Disguised-Pack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

599

lifetime

Volume

$2.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-15 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 100% +$0

Other

16% 83% $-3

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	5	$82	76	74	+1	open	—	04-27 19:06
sol updown 15m 1774445400	1	$60	74	0	+74	open	—	03-25 13:31
xrp updown 15m 1774228500	2	$58	32	32	+0	open	—	03-23 01:24
btc updown 15m 1773808200	2	$55	37	37	+0	open	—	03-18 04:37
xrp updown 15m 1773810900	3	$54	58	46	+12	open	—	03-18 05:22
xrp updown 15m 1774306800	1	$53	57	0	+57	open	—	03-23 23:06
btc updown 15m 1773807300	2	$47	26	26	+0	open	—	03-18 04:26
xrp updown 15m 1773807300	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	03-18 04:21
xrp updown 15m 1773627300	3	$44	27	26	+0	open	—	03-16 02:20
btc updown 15m 1773799200	2	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	03-18 02:09
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 27?	4	$39	53	52	+1	open	—	04-27 17:13
xrp updown 15m 1773625500	2	$38	23	22	+0	open	—	03-16 01:50
sol updown 15m 1774400400	3	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	03-25 01:11
will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	3	$35	60	0	+60	open	—	03-26 03:58
sol updown 15m 1774230300	1	$32	34	0	+34	open	—	03-23 01:58
xrp updown 15m 1774155600	1	$31	33	0	+33	open	—	03-22 05:11
xrp updown 15m 1773624600	3	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	03-16 01:32
xrp updown 15m 1773808200	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	03-18 04:40
xrp updown 15m 1773722700	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	03-17 04:53
xrp updown 15m 1773620100	3	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-16 00:17
xrp updown 5m 1773208200	2	$27	21	20	+0	open	—	03-11 05:53
btc updown 15m 1774573200	6	$26	28	28	+0	open	—	03-27 01:10
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	4	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	04-27 13:34
sol updown 15m 1774382400	2	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	03-24 20:02
btc updown 15m 1774274400	2	$26	18	17	+0	open	—	03-23 14:13
xrp updown 15m 1774227600	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	03-23 01:11
sol updown 15m 1774232100	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	03-23 02:21
xrp updown 15m 1773719100	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-17 04:00
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$24	33	0	+33	open	—	04-24 14:20
btc updown 15m 1774107000	2	$24	19	18	+0	open	—	03-21 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:38:20	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb21771…
05-14 21:41:05	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x3ceb12…
05-13 13:20:24	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x6bf014…
05-12 15:17:22	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 12?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xdfbf4b…
05-11 19:18:49	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 11?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x62f3c0…
05-11 19:18:09	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x467830…
05-11 18:03:48	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x83dc62…
05-09 14:33:53	Will XRP dip to $1.35 on May 9?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4dc02f…
05-09 14:14:52	Will XRP reach $1.45 on May 9?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9ef7f8…
05-08 15:03:58	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xb9aede…
05-07 15:20:30	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xea9246…
05-06 19:25:34	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa1242…
05-02 05:42:34	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xf4114f…
05-02 05:32:14	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc7ba23…
05-02 05:30:42	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7d72d3…
05-02 05:27:00	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x98bc9e…
05-02 05:15:24	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x76d348…
05-02 05:11:52	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x22d482…
05-02 05:05:14	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xdc4948…
05-02 05:03:50	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0xc9f4c0…
05-02 05:03:12	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfbe5fe…
05-02 05:01:54	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xd22dcf…
05-02 05:00:24	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8ddfd4…
05-02 04:59:40	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0db294…
05-02 04:58:04	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x916797…
05-02 04:50:00	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x38b4b7…
05-01 18:37:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc62899…
05-01 13:37:52	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x79d814…
04-30 19:44:22	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4046a…
04-30 19:43:42	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb7563f…
04-30 16:43:06	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9709d0…
04-29 19:57:24	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb28d11…
04-29 14:13:06	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9a338e…
04-29 13:57:10	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x630914…
04-29 13:56:44	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4be038…
04-29 13:41:20	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x203edd…
04-29 05:32:56	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x19c3cd…
04-29 01:33:54	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x428130…
