Dense-Cultivar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

114 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$79

$117 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 11-09 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

98% 50% -$12

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?	Up		+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	11-09 09:52
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on November 9?	Up		+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	11-09 09:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	3	$4	7	7	+0	No	-$2	09-22 14:38
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 7 2026?	3	$4	28	28	+0	No	+$0	09-10 04:22
will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	4	$4	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-19 15:58
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 21 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	09-23 14:27
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	11-04 09:02
ng up or down on july 22 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	07-22 14:22
spx up or down on august 12 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	08-12 14:33
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 9?	2	$2	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	09-09 12:50
ng up or down on august 4 2026	3	$2	4	4	+0	Down	-$2	08-04 14:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	2	$2	9	9	+0	No	-$2	09-29 07:08
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on November 5?	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	11-05 10:03
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 21?	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	09-21 08:45
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	09-14 07:43
ng up or down on september 16 2026	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	-$2	09-16 07:11
spx up or down on september 24 2026	2	$2	8	0	+8	Down	-$2	09-24 13:28
ng up or down on august 3 2026	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	-$2	08-03 14:58
ukx up or down on september 3 2026	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	09-03 08:03
djia up or down on august 18 2026	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	08-18 13:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of September 7 2026?	2	$1	4	4	+0	No	-$1	09-11 09:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	11-05 15:35
ng up or down on november 4 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	11-04 09:02
spx up or down on september 15 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	09-15 07:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	11-06 08:11
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on November 6?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	11-06 08:13
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 04:08
ng up or down on september 15 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	09-15 07:39
ng up or down on september 24 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	09-24 07:40
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	09-14 07:43
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 1?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	09-01 07:34
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	09-08 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 09:52:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x92e815…
11-09 09:16:04	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x81ac6c…
11-09 09:12:58	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x724b3b…
11-06 08:13:57	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x63b444…
11-06 08:11:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x451f27…
11-06 07:19:19	ng up or down on november 6 2026	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x287614…
11-05 15:35:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x659c51…
11-05 10:03:36	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8c96e5…
11-05 10:02:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7d3676…
11-05 07:01:34	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x84e1c3…
11-04 09:03:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2ae305…
11-04 09:02:34	ng up or down on november 4 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5d0d8c…
11-04 09:02:04	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc898fa…
09-29 07:08:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xf0f7f9…
09-24 13:28:02	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x07dc4f…
09-24 07:40:42	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf1963d…
09-24 07:40:21	ng up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfd5dfd…
09-23 14:27:23	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x685b35…
09-23 05:37:02	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1c0144…
09-22 14:38:15	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xad34f9…
09-22 03:02:53	ng up or down on september 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf2efef…
09-21 08:45:48	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4dbfef…
09-21 06:13:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf77ae6…
09-20 21:17:43	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x62bfe5…
09-17 10:12:01	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdef87d…
09-16 07:11:52	ng up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x71a1b5…
09-16 05:59:48	ng up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5f0b79…
09-15 13:08:09	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8d129b…
09-15 07:39:27	ng up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb4f0ff…
09-15 07:37:22	spx up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x318550…
09-14 07:43:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x86808f…
09-14 07:43:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf22576…
09-13 18:51:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc4aca9…
09-11 09:49:21	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xf96dbc…
09-11 06:05:30	ng up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x483837…
09-11 06:03:15	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb35eac…
09-10 06:25:55	spx up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4e7718…
09-10 04:22:45	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x125d2b…
09-10 04:13:42	will ng reach 2 90 by september 7 2026 from september 9	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2719ed…
09-10 04:10:21	ng up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdde050…
09-10 04:08:52	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc30e98…
09-09 12:50:43	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xa23fd4…
09-09 09:27:39	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x881d2e…
09-09 07:11:24	xagusd up or down on september 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6f2382…
09-08 07:35:45	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9771b8…
09-07 11:38:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x41eece…
09-07 07:42:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb9c8e8…
09-07 07:41:45	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x01976c…
09-04 10:17:06	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 4?	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2afa98…
09-04 10:16:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xebb036…
09-03 13:00:28	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 3?	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1cbcbc…
09-03 08:03:04	ukx up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x14c2c2…
09-03 08:02:34	ukx up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2f78ce…
09-03 08:02:01	spx up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x66f237…
09-02 07:10:33	ng up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9a2372…
09-01 07:37:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3cf406…
09-01 07:37:09	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x97b044…
09-01 07:35:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8148b9…
09-01 07:34:34	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 1?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x833b2c…
08-21 06:03:45	ng up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0b45ab…
08-20 07:34:25	spx up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x63b38f…
08-20 07:34:00	ng up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb8dc37…
08-19 16:01:31	will ng reach 3 00 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3914b0…
08-19 15:58:46	will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x9324b2…
08-19 08:42:09	xagusd up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8f72e6…
08-19 08:41:46	ng up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x98e0fb…
08-19 07:58:01	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3bff27…
08-18 13:22:21	djia up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2f0849…
08-18 11:11:52	djia up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3241b6…
08-18 08:52:07	ng up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6214e7…
08-14 12:11:39	djia up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6b8ae3…
08-12 14:33:09	spx up or down on august 12 2026	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x91b777…
08-12 06:57:25	dax up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x919c3e…
08-12 06:05:48	spx up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x59f830…
08-12 06:04:46	ng up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xea363e…
08-11 08:13:52	djia up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6feee6…
08-11 06:37:58	ng up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa5aa05…
08-10 11:32:07	spx up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x45ca50…
08-10 11:31:36	will ng dip to 2 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x80fad6…
08-07 06:08:25	ng up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x57a10e…
08-07 06:08:07	will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2d64dc…
08-06 08:12:09	djia up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x07063c…
08-06 08:11:29	ng up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdf98b2…
08-06 08:11:03	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2b8352…
08-06 07:03:50	xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x668d17…
08-04 14:52:08	ng up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xbea5e1…
08-04 08:12:53	ng up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb109fa…
08-04 06:08:30	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf7676c…
08-04 06:07:42	ng up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa1a603…
08-03 15:05:20	will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x9658e5…
08-03 15:02:24	usdjpy up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x737bf8…
08-03 14:58:59	ng up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa98dff…
08-03 08:10:38	ng up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x111787…
08-03 08:08:39	will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9fcae6…
07-22 14:24:46	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x333688…
07-22 14:22:30	ng up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x016d4b…
07-22 06:29:13	ng up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xadd04c…
07-21 09:00:19	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 21?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6cf06d…
07-20 13:09:34	nik up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x384b59…
07-16 10:34:20	nik up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x826b10…