Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 12?
No won
Total volume
$1,030
Trades
49
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-12 20:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.5¢
(top1%: 13% YES on $488
vs crowd: 20% YES on $912)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $64 | $372 | $308 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $25 | $275 | $250 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $87 | $64 | +$23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $3 | $22 | $19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $64 | $424 | $360 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $76 | $53 | +$23 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| Median | 4 | $0 | $50 | $50 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $112 | $112 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $25 | $93 | $69 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +319 | $154 | $154 | 3 | 05-12 14:52 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +200 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-12 13:51 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +161 | $25 | $25 | 9 | 05-12 19:49 |
| Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | +147 | $125 | $125 | 3 | 05-12 19:30 |
| Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | +114 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-12 13:32 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 05-12 19:59 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-12 20:00 |
| Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | +95 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 05-12 19:30 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +93 | $93 | $93 | 2 | 05-12 20:05 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +55 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 20:00 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 19:59 |
| Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 05-12 19:24 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 20:00 |
| Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-12 19:36 |
| Dental-Stepgrandfather 0x104b…6ae9 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 15:14 |
| Questionable-Bob 0x8d6c…3a8a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 19:49 |
| Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 19:24 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 19:59 |
| Illustrious-Holder 0x195d…b32c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 19:59 |
| Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 19:59 |
| Next-Amnesty 0x7151…4404 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 13:33 |
| Disguised-Pack 0x2eec…b0e7 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 20:05:13 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x8ff87c… |
| 05-12 20:05:13 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x8ff87c… |
| 05-12 20:00:29 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a1df8… |
| 05-12 20:00:29 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a1df8… |
| 05-12 20:00:29 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x2a1df8… |
| 05-12 20:00:01 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x459118… |
| 05-12 20:00:01 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x459118… |
| 05-12 19:59:26 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad2b0b… |
| 05-12 19:59:26 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xad2b0b… |
| 05-12 19:59:26 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad2b0b… |
| 05-12 19:59:24 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x68d9df… |
| 05-12 19:59:24 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x68d9df… |
| 05-12 19:59:24 | Illustrious-Holder 0x195d…b32c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x68d9df… |
| 05-12 19:59:24 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x68d9df… |
| 05-12 19:59:24 | Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x68d9df… |
| 05-12 19:49:03 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa0b04d… |
| 05-12 19:49:03 | Questionable-Bob 0x8d6c…3a8a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa0b04d… |
| 05-12 19:36:34 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xe633f1… |
| 05-12 19:36:34 | Forsaken-Magic 0x5309…1347 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0xe633f1… |
| 05-12 19:30:21 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x16dab8… |
| 05-12 19:30:21 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x16dab8… |
| 05-12 19:30:18 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x9e681b… |
| 05-12 19:30:18 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x9e681b… |
| 05-12 19:27:53 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xf674a1… |
| 05-12 19:27:53 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 47 | 84¢ | $39 | 0xf674a1… |
| 05-12 19:24:31 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x47ced4… |
| 05-12 19:24:31 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x47ced4… |
| 05-12 19:24:26 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x09cc63… |
| 05-12 19:24:26 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x09cc63… |
| 05-12 19:22:18 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x30b7fb… |
| 05-12 19:22:18 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x30b7fb… |
| 05-12 19:20:11 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x488779… |
| 05-12 19:20:11 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x488779… |
| 05-12 19:16:04 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x81ad4c… |
| 05-12 19:16:04 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x81ad4c… |
| 05-12 15:17:22 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xdfbf4b… |
| 05-12 15:17:22 | Disguised-Pack 0x2eec…b0e7 | No | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0xdfbf4b… |
| 05-12 15:14:55 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x200ae6… |
| 05-12 15:14:55 | Dental-Stepgrandfather 0x104b…6ae9 | No | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x200ae6… |
| 05-12 14:52:48 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x1acdc5… |
| 05-12 14:52:48 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x1acdc5… |
| 05-12 14:52:48 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | No | SELL | 200 | 57¢ | $114 | 0x2e8cb8… |
| 05-12 14:52:48 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 200 | 57¢ | $114 | 0x2e8cb8… |
| 05-12 13:51:14 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 200 | 32¢ | $64 | 0x752b30… |
| 05-12 13:51:14 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | No | BUY | 200 | 68¢ | $136 | 0x752b30… |
| 05-12 13:33:58 | Next-Amnesty 0x7151…4404 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x211770… |
| 05-12 13:33:58 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x211770… |
| 05-12 13:32:10 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 114 | 67¢ | $76 | 0xe22aa2… |
| 05-12 13:32:10 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 114 | 33¢ | $38 | 0xe22aa2… |