Free-Proliferation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$13.3K

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

288

Trades

1,033

lifetime

Volume

$2.57M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.49K

Open exposure

$252.7K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-02 03:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 89% +$1,174

Other

27% 93% -$15,695

Politics

8% 90% -$15,437

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-257,752	-$239,405	98¢	$-252726	-$13,321	05-17 02:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	13	$273.4K	18,271	276,023	-257,752	open	—	05-17 02:38
bitcoin above 84k on march 24	1	$93.9K	94,003	0	+94,003	No	+$94	03-23 01:14
bitcoin above 74k on march 21	3	$89.5K	89,581	0	+89,581	No	+$107	03-21 10:11
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	1	$70.0K	70,634	0	+70,634	No	+$634	03-20 14:46
bitcoin above 76k on april 2	1	$67.0K	67,067	0	+67,067	No	+$67	04-01 10:04
bitcoin above 78k on march 22	1	$66.0K	66,066	0	+66,066	No	+$66	03-21 12:40
bitcoin above 80k on march 24	1	$62.0K	62,064	0	+62,064	No	+$64	03-23 01:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$61.4K	61,506	0	+61,506	Yes	+$143	04-07 13:10
bitcoin above 82k on march 24	1	$60.0K	60,060	0	+60,060	No	+$60	03-23 01:15
bitcoin above 62k on march 26	1	$58.0K	58,058	0	+58,058	Yes	+$58	03-25 14:06
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 24	8	$54.6K	54,678	0	+54,678	No	+$78	03-24 20:39
bitcoin above 76k on march 22	1	$50.0K	50,050	0	+50,050	No	+$50	03-21 23:57
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	2	$49.7K	49,702	0	+49,702	Yes	+$50	03-21 14:50
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 24	9	$42.4K	42,576	0	+42,576	No	+$136	03-25 00:34
bitcoin above 74k on april 4	2	$42.4K	42,427	0	+42,427	No	+$54	04-03 09:01
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	3	$41.3K	0	42,107	-42,107	No	-$758	05-17 02:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$39.7K	20,661	20,661	+0	No	-$270	04-07 13:08
bitcoin above 74k on march 22	1	$39.6K	39,638	0	+39,638	No	+$58	03-21 23:58
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 160 179	7	$37.5K	37,535	0	+37,535	No	+$53	04-11 08:55
bitcoin above 74k on april 5	1	$36.8K	36,819	0	+36,819	No	+$37	04-03 23:26
bitcoin above 76k on april 9	1	$32.6K	32,666	0	+32,666	No	+$33	04-09 00:54
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$31.2K	31,358	0	+31,358	No	+$158	03-31 09:23
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	4	$30.7K	30,748	0	+30,748	No	+$46	04-03 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	1	$30.0K	30,030	0	+30,030	No	+$30	04-03 00:01
bitcoin above 74k on march 27	1	$29.7K	29,781	0	+29,781	No	+$41	03-27 01:21
bitcoin above 78k on april 13	1	$27.8K	27,824	0	+27,824	No	+$28	04-12 18:45
bitcoin above 74k on april 2	1	$27.5K	27,501	0	+27,501	No	+$28	04-02 00:22
bitcoin above 70k on march 25	2	$27.3K	18,436	10,000	+8,436	Yes	-$263	03-25 15:19
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$25.0K	25,351	0	+25,351	No	+$351	04-05 00:37
bitcoin above 72k on april 1	1	$21.4K	21,515	0	+21,515	No	+$80	04-01 10:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 03:57:46	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,032	96¢	$991	0xa13266…
06-01 22:39:51	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xedde2d…
06-01 15:41:11	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xd0277c…
06-01 14:43:25	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xa87d61…
06-01 12:42:17	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x14bb46…
06-01 10:38:26	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x06e819…
06-01 10:37:55	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0xd3a02a…
05-19 17:17:51	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x411aca…
05-19 15:44:03	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xabe5ef…
05-19 06:05:11	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	121	96¢	$116	0x79ca67…
05-18 15:58:42	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x80285c…
05-18 14:18:10	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	240	96¢	$230	0x23f27e…
05-18 05:58:57	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$115	0x9d144c…
05-18 05:55:55	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x6b5802…
05-18 00:35:26	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$60	0x27b76e…
05-17 13:52:03	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcdbe50…
05-17 06:25:37	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$960	0x8b8160…
05-17 02:39:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25,678	98¢	$25,174	0x54dfc8…
05-17 02:39:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14,965	98¢	$14,727	0x1d346d…
05-17 02:38:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	116,241	93¢	$107,583	0xbdc05a…
05-17 02:38:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9,420	92¢	$8,697	0xa2f7a9…
05-17 02:37:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	40,851	93¢	$37,971	0xe41742…
05-17 02:37:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	59,149	93¢	$55,086	0xbcda8b…
05-17 02:35:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	50,000	93¢	$46,719	0x3beb83…
05-17 02:27:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,464	99¢	$1,448	0x10c01c…
05-17 02:27:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	362	94¢	$340	0x38ba0b…
05-15 08:20:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xd3c32b…
05-15 08:20:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	230	93¢	$214	0xaa2d2f…
05-15 08:20:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	210	93¢	$195	0x4faf4e…
05-15 08:18:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	220	93¢	$205	0xf49d17…
