Realized P&L (30d)
-$855
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
13.5%
Resolved (30d)
489
Trades (30d)
5,007
35,586 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$82.0K
$199.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$475
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 03:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 249 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 63% -$2,501
Other
25% 21% -$588
Politics
13% 44% -$179
Sports
2% 29% -$7
Tech
1% 0% -$96
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 1026 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +397 $236 85¢ $335 +$100 09-23 10:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +397 $165 15¢ $61 -$104 09-29 18:47
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +31 $18 52¢ $16 -$2 10-08 08:22
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +31 $12 48¢ $15 +$2 10-06 16:04
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $15 66¢ $13 -$2 10-06 20:06
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +20 $5 34¢ $7 +$2 10-07 06:41
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 10-07 17:52
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 10-05 18:57
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 10-07 14:33
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $0 10-11 00:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$1 10-08 19:59
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +5 $3 48¢ $2 -$1 10-08 04:51
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No +5 $3 36¢ $2 -$1 10-05 18:44
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 30¢ $2 +$0 11-02 06:09
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $2 24¢ $1 -$1 10-07 14:02
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? No +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 10-09 20:31
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +5 $2 8¢ $0 -$1 10-06 02:36
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +5 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 10-08 01:32
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +0 $1 67¢ $0 -$1 10-26 16:33