Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$231

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.2%

Resolved (90d)

185

Trades (90d)

2,319

2,319 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$15.7K

$15.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-21

last 10-29 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

62% 5% -$184

Politics

26% 7% -$21

Sports

6% 0% -$4

Tech

4% 0% -$14

Crypto

1% 17% -$1

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will texas enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	6	$110	105	105	+0	open	—	09-29 19:46
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	7	$105	80	80	+0	open	—	10-18 00:25
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	10	$95	86	86	+0	open	—	10-19 02:02
U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?	12	$94	80	80	+0	open	—	10-06 22:30
Will OpenRouter process 185T or more tokens the week of October 5?	3	$80	50	50	+0	No	-$4	10-04 20:35
will a short documentary about a giant pencil be nominated for best documentary short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	3	$74	120	20	+100	open	—	10-24 17:54
Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	6	$72	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 23:55
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	3	$71	52	52	+0	open	—	10-01 03:12
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	6	$70	60	60	+0	No	-$2	10-08 01:01
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	10-06 11:22
Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?	6	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	10-13 21:43
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	6	$67	60	60	+0	No	-$1	09-23 04:02
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	10-03 16:36
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	4	$63	40	40	+0	No	-$1	10-05 04:59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?	4	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	09-27 10:41
Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$61	60	60	+0	No	-$3	10-21 20:05
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	2	$60	50	50	+0	No	$0	09-23 04:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 10%-15%?	4	$59	40	40	+0	open	—	10-23 06:06
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0.5% and 1%?	7	$56	44	44	+0	open	—	10-23 22:30
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$54	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 17:43
will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut at a score of at least 1440 by june 30 2027	4	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	09-30 20:29
Brooklyn Nets 2026-27 Regular Season Wins: O/U 23.5	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	10-19 17:07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 20%-25%?	6	$52	60	60	+0	open	—	10-19 03:32
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$52	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	10-10 23:27
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	4	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	10-04 14:47
Will Justin Herbert have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	09-29 14:39
Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	6	$47	42	33	+9	open	—	10-26 22:03
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$46	35	35	+0	Yes	-$1	10-21 10:39
Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$45	58	58	+0	open	—	10-26 07:11
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	5	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:24:58	Will Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x436972…
10-29 17:48:32	Will Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x2ad143…
10-29 14:42:46	Will Pittsburgh have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x783879…
10-29 14:42:38	Will Pittsburgh have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xac0784…
10-29 14:33:02	Will Cam Skattebo finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x96138f…
10-29 03:51:05	Will Brest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x350e06…
10-28 23:28:49	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x78e5a5…
10-28 07:11:29	Will Dusan Tadic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xb10f90…
10-28 04:51:28	Will Jalen Hurts have 199.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd7f90d…
10-28 02:59:33	Will Emeka Egbuka have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x15d3d1…
10-28 02:59:00	Will Emeka Egbuka have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x637b09…
10-28 02:31:38	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x76cee4…
10-28 02:16:42	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6f33e2…
10-28 01:50:41	Will Christian Watson have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8dfb44…
10-28 01:50:06	Will Christian Watson have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xcee64d…
10-27 13:23:41	Will LSU Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0xae7e46…
10-27 13:23:36	Will LSU Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x2fcb34…
10-26 23:55:36	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x280a81…
10-26 23:53:35	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x8b30c7…
10-26 22:03:48	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	No	SELL	22	66¢	$14	0x3abed4…
10-26 22:03:38	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xfda19c…
10-26 22:00:09	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xbbf567…
10-26 21:59:27	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x3686cf…
10-26 21:52:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xb6ff77…
10-26 21:51:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x8554df…
10-26 21:24:44	Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x1c6228…
10-26 21:24:02	Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xa0a27e…
10-26 19:04:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xff5225…
10-26 19:02:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xde51bd…
10-26 18:40:23	Will Joan García (Barcelona) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x7ad99b…
10-26 18:40:23	Will Joan García (Barcelona) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x7a71c9…
10-26 18:39:00	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x9b86d9…
10-26 18:39:00	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x9b86d9…
10-26 17:43:32	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x972ac8…
10-26 17:42:41	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xda76ec…
10-26 17:42:41	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	99	31¢	$31	0x4cb4f8…
10-26 16:03:47	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x318f95…
10-26 16:02:56	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x42de4c…
10-26 15:40:47	Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x957bd6…
10-26 13:53:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x699b24…
10-26 13:52:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x546302…
10-26 13:33:47	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x32e2b0…
10-26 13:09:35	Will Reform Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xea8964…
10-26 13:02:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xea5622…
10-26 13:01:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x7699b4…
10-26 12:54:24	Will Reform Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x2643e6…
10-26 12:54:24	Will Reform Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x207c24…
10-26 12:33:35	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xde1b15…
10-26 10:59:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0xc9cfd8…
10-26 08:05:35	Will PPI YoY be 6.0% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x992635…
10-26 07:38:26	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x9191c5…
10-26 07:37:45	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x1129c3…
10-26 07:11:14	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xb40a64…
10-26 06:42:35	Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xc1764c…
10-26 05:16:05	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x9a9959…
10-26 05:00:45	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xd0622b…
10-26 05:00:45	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xc3811e…
10-26 05:00:45	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x264f01…
10-26 04:59:20	Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd74517…
10-26 04:59:20	Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc3a04f…
10-26 04:40:12	Will Ty France win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xc0f44f…
10-26 03:40:00	Will Ty France win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x73085b…
10-26 02:04:23	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xc3b86d…
10-26 01:46:02	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x2177ec…
10-26 01:15:32	Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x402481…
10-26 01:14:48	Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x18e879…
10-26 00:30:11	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 87.5% and 90%?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xd108da…
10-26 00:29:26	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 87.5% and 90%?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x735a29…
10-26 00:12:14	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x53e959…
10-25 23:32:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$8	0xb15483…
10-25 23:26:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xc007eb…
10-25 23:17:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	18	74¢	$14	0x1e78b4…
10-25 21:59:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x9c0784…
10-25 21:59:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4d3959…
10-25 21:54:53	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xd50e84…
10-25 21:51:05	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x23f1c1…
10-25 21:48:39	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x8c64f0…
10-25 21:47:56	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xd36889…
10-25 21:47:56	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xcbb4e3…
10-25 21:47:56	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xbb08b3…
10-25 21:14:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x6c35da…
10-25 21:14:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xda408b…
10-25 20:33:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x450f40…
10-25 20:20:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5642b6…
10-25 20:16:57	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x58bc99…
10-25 20:16:05	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xce6215…
10-25 19:45:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x72e755…
10-25 19:44:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe852a1…
10-25 19:32:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xd221c2…
10-25 18:06:56	Will Vox receive between 20% and 22% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x82a9c4…
10-25 18:06:18	Will Vox receive between 20% and 22% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb899c5…
10-25 17:02:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x6e400f…
10-25 17:00:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x91d104…
10-25 16:48:23	Will ERC win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x762b56…
10-25 16:40:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xe7fa9c…
10-25 16:39:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x57f66c…
10-25 13:20:00	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x3ed493…
10-25 12:09:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xe797e9…
10-25 11:58:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x448154…
10-25 11:40:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x38c1ea…