Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

2,375 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$145

$16.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

11 positions

First seen

2026-09-21

last 11-05 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

63% 5% -$284

Politics

25% 9% -$35

Sports

6% 0% -$4

Tech

4% 0% -$16

Crypto

1% 17% -$1

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lyon finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	Yes	—	+20	$14	60¢	$12	-$1	09-30 07:27
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 15 superheavy booster	No	—	+20	$17	27¢	$5	-$11	09-29 02:29
Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?	Yes	—	+20	$1	15¢	$3	+$2	11-01 11:14
will the uss theodore roosevelt arrive in centcom by november 30 2026	No		+20	$5	13¢	$3	-$2	10-03 23:28
Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No		+3	$3	79¢	$2	$0	10-06 18:54
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+3	$3	55¢	$2	-$1	10-13 01:23
Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes		+20	$1	6¢	$1	$0	11-04 22:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 40%-45%?	No	—	+4	$3	24¢	$1	-$2	09-24 02:10
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+2	$0	26¢	$1	+$0	10-02 11:33
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?	Yes	—	+20	$1	2¢	$0	$0	11-02 15:17
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	34¢	$0	$0	10-09 11:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will texas enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027	6	$110	105	105	+0	open	—	09-29 19:46
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	7	$105	80	80	+0	open	—	10-18 00:25
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	10	$95	86	86	+0	open	—	10-19 02:02
U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?	12	$94	80	80	+0	open	—	10-06 22:30
Will OpenRouter process 185T or more tokens the week of October 5?	3	$80	50	50	+0	No	-$4	10-04 20:35
Will "A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$74	120	20	+100	open	—	10-24 17:54
Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	6	$72	60	60	+0	No	-$2	10-26 23:55
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	3	$71	52	52	+0	open	—	10-01 03:12
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	6	$70	60	60	+0	No	-$2	10-08 01:01
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	10-06 11:22
Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?	6	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	10-13 21:43
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	6	$67	60	60	+0	No	-$1	09-23 04:02
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	10-03 16:36
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	4	$63	40	40	+0	No	-$1	10-05 04:59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?	4	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	09-27 10:41
Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$61	60	60	+0	No	-$3	10-21 20:05
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	2	$60	50	50	+0	No	$0	09-23 04:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 10%-15%?	4	$59	40	40	+0	open	—	10-23 06:06
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0.5% and 1%?	7	$56	44	44	+0	open	—	10-23 22:30
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$54	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 17:43
will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut at a score of at least 1440 by june 30 2027	4	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	09-30 20:29
Brooklyn Nets 2026-27 Regular Season Wins: O/U 23.5	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	10-19 17:07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 20%-25%?	6	$52	60	60	+0	open	—	10-19 03:32
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$52	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	10-10 23:27
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	4	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	10-04 14:47
Will Justin Herbert have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	09-29 14:39
Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	6	$47	42	33	+9	Yes	+$1	10-26 22:03
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$46	35	35	+0	Yes	-$1	10-21 10:39
Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$45	58	58	+0	open	—	10-26 07:11
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?	5	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 21:01:51	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x04fd29…
11-05 20:59:49	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x8cc537…
11-05 20:22:58	Will Hong Kong have between 5-10mm of precipitation in November?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x33e08b…
11-05 20:20:54	Will Hong Kong have between 5-10mm of precipitation in November?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe97690…
11-05 09:02:42	Will PSOE win the Spanish election by 8+ seats over PP?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x65398e…
11-05 06:14:03	Will Chris Olave have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xa0d9be…
11-05 06:05:46	Will Chris Olave have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x20d735…
11-05 00:37:57	Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x163e22…
11-05 00:35:52	Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x6a3cac…
11-04 22:18:39	Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x14ae59…
11-04 16:06:57	Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xa6b1ad…
11-04 16:04:51	Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x320d4c…
11-04 14:12:18	Will Spain take second place in Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf9b6ba…
11-04 14:12:18	Will Spain take second place in Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x09c11d…
11-03 20:07:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xdd421b…
11-03 00:30:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on november 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9411c5…
11-02 23:37:16	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8737a9…
11-02 15:17:43	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x85e949…
11-02 15:17:39	Will Tencent be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xd73014…
11-02 15:17:39	Will Tencent be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x58444e…
11-02 13:38:39	Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x5440a2…
11-02 13:35:34	Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x919d62…
11-02 13:32:46	Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x39fb38…
11-02 13:16:39	Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x299244…
11-02 12:17:37	Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xfe9c83…
