Personal-Frosting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$370

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-15 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 30% +$10

Other

13% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	04-26 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$55	99	24	+75	open	—	04-26 19:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$31	53	53	+0	open	—	05-15 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-27 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$19	17	17	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 18:14
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$16	62	0	+62	open	—	05-13 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	04-26 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	6	$8	18	4	+14	Up	$-2	05-10 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$7	49	0	+49	open	—	04-26 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-4	05-13 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-13 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$4	21	0	+21	Down	$-0	05-13 11:28
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-26 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-13 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$2	11	0	+11	Down	$-2	05-13 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$2	32	0	+32	open	—	04-26 19:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	+$8	05-13 11:56
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-10 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	42	0	+42	open	—	04-26 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-26 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-26 19:14
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Up	$-1	05-13 11:31
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 20:47:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	53	39¢	$21	0x2aafb4…
05-13 12:08:09	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x0e514e…
05-13 12:00:25	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x3b3286…
05-13 11:56:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xeb1ce4…
05-13 11:54:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xe3d81f…
05-13 11:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x906278…
05-13 11:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x36654b…
05-13 11:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x971635…
05-13 11:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe92af4…
05-13 11:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdc43cd…
05-13 11:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6fb90b…
05-13 11:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1d3f07…
05-13 11:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdc2779…
05-13 11:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0204b7…
05-13 11:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xacbfa5…
05-13 11:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8adcee…
05-12 18:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xc9b59a…
05-12 18:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x84d54d…
05-12 18:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x37642a…
05-12 18:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3bfb6c…
05-10 21:10:38	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1566e6…
05-10 12:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x93247e…
05-10 12:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf04d31…
05-10 12:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9ed0c2…
05-10 12:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x983c12…
05-10 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x16f4f4…
05-10 12:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x00f9a0…
05-06 07:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf85407…
05-06 07:39:52	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde1986…
04-27 06:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa19be7…
04-26 20:02:42	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x50d8e6…
04-26 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x764f2c…
04-26 20:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x38cd88…
04-26 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5c57ac…
04-26 19:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x96775a…
04-26 19:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x775d12…
04-26 19:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x83343c…
04-26 19:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x864868…
04-26 19:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0xa98b15…
04-26 19:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x4fbc73…
04-26 19:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa25390…
04-26 19:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa09f57…
04-26 19:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x9843ae…
04-26 19:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6dbce1…
04-26 19:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xab7ab8…
04-26 19:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb9185b…
04-26 19:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9c0ee7…
04-26 19:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc32365…
04-26 19:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3ff0d5…
04-26 19:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8af1b9…
04-26 19:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6890f8…
04-26 19:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa2c4d9…
04-26 19:20:28	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x52243b…
04-26 19:19:58	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x30e86b…
04-26 19:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbacb00…
04-26 19:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd4395b…
04-26 19:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x33baf8…
04-26 15:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x6d4011…
04-26 15:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf341f6…
04-26 15:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf5ae25…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	24	$30.7K	861	05-16 06:28
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	22	$20.4K	2,739	05-22 17:06
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$67.7K	1,572	05-13 11:48
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	21	$13.9K	816	05-13 11:46
Imaginative-Duty-Improvement 0xa8dd…e770	21	$6.37K	744	05-13 11:48
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	21	$5.32K	1,788	05-13 11:48
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	21	$4.59K	163	05-13 11:47
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	21	$4.57K	1,436	05-13 11:48