High-Level-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4,154 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$14.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 11-10 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 72% -$57

Other

8% 52% -$35

Politics

3% 75% +$36

Tech

0% 56% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes		-4	-$4	97¢	$-4	-$1	04-29 07:42
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No		+2	$2	94¢	$2	+$0	11-08 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 07:00 UTC	8	$212	122	121	+1	Up	+$12	02-16 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	10	$194	159	78	+81	Yes	+$5	04-25 07:32
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	12	$139	87	87	+0	Yes	+$1	03-06 17:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 06:45 UTC	1	$137	146	0	+146	Down	+$9	02-16 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 06:15 UTC	1	$128	137	0	+137	Down	+$10	02-16 06:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 05:45 UTC	1	$125	128	0	+128	Up	+$3	02-16 05:59
bitcoin up or down february 15 11am et	2	$122	62	62	+0	Down	+$2	02-15 17:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 05:00 UTC	1	$120	126	0	+126	Down	+$6	02-16 05:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 07:30 UTC	6	$115	152	150	+2	Down	-$56	02-16 07:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 04:45 UTC	2	$114	1,119	0	+1,119	Up	+$5	02-16 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 04:30 UTC	1	$112	113	0	+113	Down	+$1	02-16 04:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 12:00 UTC	5	$105	91	63	+29	Down	+$10	02-15 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 07:15 UTC	2	$102	123	122	+1	Down	-$98	02-16 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 04:15 UTC	1	$102	112	0	+112	Up	+$10	02-16 04:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on february 27	5	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$2	02-27 16:10
bitcoin up or down on february 24	5	$101	52	52	+0	Down	+$1	02-24 15:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 04:00 UTC	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	02-16 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 11:20 UTC	2	$98	49	49	+0	Down	+$0	02-16 11:25
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 5 2026	6	$85	46	46	+0	No	+$1	03-06 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 17:55 UTC	1	$83	100	0	+100	Up	+$17	02-15 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 10:15 UTC	6	$79	55	29	+26	Down	+$1	02-17 10:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 17:30 UTC	1	$78	83	0	+83	Down	+$5	02-15 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 10:15 UTC	2	$77	39	39	+0	Down	+$0	02-16 10:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 17:15 UTC	1	$74	78	0	+78	Down	+$4	02-15 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?	6	$72	41	41	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 01:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 12:45 UTC	8	$71	43	42	+0	Down	+$6	02-15 12:55
bitcoin up or down on february 25	4	$71	63	12	+50	Up	+$1	02-25 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 16:10 UTC	4	$70	72	0	+72	Down	+$2	02-23 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 13:00 UTC	5	$66	55	28	+27	Up	+$1	02-15 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:50 UTC	2	$64	47	46	+1	Up	+$24	03-16 14:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 14:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x75cf8c…
11-10 14:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcda578…
11-10 14:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4e285…
11-10 00:29:24	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xab06ec…
11-09 15:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x98b92b…
11-09 14:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x93c9e1…
11-09 14:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xaf29d0…
11-09 10:23:49	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x3cd875…
11-08 10:13:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x005e5a…
11-08 10:10:46	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4a30e0…
11-08 04:22:04	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x79f555…
09-27 13:22:23	spx up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x259557…
09-25 17:05:47	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2256fd…
09-24 17:08:36	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Down	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xae6eb1…
09-24 10:53:00	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1a3be9…
09-23 15:49:44	spx up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdbf140…
09-22 09:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd1fee6…
09-19 11:14:50	ren zhengfei public appearance by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2db648…
09-18 15:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x55397a…
09-18 15:05:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xcbf8f1…
09-18 13:38:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x8e9c91…
09-18 13:32:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xf10f43…
09-18 12:31:15	spx opens up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x027c84…
09-18 12:30:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbb0523…
09-18 12:27:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7b14bf…
09-18 12:27:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$2	0xd75694…
09-18 12:06:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd31b7c…
09-18 11:13:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x50fc91…
09-18 11:13:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9361b2…
09-18 11:11:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x40d7f9…
09-18 11:11:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x4972f9…
09-18 11:09:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfa2cbc…
09-18 10:05:46	spx opens up or down on september 18 2026	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x57cd27…
09-18 09:08:00	spx opens up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc5150b…
09-17 11:47:04	ren zhengfei public appearance by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5fb660…
09-17 10:50:13	spx opens up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf314c2…
09-17 07:28:16	spx up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x216913…
09-17 04:00:49	spx opens up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaefe33…
09-16 16:49:23	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6da847…
09-16 12:50:19	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcca59d…
09-16 10:53:37	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9838d8…
09-15 14:21:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5058a4…
09-15 13:34:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x204159…
09-15 12:48:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x1f6eab…
09-15 06:38:13	spx up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3311a9…
09-14 16:25:12	spx up or down on september 14 2026	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xf4ea12…
09-14 13:25:39	spx up or down on september 14 2026	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4e78e5…
09-14 11:34:57	spx up or down on september 14 2026	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x63d872…
09-11 17:51:12	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x81351d…
09-11 11:23:34	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xec8fdc…
09-10 14:30:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2fec21…
09-10 14:25:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x2a8c2e…
09-10 13:06:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb48905…
09-10 13:05:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd4fb0a…
09-10 12:18:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0x3cd3bb…
09-10 12:16:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x175f1a…
09-09 11:18:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0bd52b…
09-09 10:56:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5ce628…
09-08 13:46:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xc21e5d…
09-08 13:21:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6f0d62…
09-08 12:48:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x15dbe5…
09-08 12:43:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x156d2d…
09-08 11:29:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe2167f…
09-08 10:20:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x6015a5…
09-08 07:55:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb162e6…
09-07 09:29:30	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc900f6…
09-07 09:28:54	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x345867…
09-04 15:10:37	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x6943f1…
09-04 13:39:25	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7c93d9…
09-04 12:34:22	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xae3e1f…
09-04 12:33:28	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xc35010…
09-04 10:41:24	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd59946…
09-03 14:13:04	spx up or down on september 3 2026	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x218f7c…
09-03 11:56:51	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7683e0…
09-03 06:48:28	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdf9e6e…
09-03 06:44:10	spx up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf792bd…
09-02 14:15:52	will openais astra model be released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x60bb3e…
09-02 14:10:13	spx up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x11e000…
09-01 14:35:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf64e21…
09-01 14:34:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x3ab337…
09-01 11:11:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x071eeb…
09-01 11:10:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc87ec3…
08-31 14:11:12	spx up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7817b1…
08-28 16:12:45	spx up or down on august 28 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa5d667…
08-28 16:06:07	spx up or down on august 28 2026	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x432207…
08-28 15:59:19	spx up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x655985…
08-28 13:36:45	spx up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdd7e76…
08-27 13:16:34	spx up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x291f17…
08-27 09:26:31	spx up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6474fd…
08-26 16:51:31	spx up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x49fdfe…
08-26 16:10:43	spx up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2e6000…
08-26 14:04:34	spx up or down on august 26 2026	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x2cf2f1…
08-26 12:14:40	spx up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd02499…
08-25 11:12:22	spx up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc1f410…
08-24 16:24:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x71b963…
08-24 13:38:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8f7561…
08-24 11:48:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x036fd8…
08-21 15:17:40	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb8b440…
08-21 13:23:43	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x36c8e6…
08-20 15:59:03	spx up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7cd862…