Realized P&L (90d)
-$730
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
21.2%
Resolved (90d)
948
Trades (90d)
4,762
34,466 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$61.8K
$175.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$518
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 17:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 63% -$2,500
Other
24% 25% -$383
Politics
13% 43% -$167
Sports
2% 29% -$7
Tech
1% 0% -$81
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 1026 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +397 $236 83¢ $328 +$92 09-23 10:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +397 $165 17¢ $69 -$96 09-29 18:47
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +31 $18 55¢ $17 -$1 10-08 08:22
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +31 $14 51¢ $16 +$3 10-08 14:36
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +31 $18 49¢ $15 -$2 10-08 14:31
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $15 68¢ $14 -$1 10-06 20:06
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +31 $12 44¢ $14 +$1 10-06 16:04
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-06 18:01
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $5 32¢ $6 +$1 10-07 06:41
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 10-07 17:52
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 10-05 18:57
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 10-07 14:33
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 67¢ $3 $0 10-11 00:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +5 $2 55¢ $3 +$1 10-08 19:59
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +5 $3 45¢ $2 -$1 10-08 04:51
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No +5 $3 44¢ $2 -$1 10-05 18:44
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 32¢ $2 +$0 10-05 22:25
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 10-07 14:02
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +1 $2 98¢ $1 -$1 10-29 04:32
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +5 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 10-06 02:36
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +15 $6 2¢ $0 -$5 10-07 10:24
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +5 $2 7¢ $0 -$2 10-08 01:32
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes -5 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 10-15 14:57
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +1 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-29 04:18
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +0 $1 67¢ $0 -$1 10-26 16:33