11-02 12:06:22	Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x47cafd…
11-02 10:49:43	Will Tencent be the second-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xadb039…
11-02 10:45:55	Will MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd4eff7…
11-02 10:24:07	Will MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xd49de1…
11-02 01:10:18	Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7953f5…
11-02 00:57:45	Will StepFun be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x42031a…
11-02 00:24:36	Will Tencent have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x0ef0e1…
11-02 00:24:25	Will Tencent have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x6f4b52…
11-01 19:44:31	Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xd0863f…
11-01 19:41:27	Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xca2f2d…
11-01 18:22:21	will moonshot be the third best ai lab at the end of january 2027	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xbb4457…
11-01 18:12:40	will moonshot be the third best ai lab at the end of january 2027	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xbd3624…
11-01 17:41:28	will amazon have the 1 ai model at the end of january 2027	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x0a64e9…
11-01 17:35:15	will amazon have the 1 ai model at the end of january 2027	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xaa0477…
11-01 16:43:21	will baidu have the best ai agent at the end of january 2027	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x516d13…
11-01 16:42:18	will baidu have the best ai agent at the end of january 2027	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x53db08…
11-01 12:02:12	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x5c6936…
11-01 11:59:01	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x786a2c…
11-01 11:14:39	Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x770474…
11-01 00:58:39	Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc74dce…
10-31 23:44:39	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x862182…
10-31 23:44:37	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x2057cb…
10-31 16:11:55	Will ERC win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xfb3f44…
10-31 15:20:18	Will Dak Prescott finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x7a1d5b…
10-31 15:20:18	Will Dak Prescott finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x624bf1…
10-31 13:56:51	Will Josh Allen have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x456741…
10-31 10:46:01	Will Patrick Ngongba II be the first pick in the 2027 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xad54fd…
10-31 09:13:37	Will Bryce Underwood be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5a501e…
10-31 09:13:36	Will Cam Skattebo finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x95ea1d…
10-30 23:33:37	Will ERC win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x54215a…
10-30 15:57:10	Will Bryce Underwood be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x91be57…
10-30 09:01:37	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xaf0873…
10-29 19:24:58	Will Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x436972…
10-29 17:48:32	Will Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x2ad143…
10-29 14:42:46	Will Pittsburgh have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x783879…
10-29 14:42:38	Will Pittsburgh have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xac0784…
10-29 14:33:02	Will Cam Skattebo finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x96138f…
10-29 03:51:05	Will Brest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x350e06…
10-28 23:28:49	Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x78e5a5…
10-28 07:11:29	Will Dusan Tadic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xb10f90…
10-28 04:51:28	Will Jalen Hurts have 199.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd7f90d…
10-28 02:59:33	Will Emeka Egbuka have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x15d3d1…
10-28 02:59:00	Will Emeka Egbuka have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x637b09…
10-28 02:31:38	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x76cee4…
10-28 02:16:42	Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6f33e2…
10-28 01:50:41	Will Christian Watson have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8dfb44…
10-28 01:50:06	Will Christian Watson have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xcee64d…
10-27 13:23:41	Will LSU Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0xae7e46…
10-27 13:23:36	Will LSU Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x2fcb34…
10-26 23:55:36	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x280a81…
10-26 23:53:35	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x8b30c7…
10-26 22:03:48	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	No	SELL	22	66¢	$14	0x3abed4…
10-26 22:03:38	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xfda19c…
10-26 22:00:09	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xbbf567…
10-26 21:59:27	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x3686cf…
10-26 21:52:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xb6ff77…
10-26 21:51:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x8554df…
10-26 21:24:44	Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x1c6228…
10-26 21:24:02	Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xa0a27e…
10-26 19:04:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xff5225…
10-26 19:02:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xde51bd…
10-26 18:40:23	Will Joan García (Barcelona) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x7ad99b…
10-26 18:40:23	Will Joan García (Barcelona) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x7a71c9…
10-26 18:39:00	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x9b86d9…
10-26 18:39:00	Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x9b86d9…
10-26 17:43:32	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x972ac8…
10-26 17:42:41	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xda76ec…
10-26 17:42:41	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	99	31¢	$31	0x4cb4f8…
10-26 16:03:47	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x318f95…
10-26 16:02:56	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x42de4c…
10-26 15:40:47	Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x957bd6…
10-26 13:53:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x699b24…
10-26 13:52:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x546302…
10-26 13:33:47	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x32e2b0…
10-26 13:09:35	Will Reform Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xea8964…