Imaginary-Care — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.30K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

8,851

Trades

39,799

lifetime

Volume

$261.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-09 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$5,100

Other

1% 61% -$191

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Sports

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 4012 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes		+3	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-04 22:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET	19	$940	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$60	04-28 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	62	$893	500	475	+25	Down	+$34	05-03 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	7	$624	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	-$316	04-28 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	65	$609	1,317	0	+1,317	Down	+$426	05-02 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	50	$538	1,135	0	+1,135	Up	-$324	05-02 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	8	$517	898	398	+500	Up	+$41	04-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	68	$469	1,074	0	+1,074	Down	+$71	05-01 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	79	$458	1,120	0	+1,120	Up	+$141	05-01 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	95	$445	984	0	+984	Up	+$52	05-03 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	31	$444	431	431	+0	Up	+$70	05-03 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	38	$439	896	0	+896	Down	-$21	05-02 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	46	$433	960	0	+960	Down	+$47	04-30 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	84	$433	1,024	0	+1,024	Up	+$80	05-01 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	80	$422	1,062	0	+1,062	Down	+$378	05-02 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	78	$419	958	0	+958	Up	+$42	05-03 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	57	$403	917	0	+917	Down	+$58	05-03 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	70	$401	919	0	+919	Up	+$110	05-02 19:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$396	600	200	+400	No	-$56	10-01 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	85	$371	941	0	+941	Down	+$87	05-03 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$357	494	0	+494	Down	-$357	05-14 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	53	$340	763	0	+763	Down	-$50	05-02 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$332	439	0	+439	Up	+$107	05-14 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	143	$331	565	0	+565	Up	+$79	10-26 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	60	$320	798	0	+798	Down	+$4	05-02 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	30	$318	734	0	+734	Down	-$74	05-02 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$318	517	0	+517	Up	-$318	05-14 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	23	$313	205	205	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	62	$296	689	0	+689	Up	-$78	05-01 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	82	$293	763	0	+763	Up	+$65	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$290	373	0	+373	Down	-$290	05-14 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 17:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	66¢	$14	0x19459c…
11-09 16:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5294d1…
11-09 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x20c79a…
11-09 16:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0xb005c2…
11-09 15:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$14	0x9c202c…
11-09 15:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x4e52f3…
11-09 15:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xf750d0…
11-09 14:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0xeec38e…
11-09 13:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x2a3681…
11-09 08:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	495	1¢	$5	0x9dea06…
11-09 08:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8bf64b…
11-09 07:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0xef01ec…
11-09 07:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x41b22e…
11-09 07:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	495	1¢	$5	0xfb0322…
11-09 05:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	495	1¢	$5	0xf5ff64…
11-09 03:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa27ccf…
11-09 03:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x56e087…
11-09 03:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	86	49¢	$42	0x2d1498…
11-09 01:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	248	2¢	$5	0x4b7c9e…
11-09 01:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd2742c…
11-09 01:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7869a1…
11-09 01:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x844e4a…
11-09 01:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0x464197…
11-09 00:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	495	1¢	$5	0x75184b…
11-09 00:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe7f74a…
11-08 21:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	603	1¢	$5	0xb6f4b5…
11-08 06:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x130389…
11-08 05:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	83¢	$42	0xec281c…
11-08 05:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x109f0e…
11-08 01:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	84¢	$42	0x6471e5…
11-08 01:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0x3b168f…
11-07 08:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xa9a41c…
11-06 23:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	79¢	$42	0xb444fa…
11-06 23:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0x09cfbd…
11-06 21:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x9a8a11…
11-06 20:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	125	34¢	$42	0x06adef…
11-06 17:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc7bdd0…
11-06 17:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9d558f…
11-06 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xca88af…
11-06 17:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xd64bf5…
11-06 17:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x55ff7f…
11-06 17:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xee66c6…
11-06 17:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8ed888…
11-06 16:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6ae3d4…
11-06 16:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5a1262…
11-06 16:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6f7695…
11-06 16:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9c589f…
11-06 16:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x277b61…
11-06 16:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x09a95a…
11-06 16:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x684ba6…
11-06 16:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x60e272…
11-06 15:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xacbdf7…
11-06 15:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x24b6b3…
11-06 15:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xffd671…
11-05 19:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4,000	1¢	$40	0xbf8607…
11-05 19:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6,379	1¢	$40	0xd02882…
11-05 17:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	667	6¢	$40	0x8e9e51…
11-05 04:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xe39d43…
11-04 01:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc26343…
11-03 09:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa19d2c…
11-02 20:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x4cdc45…
11-02 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x9544f8…
11-02 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x99c306…
11-02 19:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xfa427a…
11-02 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xde33ce…
11-02 19:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0xdc3c24…
11-02 19:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xd6278e…
11-02 19:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x51f5f1…
11-02 19:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa8e941…
11-02 19:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x259753…
11-02 19:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xac653e…
11-02 19:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xe1c951…
11-02 19:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0a7f5f…
11-02 19:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8b5434…
11-02 19:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xdbd26f…
11-02 19:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd21fdd…
11-02 19:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa8baeb…
11-02 19:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5f0e2f…
11-02 19:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x5bcab1…
11-02 19:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xdc21cf…
11-02 19:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe66d42…
11-02 19:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0fd2a9…
11-02 19:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x84df86…
11-02 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa253df…
11-02 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x92da21…
11-02 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x8cad3e…
11-02 18:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x5ef968…
11-02 18:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbcc64e…
11-02 18:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa72d2f…
11-02 18:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xd84a6c…
11-02 18:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x52349f…
11-02 18:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xe8e6a2…
11-02 18:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x1a0958…
11-02 18:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x469791…
11-02 18:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xc86258…
11-02 18:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xd0fb6e…
11-02 18:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xd9fdde…
11-02 18:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x020338…
11-02 18:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0x6a86b2…
11-02 18:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x40922e…