05-15 08:16:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xade01e…
05-14 11:36:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,230	93¢	$1,144	0x66e1a6…
05-14 04:23:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16,360	93¢	$15,215	0x24795d…
05-12 17:48:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,605	100¢	$1,602	0x40a2b1…
05-12 17:31:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x961139…
05-12 17:26:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xbb768d…
05-12 17:25:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x808a99…
05-12 17:24:09	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xbbb2ea…
05-12 17:21:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13df8d…
05-12 17:21:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x1e7461…
05-12 17:21:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xae0618…
05-12 17:21:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x1aa452…
05-12 17:19:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0xae26cb…
05-12 17:16:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x768385…
05-12 17:14:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,890	100¢	$1,882	0xeb9efc…
05-12 17:13:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8,121	100¢	$8,089	0xf7b420…
05-09 00:31:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1,483	100¢	$1,479	0xbbcc6a…
05-08 00:29:08	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	627	100¢	$626	0x312820…
05-08 00:28:40	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	15,001	100¢	$14,986	0x1803c8…
05-07 22:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$132	0x68a8de…
05-07 21:29:05	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	744	99¢	$739	0x749c3a…
05-07 20:27:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	286	99¢	$284	0x3071bf…
05-07 18:47:21	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2,190	99¢	$2,175	0xd55186…
05-07 18:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeaafe5…
05-07 18:22:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	858	99¢	$852	0xc30698…
05-07 18:21:06	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x61e5ac…
05-07 18:15:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,986	0x22dbe2…
05-07 17:47:21	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2,143	99¢	$2,128	0x5fe02b…
05-07 17:17:33	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x732daf…
05-07 17:06:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	224	99¢	$223	0x70729e…
05-07 17:06:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2,237	99¢	$2,221	0x26110a…
05-07 16:59:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$210	0x13494a…
05-07 16:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1,429	99¢	$1,419	0x007260…
05-07 16:35:28	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1,194	99¢	$1,186	0x1234ff…
05-07 12:37:42	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	550	99¢	$546	0xfab262…
05-07 12:18:11	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x5a564a…
05-07 11:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x5d6356…
05-07 10:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	750	100¢	$748	0x139377…
05-07 05:14:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x19a509…
05-07 05:07:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x440f33…
05-07 05:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xec345b…
05-07 05:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x4c88c5…
05-07 05:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	646	100¢	$644	0xddd15b…
05-07 04:50:32	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xbc2e01…
05-07 04:50:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4,285	100¢	$4,276	0xeced8b…
05-07 04:50:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2,375	100¢	$2,370	0x505d88…
04-28 19:08:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,014	0¢	$1	0x515f98…
04-28 18:30:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x5b0f6a…
04-28 18:13:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe39314…
04-28 18:06:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x08f6c4…
04-28 18:04:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	0¢	$0	0x714117…
04-28 18:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	0¢	$0	0xdc66f4…
04-28 16:29:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xfd79c3…
04-28 16:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x67779d…
04-28 16:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xe84b7c…
04-28 16:13:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0x44e7fd…
04-28 16:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0xfed0e0…
04-28 15:55:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xc7aab0…
04-28 15:52:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0782d9…
04-28 15:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe0c99c…
04-28 15:40:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	0¢	$0	0x844781…
04-28 15:40:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,966	0¢	$2	0xc840eb…
04-28 15:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,200	0¢	$2	0x1e0975…
04-28 15:16:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x11b0b2…
04-28 15:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	219	0¢	$0	0xc20303…
04-28 15:13:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x83d2f2…
04-28 15:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xac80c1…
04-28 15:09:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,120	0¢	$2	0x500fcd…
04-28 15:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,510	0¢	$2	0x9ed6b0…
04-28 15:03:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0c051b…