Imaginary-Care — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved (7d)

1,285

Trades (7d)

15,479

39,157 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$32.3K

$259.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-31 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$4,842

Other

1% 61% -$191

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 4012 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes		+3	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-04 22:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET	19	$940	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$60	04-28 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	62	$893	500	475	+25	Down	+$34	05-03 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	7	$624	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	-$316	04-28 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	65	$609	1,317	0	+1,317	Down	+$426	05-02 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	50	$538	1,135	0	+1,135	Up	-$324	05-02 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	8	$517	898	398	+500	Up	+$41	04-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	68	$469	1,074	0	+1,074	Down	+$71	05-01 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	79	$458	1,120	0	+1,120	Up	+$141	05-01 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	95	$445	984	0	+984	Up	+$52	05-03 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	31	$444	431	431	+0	Up	+$70	05-03 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	38	$439	896	0	+896	Down	-$21	05-02 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	46	$433	960	0	+960	Down	+$47	04-30 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	84	$433	1,024	0	+1,024	Up	+$80	05-01 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	80	$422	1,062	0	+1,062	Down	+$378	05-02 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	78	$419	958	0	+958	Up	+$42	05-03 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	57	$403	917	0	+917	Down	+$58	05-03 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	70	$401	919	0	+919	Up	+$110	05-02 19:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$396	600	200	+400	No	-$56	10-01 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	85	$371	941	0	+941	Down	+$87	05-03 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$357	494	0	+494	Down	-$357	05-14 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	53	$340	763	0	+763	Down	-$50	05-02 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$332	439	0	+439	Up	+$107	05-14 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	143	$331	565	0	+565	Up	+$79	10-26 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	60	$320	798	0	+798	Down	+$4	05-02 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	30	$318	734	0	+734	Down	-$74	05-02 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$318	517	0	+517	Up	-$318	05-14 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	23	$313	205	205	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	62	$296	689	0	+689	Up	-$78	05-01 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	82	$293	763	0	+763	Up	+$65	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$290	373	0	+373	Down	-$290	05-14 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 03:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x379e2b…
10-31 03:49:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x78e975…
10-31 03:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x72efc5…
10-31 03:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0f7104…
10-31 03:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc8bb22…
10-31 03:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x501172…
10-31 03:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x0d6286…
10-31 03:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xdb994f…
10-31 03:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x126cb3…
10-31 03:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xed56d0…
10-31 03:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xe7ef6e…
10-31 03:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xd61bf6…
10-31 03:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd1314e…
10-31 03:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x6e4499…
10-31 03:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x06fdec…
10-31 03:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x31e858…
10-31 03:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x185dff…
10-31 03:36:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb3edff…
10-31 03:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x91714b…
10-31 03:36:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x857bed…
10-31 03:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfe535b…
10-31 03:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x89d507…
10-31 03:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1fb8af…
10-31 03:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7332cf…
10-31 03:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf0289f…
10-31 03:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x41fcd2…
10-31 03:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x87ea2b…
10-31 03:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x28c52b…
10-31 03:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x51866a…
10-31 03:30:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2f6762…
10-31 03:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5dbe22…
10-31 03:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1398b4…
10-31 03:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf4dc87…
10-31 03:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3d7238…
10-31 03:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xcf6bd4…
10-31 03:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xd35ee4…
10-31 03:21:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1c5f28…
10-31 03:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x141fa1…
10-31 03:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf11d0c…
10-31 03:21:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x2f9dc1…
10-31 03:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xfb3511…
10-31 03:21:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd34cd0…
10-31 03:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa8b1bf…
10-31 03:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x033a8b…
10-31 03:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x81f3b7…
10-31 03:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x995c6d…
10-31 03:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd0ea63…
10-31 03:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x57e0f8…
10-31 03:16:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x6240a0…
10-31 03:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbe2f63…
10-31 03:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x01d4ad…
10-31 03:16:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xbff382…
10-31 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x67ea9f…
10-31 03:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc1495c…
10-31 03:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf5e5b3…
10-31 03:06:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x597150…
10-31 03:05:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe08298…
10-31 03:05:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2bb83a…
10-31 03:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x732ca9…
10-31 03:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb15148…
10-31 03:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x84bb39…
10-31 03:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe4f106…
10-31 02:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x2d4213…
10-31 02:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa67a51…
10-31 02:53:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd863de…
10-31 02:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8c6d3b…
10-31 02:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xe2d6c4…
10-31 02:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x73202b…
10-31 02:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x32e3d2…
10-31 02:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xccb885…
10-31 02:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x4f03d5…
10-31 02:47:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0aead0…
10-31 02:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4d7335…
10-31 02:46:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb99dbf…
10-31 02:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6583e5…
10-31 02:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1c1150…
10-31 02:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xfeb9e4…
10-31 02:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xabc9bc…
10-31 02:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xb56aa3…
10-31 02:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xeac6b0…
10-31 02:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7663d1…
10-31 02:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc68197…
10-31 02:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5d9e0c…
10-31 02:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x132c13…
10-31 02:36:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd2f284…
10-31 02:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x764154…
10-31 02:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x129499…
10-31 02:35:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9391c0…
10-31 02:33:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xa0ee02…
10-31 02:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6d7e88…
10-31 02:23:15	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xfc5fa4…
10-31 02:22:34	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x35ce88…
10-31 02:22:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x732ac3…
10-31 02:22:28	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xc7d2a9…
10-31 02:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4d65b0…
10-31 02:21:54	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xed714f…
10-31 02:21:49	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xeebd2a…
10-31 02:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xba3c7c…
10-31 02:21:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1c8640…
10-31 02:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x54a537…