Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 1?
closed
Total volume
$742
Trades
53
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-01
First seen
2026-05-01
last 05-01 20:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-85.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $87
vs crowd: 85% YES on $705)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $25 | $87 | $62 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $188 | $11 | +$176 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $375 | $6 | +$369 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $12 | $0 | +$12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $87 | $87 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $157 | $5 | +$152 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $12 | $0 | +$12 |
| Median | 2 | $33 | — | +$33 |
| Below median | 6 | $12 | $0 | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $22 | $1 | +$21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $239 | $2 | +$236 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $125 | — | +$125 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +309 | $87 | $87 | 7 | 05-01 15:07 |
| Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | +207 | $152 | $152 | 2 | 05-01 14:01 |
| Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | +164 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 05-01 20:07 |
| Square-Buffet 0xc2d2…1615 | No | +124 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-01 18:56 |
| Impractical-Net 0x21b5…1db6 | Yes | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-01 17:38 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +101 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 05-01 14:23 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-01 20:07 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-01 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +33 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 05-01 19:05 |
| Colorless-Spatula 0x43c0…c00b | Yes | +31 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-01 19:33 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-01 19:33 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 05-01 20:11 |
| Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-01 13:44 |
| Caring-Liner 0xb9e1…a3f4 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-01 13:02 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-01 13:02 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-01 15:07 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-01 19:05 |
| Periodic-Footwear 0x1b8c…b2ee | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-01 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-01 20:07 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-01 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-01 20:07 |
| Disguised-Pack 0x2eec…b0e7 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-01 18:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 20:11:36 | (anonymous) 0xd6d5…f2c6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb7410d… |
| 05-01 20:11:36 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb7410d… |
| 05-01 20:10:18 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x6fc821… |
| 05-01 20:10:18 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x6fc821… |
| 05-01 20:10:16 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6ff49c… |
| 05-01 20:10:16 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6ff49c… |
| 05-01 20:07:06 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | BUY | 164 | 100¢ | $163 | 0x306ca9… |
| 05-01 20:07:06 | (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x306ca9… |
| 05-01 20:07:06 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x306ca9… |
| 05-01 20:07:06 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x306ca9… |
| 05-01 20:07:06 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x306ca9… |
| 05-01 20:07:06 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x306ca9… |
| 05-01 19:33:54 | Colorless-Spatula 0x43c0…c00b | Yes | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xf33690… |
| 05-01 19:33:54 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf33690… |
| 05-01 19:33:54 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf33690… |
| 05-01 19:05:54 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa2d841… |
| 05-01 19:05:54 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa2d841… |
| 05-01 18:56:10 | Dear-Home 0xc7b8…0d21 | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x16df91… |
| 05-01 18:56:10 | Square-Buffet 0xc2d2…1615 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x16df91… |
| 05-01 18:37:16 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc62899… |
| 05-01 18:37:16 | Disguised-Pack 0x2eec…b0e7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc62899… |
| 05-01 18:31:32 | Periodic-Footwear 0x1b8c…b2ee | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb375e6… |
| 05-01 18:31:32 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb375e6… |
| 05-01 18:14:24 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1959a1… |
| 05-01 18:14:24 | (anonymous) 0xd6d5…f2c6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x1959a1… |
| 05-01 18:03:50 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x685348… |
| 05-01 18:03:50 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x685348… |
| 05-01 17:38:16 | Square-Buffet 0xc2d2…1615 | No | BUY | 104 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x3e5fca… |
| 05-01 17:38:16 | Impractical-Net 0x21b5…1db6 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x3e5fca… |
| 05-01 15:37:50 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x2ba7f3… |
| 05-01 15:37:50 | Dear-Home 0xc7b8…0d21 | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2ba7f3… |
| 05-01 15:07:28 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x9c7969… |
| 05-01 15:07:28 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x9c7969… |
| 05-01 14:23:12 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 4 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x1157fd… |
| 05-01 14:23:12 | Dear-Home 0xc7b8…0d21 | No | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x9269c8… |
| 05-01 14:23:12 | Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | Yes | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x1157fd… |
| 05-01 14:23:12 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x9269c8… |
| 05-01 14:23:10 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 67¢ | $54 | 0x66bb31… |
| 05-01 14:23:10 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 80 | 33¢ | $26 | 0x66bb31… |
| 05-01 14:01:12 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x7f1557… |
| 05-01 14:01:12 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x7f1557… |
| 05-01 14:01:06 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 109 | 30¢ | $33 | 0xcbcdb3… |
| 05-01 14:01:06 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 109 | 70¢ | $76 | 0xcbcdb3… |
| 05-01 13:44:12 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xabc825… |
| 05-01 13:44:12 | Young-Networking 0x5fde…cbbe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xabc825… |
| 05-01 13:43:44 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xdd229a… |
| 05-01 13:43:44 | Dear-Home 0xc7b8…0d21 | No | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xdd229a… |
| 05-01 13:33:48 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x4e3c29… |
| 05-01 13:33:48 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x4e3c29… |
| 05-01 13:33:44 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 98 | 23¢ | $23 | 0xbbcc17… |
| 05-01 13:33:44 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 98 | 77¢ | $76 | 0xbbcc17… |
| 05-01 13:02:12 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x159184… |
| 05-01 13:02:12 | Caring-Liner 0xb9e1…a3f4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x159184… |