Thirsty-Adjustment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$241

Unrealized P&L

-$40

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

656

656 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$4.23K

$4.23K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$133

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% +$241

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 564 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up		+119	$111	62¢	$73	$-38	05-05 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up		+63	$62	96¢	$60	$-2	05-05 18:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	22	$130	154	+154	Down	+$24	05-05 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	22	$126	154	+154	Down	+$28	05-05 04:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	19	$126	133	+133	Down	+$7	05-05 00:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	18	$119	126	+126	Up	+$7	05-05 01:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	18	$116	126	+126	Up	+$10	05-05 06:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	17	$114	119	+119	Down	+$5	05-05 05:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	17	$112	119	+119	Up	+$7	05-05 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	15	$111	120	+120	Up	+$9	05-05 01:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	17	$111	119	+119	open	—	05-05 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	14	$109	112	+112	Down	+$3	05-05 02:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	17	$106	119	+119	Down	+$13	05-05 04:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	15	$104	105	+105	Down	+$1	05-05 00:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	17	$102	119	+119	Up	+$17	05-05 01:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	17	$101	119	+119	Down	+$18	05-05 04:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	15	$101	105	+105	Down	+$4	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	13	$97	104	+104	Up	+$7	05-05 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	14	$96	98	+98	Down	+$2	05-05 02:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	19	$94	133	+133	Down	+$39	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	14	$92	112	+112	Down	+$20	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	12	$87	96	+96	Up	+$9	05-05 03:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	14	$87	98	+98	Up	+$11	05-05 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	13	$83	91	+91	Up	+$8	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	11	$79	88	+88	Down	+$9	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	14	$79	112	+112	Down	$-7	05-05 02:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	13	$76	91	+91	Up	+$15	05-05 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	10	$75	80	+80	Up	+$5	05-04 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	9	$71	72	+72	Up	+$1	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	9	$71	72	+72	Down	+$1	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	9	$70	72	+72	Up	+$2	05-05 00:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	10	$69	70	+70	Down	+$1	05-05 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x005d00…
05-05 18:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbf6f68…
05-05 18:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb583d6…
05-05 18:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2fe34d…
05-05 18:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x81cb9c…
05-05 18:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9a93b8…
05-05 18:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe9c5d5…
05-05 18:09:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x31d238…
05-05 18:09:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x02e1f0…
05-05 18:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x3cfff3…
05-05 18:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8f822a…
05-05 18:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x324336…
05-05 18:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x3ea823…
05-05 18:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x29cc68…
05-05 18:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf3955b…
05-05 18:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa58cc2…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xccd068…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x4df3cb…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x761dea…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x8abe04…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x66f0fe…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x4d5a37…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x42976c…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x9d6b93…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x58e6d9…
05-05 17:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xce21b0…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x22d384…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x7170db…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x900012…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xe55940…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x4fa1fe…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xfb8c38…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x5c10f3…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x284f9e…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x51a452…
05-05 17:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xe36a0a…
05-05 17:49:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x904a4d…
05-05 16:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x20c7b5…
05-05 09:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x720214…
05-05 09:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc82728…
05-05 09:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xf0527e…
05-05 08:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb6e3bc…
05-05 08:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1a83b8…
05-05 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x000560…
05-05 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xb93f6b…
05-05 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5dd644…
05-05 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x23eb03…
05-05 07:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x82b909…
05-05 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x03743b…
05-05 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x69e623…
05-05 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xfb4890…
05-05 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x7c5d0b…
05-05 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc4aab3…
05-05 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xa9f939…
05-05 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x3666d6…
05-05 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe13b3b…
05-05 06:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x0ede98…
05-05 06:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xb83226…
05-05 06:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x54490d…
05-05 06:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x5bf034…
05-05 06:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xac608a…
05-05 06:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x73f673…
05-05 06:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe11ac0…
05-05 06:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xf98e9f…
05-05 06:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcddb8b…
05-05 06:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdbeac5…
05-05 06:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x8fe60a…
05-05 06:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x149c10…
05-05 06:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x239fc6…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x6347a1…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x484624…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x333a25…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xa79546…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x6c3c29…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x1bc96e…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x08abbc…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xeb9da0…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x74cf0e…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xa6bb18…
05-05 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xebadea…
05-05 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x101387…
05-05 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1334c7…
05-05 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa7bde6…
05-05 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8ba326…
05-05 05:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x1c531b…
05-05 05:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9216dc…
05-05 05:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x94e6af…
05-05 05:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbb3317…
05-05 05:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x6fd174…
05-05 05:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x500356…
05-05 05:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x51c8a6…
05-05 05:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xacf6c1…
05-05 05:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x1e47ed…
05-05 05:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x86be45…
05-05 05:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x93d423…
05-05 05:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x2caf9d…
05-05 05:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x57f3bb…
05-05 05:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xfa7e05…
05-05 05:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x7a7f3d…
05-05 05:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xc34c44…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	63	$4.47K	334	05-05 18:09
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	56	$5.17K	207	05-05 18:09
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	55	$700	167	05-05 17:57
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	43	$1.51K	111	05-05 17:52
Agonizing-Convention 0x99ed…ba07	32	$1.89K	252	05-05 08:20
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	31	$2.34K	176	05-05 08:20
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	31	$2.17K	167	05-05 08:20
Unequaled-Title 0x28b9…531f	30	$17.3K	96	05-05 08:20