High-Level-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,888

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-13 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 100% +$0

Other

6% — —

Politics

3% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 449 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771225200	8	$212	122	121	+1	open	—	02-16 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	10	$194	159	78	+81	open	—	04-25 07:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	12	$139	87	87	+0	open	—	03-06 17:02
btc updown 15m 1771224300	1	$137	146	0	+146	open	—	02-16 06:59
btc updown 15m 1771222500	1	$128	137	0	+137	open	—	02-16 06:22
btc updown 15m 1771220700	1	$125	128	0	+128	open	—	02-16 05:59
bitcoin up or down february 15 11am et	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	02-15 17:24
btc updown 15m 1771218000	1	$120	126	0	+126	open	—	02-16 05:04
btc updown 15m 1771227000	6	$115	152	150	+2	open	—	02-16 07:47
btc updown 15m 1771217100	2	$114	1,119	0	+1,119	open	—	02-16 04:59
btc updown 15m 1771216200	1	$112	113	0	+113	open	—	02-16 04:43
btc updown 15m 1771156800	5	$105	91	63	+29	open	—	02-15 12:14
btc updown 15m 1771226100	2	$102	123	122	+1	open	—	02-16 07:29
btc updown 15m 1771215300	1	$102	112	0	+112	open	—	02-16 04:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 27	5	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	02-27 16:10
bitcoin up or down on february 24	5	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	02-24 15:19
btc updown 15m 1771214400	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	02-16 04:09
btc updown 5m 1771240800	2	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	02-16 11:25
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 5 2026	6	$85	46	46	+0	open	—	03-06 06:25
btc updown 5m 1771178100	1	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 17:58
btc updown 15m 1771323300	6	$79	55	29	+26	open	—	02-17 10:25
btc updown 15m 1771176600	1	$78	83	0	+83	open	—	02-15 17:42
btc updown 15m 1771236900	2	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	02-16 10:26
btc updown 15m 1771175700	1	$74	78	0	+78	open	—	02-15 17:26
btc updown 15m 1771159500	8	$71	43	42	+0	open	—	02-15 12:55
bitcoin up or down on february 25	4	$71	63	12	+50	open	—	02-25 14:28
btc updown 5m 1771863000	4	$70	72	0	+72	open	—	02-23 16:14
btc updown 15m 1771160400	5	$66	55	28	+27	open	—	02-15 13:13
btc updown 5m 1773672600	2	$64	47	46	+1	open	—	03-16 14:53
btc updown 15m 1774706400	30	$63	70	70	+1	open	—	03-28 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 05:14:45	btc updown 5m 1781413800	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xccbe29…
06-14 05:13:57	btc updown 5m 1781413800	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3b3545…
06-14 02:44:07	btc updown 5m 1781404800	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd3483e…
06-13 12:09:03	btc updown 5m 1781352300	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9e76f8…
06-13 12:08:48	btc updown 5m 1781352300	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2cd2ed…
06-13 11:44:21	btc updown 5m 1781350800	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x219d55…
06-13 11:44:00	btc updown 5m 1781350800	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf4e378…
06-13 11:43:22	btc updown 5m 1781350800	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7b5c2d…
06-13 09:19:19	btc updown 5m 1781342100	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2e319e…
06-13 07:33:27	btc updown 5m 1781335800	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x88db6a…
06-12 03:27:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2667b2…
06-12 02:59:48	btc updown 5m 1781232900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x485c05…
06-11 08:29:06	btc updown 5m 1781166300	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4dc48a…
06-11 08:27:24	btc updown 5m 1781166300	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xc9646e…
06-11 08:27:03	btc updown 5m 1781166300	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfb69f6…
06-08 00:31:10	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x42f897…
06-07 05:00:36	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc28a12…
06-07 04:53:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x140b0d…
06-06 05:44:54	btc updown 5m 1780724400	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd54b3d…
06-06 05:44:09	btc updown 15m 1780723800	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x830826…
06-06 03:03:55	btc updown 5m 1780714800	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x14d57f…
05-12 07:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x445a15…
05-03 05:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfcb469…
05-03 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2e8c1a…
05-03 05:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x13391c…
05-03 05:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x55e183…
05-03 05:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x215aa4…
05-03 05:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x089bc4…
05-03 04:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4a66f5…
05-03 04:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4e3e19…
05-02 07:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x91cac6…
05-02 07:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x732bf3…
05-02 07:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd1b125…
05-02 07:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6e89f7…
05-02 06:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xad66b7…
05-02 06:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x454503…
05-02 06:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc86d86…
05-02 06:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x81900e…
05-02 06:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7ec0c9…
05-02 06:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4a1e4e…
05-02 06:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd54fad…
05-02 06:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe226fb…
05-02 06:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xac81d6…
05-02 06:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6f7029…
05-02 06:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x079c66…
05-02 06:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x67ceb4…
05-02 06:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x448668…
05-02 06:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfa6c9a…
05-02 06:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa2f56…
05-02 06:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5921bb…
05-02 06:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x55fb27…
05-02 06:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe9a46a…
05-02 06:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x66840c…
05-02 06:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x531db1…
05-01 16:05:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	77¢	$28	0x415aa0…
05-01 12:01:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xf94d1e…
05-01 11:57:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc32539…
05-01 03:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe033b2…
05-01 02:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x87b409…
04-30 01:50:40	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x046347…
04-29 07:42:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9170f3…
04-29 07:42:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6c7698…
04-29 07:42:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xce7bcb…
04-28 09:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x50a352…
04-28 07:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdb8842…
04-28 07:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8ccfa3…
04-28 06:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x20df95…
04-28 05:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x00a73b…
04-28 02:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb2b9c7…
04-28 02:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3419ef…
04-28 02:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0f2011…
04-28 01:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf64d4c…
04-28 01:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x0d7718…
04-27 13:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xbccd62…
04-27 09:55:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xb6d460…
04-27 09:55:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x12107a…
04-27 09:48:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x059ceb…
04-27 08:02:16	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9b89f8…
04-27 06:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5074b3…
04-27 06:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd1c99b…
04-27 06:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf62037…
04-27 06:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x5e37c2…
04-27 06:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x90bb49…
04-27 06:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xd82cf4…
04-27 06:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4eb378…
04-27 06:07:02	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe63330…
04-26 12:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xb2e047…
04-26 12:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6add8b…
04-26 12:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x27cb96…
04-26 07:36:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9224c6…
04-26 07:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6184f5…
04-26 07:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x996e71…
04-26 06:16:06	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc10047…
04-26 06:14:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0e57de…
04-26 05:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xad3609…
04-26 03:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb5f6ed…
04-26 03:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc1d1a2…
04-25 07:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0x540fca…
04-25 06:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x97619a…
04-25 06:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0x37ef5f…