	+$1	03-06 21:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 18:30 UTC	4	$24	19	18	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 18:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 18:15 UTC	8	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	03-08 18:21
atp fearnle dzumhur 2026 03 04	2	$22	21	21	+0	Jacob Fearnley	-$1	03-05 21:24
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	6	$20	247	247	+0	No	-$4	03-11 14:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 15:45 UTC	8	$20	18	17	+0	Up	+$1	03-07 15:53
ethereum up or down march 11 1pm et	4	$20	15	15	+0	Up	-$2	03-11 17:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 18:30 UTC	2	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 18:34
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$19	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-21 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	7	$19	20	20	+0	Down	$0	10-27 04:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 23:00 UTC	2	$18	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	03-07 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 5?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	$0	11-05 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:40 UTC	4	$16	15	15	+0	Up	$0	03-06 14:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC	6	$16	10	10	+0	Up	$0	03-07 00:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC	6	$16	38	23	+15	Down	+$2	03-08 23:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 22:30 UTC	4	$15	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	03-06 22:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 22:15 UTC	4	$15	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	03-06 22:24
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 14:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 18:45 UTC	12	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	03-08 18:55
atp gaston smit 2026 03 05	2	$14	10	10	+0	Hugo Gaston	-$1	03-05 18:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 18:00 UTC	4	$14	12	12	+0	Down	$0	03-11 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 04:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3e01d1…
11-12 04:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x91d4c8…
11-12 03:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7d51a8…
11-12 03:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x911066…
11-12 03:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x3db3cb…
11-12 03:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x34e625…
11-11 22:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x13b6f5…
11-11 22:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x386ed0…
11-11 06:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x226b63…
11-10 05:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7a309e…
11-10 04:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x799723…
11-10 04:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3942fc…
11-10 04:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xa68170…
11-10 04:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbc1de2…
11-10 04:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xedfe3c…
11-10 04:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8f8cad…
11-10 04:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xb9f515…
11-10 04:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9a8a42…
11-10 04:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x20156a…
11-10 04:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x314390…
11-10 04:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x33b457…
11-10 04:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2c7925…
11-10 04:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x209f88…
11-10 04:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa4ed91…
11-10 03:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x06e7ec…
11-10 03:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf531f0…
11-10 03:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x0aef57…
11-10 03:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4f58e8…
11-10 03:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x1cf52a…
11-10 03:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf1f37b…
11-10 03:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xc9a2a7…
11-10 03:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3e4410…
11-09 23:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x033cd3…
11-09 23:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4e083a…
11-09 23:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x3cc597…
11-09 23:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x860433…
11-09 22:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0xfe55e5…
11-09 22:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4fe1b7…
11-09 22:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x6d9a68…
11-09 22:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd34e04…
11-09 22:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0xf87d95…
11-09 22:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb17f23…
11-09 22:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x905296…
11-09 22:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8b9fbc…
11-09 22:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x97db10…
11-09 22:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x97bb3d…
11-09 22:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x33d2d6…
11-09 22:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x70a78f…
11-09 22:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x8f87fb…
11-09 22:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x348c31…
11-09 22:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xcb1aae…
11-09 22:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x02f5e1…
11-09 22:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x0120e3…
11-09 22:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8a2115…
11-09 22:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x6d2dc0…
11-09 22:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcc4767…
11-09 22:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xdec947…
11-09 22:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x849dac…
11-09 22:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x8495fc…
11-09 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa4c7b9…
11-09 21:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xdc64bc…
11-09 21:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbaf7f2…
11-09 21:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x5ad89b…
11-09 21:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x88c53f…
11-09 21:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xe538e9…
11-09 21:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe3a339…
11-09 21:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xcece83…
11-09 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x637709…
11-09 21:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xa3dd66…
11-09 21:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x79a8f7…
11-09 21:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x6718ed…
11-09 21:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa44f24…
11-09 21:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x2c632b…
11-09 21:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x939364…
11-09 20:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x38f8f4…
11-09 20:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9e227f…
11-09 20:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x6045d6…
11-09 20:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xffcbeb…
11-09 20:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x0f84d9…
11-09 20:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x925632…
11-09 20:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xca339a…
11-09 20:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x983ae7…
11-09 20:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x5677b5…
11-09 20:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5a8f53…
11-09 19:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x641ab3…
11-09 19:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1aea79…
11-09 19:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x90108f…
11-09 19:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbd2cdd…
11-09 19:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x03f33c…
11-09 19:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3598ec…
11-09 19:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x794f2b…
11-09 19:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xed00d1…
11-09 19:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xaed0f6…
11-09 19:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x28dd3a…
11-09 12:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x5ca275…
11-09 12:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x982371…
11-09 12:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6542c4…
11-09 11:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x756a82…
11-09 11:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x7201e7…
11-09 11:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x35ffcc…