Imaginary-Care — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

8,972

Trades

40,044

lifetime

Volume

$262.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-10 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$5,104

Other

1% 61% -$191

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Sports

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 4012 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes		+3	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-04 22:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET	19	$940	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$60	04-28 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	62	$893	500	475	+25	Down	+$34	05-03 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	7	$624	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	-$316	04-28 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	65	$609	1,317	0	+1,317	Down	+$426	05-02 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	50	$538	1,135	0	+1,135	Up	-$324	05-02 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	8	$517	898	398	+500	Up	+$41	04-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	68	$469	1,074	0	+1,074	Down	+$71	05-01 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	79	$458	1,120	0	+1,120	Up	+$141	05-01 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	95	$445	984	0	+984	Up	+$52	05-03 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	31	$444	431	431	+0	Up	+$70	05-03 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	38	$439	896	0	+896	Down	-$21	05-02 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	46	$433	960	0	+960	Down	+$47	04-30 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	84	$433	1,024	0	+1,024	Up	+$80	05-01 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	80	$422	1,062	0	+1,062	Down	+$378	05-02 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	78	$419	958	0	+958	Up	+$42	05-03 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	57	$403	917	0	+917	Down	+$58	05-03 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	70	$401	919	0	+919	Up	+$110	05-02 19:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$396	600	200	+400	No	-$56	10-01 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	85	$371	941	0	+941	Down	+$87	05-03 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$357	494	0	+494	Down	-$357	05-14 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	53	$340	763	0	+763	Down	-$50	05-02 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$332	439	0	+439	Up	+$107	05-14 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	143	$331	565	0	+565	Up	+$79	10-26 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	60	$320	798	0	+798	Down	+$4	05-02 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	30	$318	734	0	+734	Down	-$74	05-02 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$318	517	0	+517	Up	-$318	05-14 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	23	$313	205	205	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	62	$296	689	0	+689	Up	-$78	05-01 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	82	$293	763	0	+763	Up	+$65	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$290	373	0	+373	Down	-$290	05-14 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 13:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	75¢	$15	0x7fe853…
11-10 13:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0xddf861…
11-10 13:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x9b3eef…
11-10 10:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x160921…
11-10 10:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	79¢	$16	0xa2e449…
11-10 10:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xc8af40…
11-10 10:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x84dad6…
11-10 09:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xcbd224…
11-10 08:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xe32589…
11-10 08:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa54b21…
11-10 08:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x6bdd27…
11-10 08:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa07a99…
11-10 08:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb72b7e…
11-10 08:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x27a175…
11-10 08:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x35719e…
11-10 08:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x18a2e4…
11-10 07:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd93694…
11-10 07:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x53ce7a…
11-10 07:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8aaba7…
11-10 07:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xc058d3…
11-10 07:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4c6723…
11-10 07:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x33705c…
11-10 07:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x0f57ee…
11-10 07:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdac73b…
11-10 07:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xaafe42…
11-10 07:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x46afd2…
11-10 07:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x1a9f9a…
11-10 07:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc6cc9c…
11-10 07:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0d46f9…
11-10 07:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa1b201…
11-10 07:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xe611e3…
11-10 07:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xa81280…
11-10 06:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4149da…
11-10 06:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x41790c…
11-10 06:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x82a499…
11-10 06:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x3fe122…
11-10 06:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x8cda19…
11-10 06:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x83ed9f…
11-10 06:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1b522a…
11-10 06:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0xe8eb1c…
11-10 06:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5e1aa8…
11-10 06:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xf6e2f9…
11-10 06:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf952aa…
11-10 06:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x620c61…
11-10 06:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x5c8b89…
11-10 06:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0013bc…
11-10 06:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa2f72b…
11-10 05:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf51a33…
11-10 05:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7e0eda…
11-10 05:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xced073…
11-10 05:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x86781b…
11-10 05:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe31d5e…
11-10 05:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa68289…
11-10 05:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x70fd2d…
11-10 05:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf8140f…
11-10 05:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x612045…
11-10 05:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3b7a9e…
11-10 05:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xff35c7…
11-10 04:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc6a08b…
11-10 04:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3293b6…
11-10 04:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x883878…
11-10 04:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x254367…
11-10 04:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x6ced8e…
11-10 04:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x593577…
11-10 04:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x105042…
11-10 04:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x37ec6b…
11-10 04:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd189b2…
11-10 04:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x69994a…
11-10 04:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x1041e1…
11-10 04:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xda3a23…
11-10 04:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9348ea…
11-10 04:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xda4feb…
11-10 04:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x97a708…
11-10 04:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xc351af…
11-10 04:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb265c0…
11-10 04:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x8395e4…
11-10 04:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	79¢	$16	0xc93e09…
11-10 04:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3cbed7…
11-10 04:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x0f9cc5…
11-10 04:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x0e20e3…
11-10 04:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe064c8…
11-10 04:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1ad3c4…
11-10 03:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	60¢	$12	0x53c137…
11-10 03:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xcc3d32…
11-10 03:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0c274d…
11-10 03:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb18ec8…
11-10 03:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x7556c8…
11-10 03:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x2254e1…
11-10 03:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x457c04…
11-10 03:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7a17ea…
11-10 03:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8eaf92…
11-10 03:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3f3708…
11-10 03:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3dc4bf…
11-10 03:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6a0cad…
11-10 03:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa69ade…
11-10 03:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xace281…
11-10 03:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x57d662…
11-10 03:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1f7bd9…
11-10 02:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd64cb6…
11-10 02:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x689cbf…