Instructive-Trinket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-13 23:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$0

Sports

38% 0% $-1

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$874	462	462	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 11:19
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$867	448	448	+0	No	$-1	03-26 15:37
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$843	437	437	+0	open	—	04-27 10:57
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	6	$750	401	401	+0	open	—	04-01 06:19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$362	191	191	+0	open	—	04-15 08:10
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$333	171	171	+0	open	—	03-15 07:00
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$328	170	170	+0	open	—	03-11 22:51
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	17	$320	170	170	+0	open	—	03-15 00:34
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$318	165	165	+0	open	—	03-16 15:54
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$314	168	168	+0	open	—	03-12 23:27
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	2	$307	163	163	+0	open	—	03-17 12:58
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$299	157	157	+0	open	—	03-27 15:39
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$295	154	154	+0	open	—	03-18 11:40
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$294	154	154	+0	open	—	03-17 20:31
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$287	148	148	+0	open	—	03-28 02:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$283	145	145	+0	open	—	03-19 09:56
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$283	145	145	+0	open	—	03-18 05:02
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$281	146	146	+0	open	—	03-27 06:22
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$281	152	152	+0	open	—	03-20 22:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$281	147	147	+0	open	—	03-26 06:52
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$276	141	141	+0	open	—	03-25 19:57
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$275	146	146	+0	open	—	03-30 13:19
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$270	142	142	+0	open	—	03-29 20:57
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$220	118	118	+0	open	—	04-16 01:06
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	4	$219	115	114	+0	open	—	04-27 20:55
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$204	107	107	+0	open	—	04-15 16:53
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$126	65	65	+0	open	—	06-12 22:27
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	04-13 23:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	2	$125	65	65	+0	open	—	06-13 06:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$123	64	64	+0	open	—	04-11 23:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:51:21	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x87a6ef…
06-13 23:22:21	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xd8c760…
06-13 06:32:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$63	0xab5379…
06-12 23:14:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xe52a65…
06-12 22:27:07	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xa8d266…
06-12 22:10:03	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0x5e14ec…
06-12 12:50:12	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0x16fc77…
06-12 04:45:33	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x736878…
06-11 23:34:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$41	0x163cfa…
06-11 16:29:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$41	0x270e4a…
06-11 15:53:19	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x185180…
06-11 08:51:06	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x77c70f…
06-10 11:37:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$55	0xc23c4b…
06-10 03:32:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0xe77c80…
06-05 17:18:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x450362…
06-05 11:13:15	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xde8a74…
06-05 01:55:33	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	93¢	$59	0x7a6f5f…
06-04 17:51:00	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0xdf7002…
06-04 17:11:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xe99da0…
06-04 09:06:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x292965…
06-04 08:34:48	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x995958…
06-04 01:31:49	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0x3b6475…
06-02 21:08:34	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xf5e998…
06-02 13:07:42	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x94c46d…
05-22 04:50:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xa0192a…
05-21 22:47:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x5239d5…
05-18 10:34:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	47	84¢	$40	0x24dd42…
05-18 05:27:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0xcf0992…
04-27 20:55:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xe29820…
04-27 15:51:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0xcb398d…
04-27 15:33:36	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x5b842f…
04-27 11:26:54	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x66fc6b…
04-27 10:57:28	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	136	98¢	$133	0x4c52a9…
04-27 03:42:18	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$133	0x81e427…
04-27 02:30:40	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$136	0xe438cc…
04-25 07:00:42	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	140	97¢	$135	0x051853…
04-22 12:34:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xbbaab3…
04-20 19:08:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	49	84¢	$41	0xb151b3…
04-20 13:27:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xd15014…
04-16 01:06:04	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$51	0xc5474a…
04-15 17:45:02	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$51	0x4c427e…
04-15 16:53:20	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xf45528…
04-15 12:24:26	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xe44642…
04-15 08:10:54	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xf9dbb3…
04-14 22:52:20	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xf3c8ad…
04-13 23:05:05	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$63	0x9323c2…
04-13 19:02:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x6302e7…
04-13 02:34:13	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x59ce01…
04-12 21:58:31	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$52	0xf04884…
04-12 21:38:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xd05de5…
04-12 13:34:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd66344…
04-11 23:39:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0xc563c4…
04-11 19:17:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x15ccc9…
04-10 04:27:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x20e18c…
04-09 19:31:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x5baa7b…
04-08 10:20:19	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x6e819f…
04-08 03:58:39	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0x3f5c31…
04-01 06:19:31	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x5a2405…
04-01 02:17:39	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xa457e9…
03-31 04:34:05	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	93¢	$60	0xc05d20…
03-30 20:16:07	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	93¢	$59	0xdd067b…
03-30 13:19:06	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	146	95¢	$139	0xb50b4a…
03-30 07:42:46	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	146	93¢	$136	0x260300…
03-29 20:57:00	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	142	94¢	$134	0x471929…
03-29 14:23:52	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	142	96¢	$136	0x5b01a4…
03-28 02:28:13	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0xcdbcbe…
03-27 22:19:05	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	148	97¢	$144	0x716611…
03-27 15:39:39	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	157	95¢	$149	0x87e5b8…
03-27 07:22:09	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	157	95¢	$150	0xfd3899…
03-27 06:22:13	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	146	97¢	$141	0x79b502…
03-27 00:05:29	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0xfaa1ae…
03-26 15:37:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	151	97¢	$146	0xc2f1da…
03-26 08:07:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0x3ea5e5…
03-26 06:52:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	147	95¢	$140	0xe48cee…
03-26 02:35:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	147	96¢	$141	0x4974e2…
03-25 19:57:27	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	141	98¢	$138	0x97f066…
03-25 11:32:29	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	141	98¢	$138	0xd8b0e2…
03-25 11:19:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	155	94¢	$146	0xcd9c75…
03-25 06:18:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	134	95¢	$127	0x5d5cae…
03-25 06:10:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xde9211…
03-25 00:34:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	153	97¢	$148	0x50962f…
03-24 17:39:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	153	97¢	$148	0x575613…
03-24 01:26:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	136	95¢	$129	0x1b3311…
03-23 20:51:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xe1bc95…
03-23 20:46:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd77787…
03-21 06:27:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	145	96¢	$139	0x232e8d…
03-20 23:15:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	145	96¢	$140	0x42e1ff…
03-20 22:28:59	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	152	92¢	$140	0x9e6722…
03-20 14:22:33	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	147	93¢	$136	0x5c03d5…
03-20 14:20:59	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc8f7b7…
03-20 14:06:13	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	146	94¢	$138	0xbdf26b…
03-20 05:28:19	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	146	94¢	$137	0xf99353…
03-19 09:56:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	145	97¢	$142	0x25468a…
03-19 01:44:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x601d4a…
03-18 11:40:57	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	154	96¢	$147	0xd13ad3…
03-18 05:25:47	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x609177…
03-18 05:25:27	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x784bb8…
03-18 05:02:59	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	145	97¢	$141	0x840944…
03-17 21:09:11	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	115	97¢	$112	0x00b53c…
03-17 20:45:27	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x582eda…