Realized P&L (30d)
-$813
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
13.0%
Resolved (30d)
433
Trades (30d)
4,892
35,459 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$80.1K
$197.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$488
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 248 days
Categories
Crypto
59% 63% -$2,501
Other
25% 21% -$548
Politics
13% 44% -$181
Sports
2% 29% -$7
Tech
1% 0% -$96
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 1026 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +397 $236 84¢ $334 +$98 09-23 10:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +397 $165 16¢ $63 -$102 09-29 18:47
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +31 $18 52¢ $16 -$2 10-08 08:22
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +31 $12 48¢ $15 +$2 10-06 16:04
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $15 65¢ $13 -$2 10-06 20:06
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-06 18:01
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $5 36¢ $7 +$2 10-07 06:41
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 10-07 17:52
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 10-05 18:57
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 10-07 14:33
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-11 00:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +5 $2 53¢ $3 +$1 10-08 19:59
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +5 $3 49¢ $3 -$1 10-08 04:51
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No +5 $3 46¢ $2 -$1 10-05 18:44
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 10-05 22:25
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? No +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 10-09 20:31
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 10-07 14:02
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +1 $2 98¢ $1 -$1 10-29 04:32
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +5 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 10-06 02:36
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +15 $6 2¢ $0 -$5 10-07 10:24
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +5 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 10-08 01:32
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +1 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-29 04:18
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +0 $1 67¢ $0 -$1 10-26 16:33
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes -5 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 10-15 14:57