Imaginary-Care — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1.51K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved (30d)

1,549

Trades (30d)

16,202

39,742 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$34.4K

$261.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-04 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$4,914

Other

1% 61% -$191

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 4012 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down		+5	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	11-02 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET	19	$940	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$60	04-28 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	62	$893	500	475	+25	Down	+$34	05-03 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	7	$624	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	-$316	04-28 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	65	$609	1,317	0	+1,317	Down	+$426	05-02 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	50	$538	1,135	0	+1,135	Up	-$324	05-02 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	8	$517	898	398	+500	Up	+$41	04-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	68	$469	1,074	0	+1,074	Down	+$71	05-01 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	79	$458	1,120	0	+1,120	Up	+$141	05-01 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	95	$445	984	0	+984	Up	+$52	05-03 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	31	$444	431	431	+0	Up	+$70	05-03 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	38	$439	896	0	+896	Down	-$21	05-02 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	46	$433	960	0	+960	Down	+$47	04-30 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	84	$433	1,024	0	+1,024	Up	+$80	05-01 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	80	$422	1,062	0	+1,062	Down	+$378	05-02 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	78	$419	958	0	+958	Up	+$42	05-03 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	57	$403	917	0	+917	Down	+$58	05-03 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	70	$401	919	0	+919	Up	+$110	05-02 19:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$396	600	200	+400	No	-$56	10-01 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	85	$371	941	0	+941	Down	+$87	05-03 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$357	494	0	+494	Down	-$357	05-14 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	53	$340	763	0	+763	Down	-$50	05-02 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$332	439	0	+439	Up	+$107	05-14 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	143	$331	565	0	+565	Up	+$79	10-26 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	60	$320	798	0	+798	Down	+$4	05-02 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	30	$318	734	0	+734	Down	-$74	05-02 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$318	517	0	+517	Up	-$318	05-14 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	23	$313	205	205	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	62	$296	689	0	+689	Up	-$78	05-01 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	82	$293	763	0	+763	Up	+$65	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$290	373	0	+373	Down	-$290	05-14 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc26343…
11-03 09:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa19d2c…
11-02 20:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x4cdc45…
11-02 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x9544f8…
11-02 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x99c306…
11-02 19:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xfa427a…
11-02 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xde33ce…
11-02 19:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0xdc3c24…
11-02 19:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xd6278e…
11-02 19:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x51f5f1…
11-02 19:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa8e941…
11-02 19:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x259753…
11-02 19:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xac653e…
11-02 19:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xe1c951…
11-02 19:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0a7f5f…
11-02 19:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8b5434…
11-02 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xdbd26f…
11-02 19:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd21fdd…
11-02 19:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa8baeb…
11-02 19:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5f0e2f…
11-02 19:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x5bcab1…
11-02 19:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xdc21cf…
11-02 19:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe66d42…
11-02 19:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0fd2a9…
11-02 19:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x84df86…
11-02 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa253df…
11-02 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x92da21…
11-02 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x8cad3e…
11-02 18:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x5ef968…
11-02 18:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbcc64e…
11-02 18:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa72d2f…
11-02 18:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xd84a6c…
11-02 18:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x52349f…
11-02 18:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xe8e6a2…
11-02 18:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x1a0958…
11-02 18:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x469791…
11-02 18:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xc86258…
11-02 18:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xd0fb6e…
11-02 18:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xd9fdde…
11-02 18:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x020338…
11-02 18:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0x6a86b2…
11-02 18:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x40922e…
11-02 18:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x23973a…
11-02 18:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xebadb3…
11-02 18:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xd4866f…
11-02 18:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0x3ad188…
11-02 18:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x0ecd62…
11-02 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa43dbb…
11-02 18:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	40¢	$9	0x03defb…
11-02 18:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4d0cc8…
11-02 18:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x9b9631…
11-02 17:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x4c718d…
11-02 17:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x836a70…
11-02 17:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x206e06…
11-02 17:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0x088558…
11-02 17:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb4904a…
11-02 17:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xff6a31…
11-02 17:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x0eb9cf…
11-02 17:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x811c4a…
11-02 17:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x973e99…
11-02 17:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x89106f…
11-02 17:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xa6532f…
11-02 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6b1653…
11-02 17:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe2bb40…
11-02 17:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x7d9d87…
11-02 17:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x131fcc…
11-02 17:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4cea06…
11-02 17:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xdde1d0…
11-02 17:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x9e5d0e…
11-02 16:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x794db2…
11-02 16:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x26406b…
11-02 16:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x0192e7…
11-02 16:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd37caf…
11-02 16:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xfc1456…
11-02 16:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x342257…
11-02 16:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xea1d05…
11-02 16:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x7983da…
11-02 16:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x548430…
11-02 16:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0xd879f1…
11-02 16:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xc1007f…
11-02 16:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x01c629…
11-02 16:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2d8ec8…
11-02 16:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x95cf28…
11-02 16:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x032528…
11-02 16:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x041852…
11-02 16:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd77e12…
11-02 16:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x09c37b…
11-02 16:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x5b6134…
11-02 16:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x7e163c…
11-02 16:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x69b0d7…
11-02 16:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xb7bb9c…
11-02 16:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xb15982…
11-02 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x28eb79…
11-02 16:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x21c9e3…
11-02 16:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xd218ac…
11-02 16:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x1c1057…
11-02 15:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xec1202…
11-02 15:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x389f90…
11-02 15:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xf02f8e…
11-02 15:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xeb5595…