04-28 19:45:36	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a3778…
04-28 19:40:34	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x1e9c79…
04-28 16:33:50	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4aec66…
04-27 19:06:48	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0xc6866a…
04-27 17:16:16	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xfa86e3…
04-27 17:15:52	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x280dff…
04-27 17:13:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0xb806bb…
04-27 17:13:48	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	52	20¢	$10	0xd364cb…
04-27 13:34:18	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf5ff4f…
04-27 13:34:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x919f6c…
04-27 13:06:10	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xbe6bd6…
04-27 12:46:44	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x1c6fb6…
04-27 12:39:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x09bd88…
04-27 12:37:10	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x38ef9b…
04-27 12:35:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x00eabb…
04-27 12:31:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x795338…
04-25 21:45:44	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x0be9bf…
04-25 21:45:14	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x12441c…
04-25 12:51:52	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x1122db…
04-25 12:45:18	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8db47e…
04-25 12:32:08	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x4a3672…
04-25 12:31:08	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbe5784…
04-25 06:14:38	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3e71a9…
04-25 06:08:48	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x438119…
04-24 18:25:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x175e88…
04-24 18:17:30	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 20 above $420?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf8636d…
04-24 17:23:30	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x6448cf…
04-24 14:20:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x82e5b0…
04-24 13:44:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7e4cbd…
04-24 13:40:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1d83d8…
04-24 11:28:46	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x0c9204…
04-24 11:02:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe57520…
04-24 05:52:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1feddb…
04-24 05:04:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc902b9…
04-24 05:02:56	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x41bfbf…
04-24 05:01:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf5f684…
04-24 03:28:18	xrp updown 5m 1777001100	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9ac247…
04-23 13:36:48	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xefd0e1…
04-23 13:34:48	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x17c495…
04-23 13:34:28	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xbe7b06…
04-23 12:45:24	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x73b46a…
04-23 12:39:00	spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x240292…
04-23 03:48:28	tsla up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1e21be…
04-23 03:48:00	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xacb151…
04-22 18:52:02	msft close above 430 on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x595c27…
04-22 16:25:00	aapl close above 275 on april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x56c3b8…
04-22 15:48:48	sol updown 5m 1776872700	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfdda84…
04-22 11:56:30	ndx up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x7a9242…
04-21 23:32:14	ndx up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa063a2…
04-21 16:28:34	ndx up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xdfb4f9…
04-21 16:22:10	ndx up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x190abe…
04-21 02:00:16	sol updown 15m 1776736800	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x181572…
04-21 01:57:30	sol updown 15m 1776735900	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x9cd19a…
04-21 01:57:10	sol updown 5m 1776736500	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb43848…
04-21 01:45:12	sol updown 15m 1776735900	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xabb164…
04-20 14:58:18	msft up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x128f65…
04-20 13:43:38	ndx up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x266739…
04-20 12:17:26	msft up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb80844…
04-20 11:44:38	xrp updown 15m 1776684600	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0b5a59…
04-20 05:40:06	msft up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5e92c9…
04-20 03:08:16	xrp updown 5m 1776654300	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8438b2…
04-20 01:54:58	xrp updown 5m 1776649800	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20dc9a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	280	$5.38K	915	04-25 21:51
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	229	$26.7K	4,411	05-02 05:43
(anonymous) 0xc48f…87d8	184	$9.09K	399	03-25 20:21
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	178	$48.3K	3,380	03-27 01:28
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	170	$59.1K	14,557	03-26 03:56
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	168	$35.9K	7,665	03-27 01:12
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	165	$72.9K	9,622	03-24 05:28
(anonymous) 0xc891…a35e	157	$9.77K	969	04-25 21:46