Torn-Contention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$224

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,738

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$224

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 1am et	5	$338	224	224	+0	open	—	03-20 05:59
bitcoin above 86k on january 1	2	$205	104	104	+0	open	—	01-01 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	17	$200	384	0	+384	Down	+$184	05-05 07:23
bitcoin up or down february 24 3am et	2	$174	176	176	+0	open	—	02-24 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	4	$143	98	98	+0	Down	+$44	05-07 08:40
bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	3	$133	163	163	+0	open	—	07-01 08:02
ethereum up or down march 22 2026 8am et	5	$122	240	0	+240	open	—	03-22 12:04
xrp up or down april 9 2026 12am et	5	$122	240	0	+240	open	—	04-09 04:00
bitcoin up or down february 2 2am et	7	$122	128	128	+0	open	—	02-02 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	5	$121	120	120	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	3	$120	120	120	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 11:56
bitcoin up or down march 12 7am et	6	$114	224	0	+224	open	—	03-12 11:02
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	2	$114	224	0	+224	Down	+$110	05-06 11:01
bitcoin up or down march 12 8am et	1	$112	224	0	+224	open	—	03-12 11:55
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 3am et	2	$103	104	104	+0	open	—	03-17 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	4	$99	192	0	+192	Up	$-99	05-05 06:01
bitcoin up or down march 3 1am et	3	$98	192	0	+192	open	—	03-03 06:04
bitcoin up or down february 24 2am et	7	$90	176	0	+176	open	—	02-24 07:04
bitcoin up or down february 25 2pm et	2	$86	168	0	+168	open	—	02-25 19:00
bitcoin up or down february 5 12am et	8	$83	128	125	+3	open	—	02-05 05:23
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 12am et	2	$82	160	0	+160	open	—	04-23 04:00
bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 10am et	2	$82	160	0	+160	open	—	07-02 14:01
bitcoin up or down february 3 7am et	9	$75	108	36	+72	open	—	02-03 12:01
bitcoin up or down january 17 9pm et	3	$67	44	44	+0	open	—	01-18 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6AM ET	11	$67	125	5	+120	Down	$-61	05-12 10:02
bitcoin up or down february 9 6am et	5	$67	128	0	+128	open	—	02-09 11:12
bitcoin up or down february 2 1am et	4	$65	128	0	+128	open	—	02-02 05:55
xrp up or down january 29 3am et	6	$64	56	56	+0	open	—	01-29 08:03
bitcoin up or down march 3 12am et	6	$62	96	48	+48	open	—	03-03 05:50
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 12am et	3	$61	64	64	+0	open	—	03-26 04:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 08:01:25	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8a0739…
07-03 07:50:05	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x440983…
07-03 07:50:04	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xaf1757…
07-03 07:49:11	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6e3116…
07-03 07:43:23	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xafbb4a…
07-03 07:29:56	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc0321e…
07-03 07:29:56	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x3c4a08…
07-03 07:03:08	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa3b9ba…
07-03 01:01:44	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xda1e73…
07-03 01:01:44	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x0ccc9c…
07-03 01:01:43	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8eb8ee…
07-03 00:57:47	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0xc126cd…
07-03 00:55:31	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x89f1a3…
07-03 00:54:40	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf3b131…
07-03 00:38:07	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe75fed…
07-03 00:37:07	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x596804…
07-03 00:35:08	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c93ea…
07-03 00:34:08	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5c4e5c…
07-03 00:27:44	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xdf6c96…
07-03 00:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x6f2b06…
07-02 23:54:40	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3697aa…
07-02 14:01:23	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xdefd95…
07-02 14:01:22	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x5b5770…
07-02 13:38:52	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xa5ccae…
07-02 13:03:04	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc159f9…
07-02 13:02:22	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3823e8…
07-02 13:01:01	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc2a661…
07-02 13:00:34	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x049241…
07-02 12:15:05	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa6ff19…
07-02 11:54:46	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xc442d2…
07-02 11:02:16	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x311c9e…
07-02 07:43:02	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	83	51¢	$42	0x59701b…
07-02 07:04:40	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x21a09d…
07-02 07:04:38	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x45b136…
07-02 06:49:14	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xbc0380…
07-02 06:42:16	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xdbb014…
07-02 06:42:16	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xba3116…
07-02 06:42:16	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x02c430…
07-02 04:22:25	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7e3141…
07-02 04:22:23	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	24	76¢	$19	0x9deb6a…
07-02 04:22:22	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0xc482dc…
07-02 03:05:49	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x9bba4f…
07-02 03:05:49	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x708d84…
07-02 03:05:47	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x502038…
07-02 03:05:47	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x30d60c…
07-02 01:00:14	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x7762b6…
07-02 01:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xa6b138…
07-02 00:56:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2ea9e0…
07-02 00:52:22	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x9fedc0…
07-02 00:52:11	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x80e4bf…
07-02 00:52:07	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa9aa62…
07-02 00:52:07	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x59626c…
07-02 00:01:23	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x2adfbd…
07-02 00:01:20	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf8a8bf…
07-02 00:01:20	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x106180…
07-02 00:01:19	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x5db454…
07-01 08:02:41	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	163	31¢	$50	0xf00356…
07-01 08:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xfa0206…
07-01 07:56:26	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	83	51¢	$42	0x7bfb3e…
07-01 06:42:44	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x54b8ae…
07-01 06:42:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x72de7b…
07-01 06:41:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xefa26d…
07-01 06:40:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x43c422…
07-01 06:39:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3f344e…
07-01 06:38:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2743b5…
07-01 06:37:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x35be09…
07-01 06:36:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x8782a7…
07-01 06:25:07	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x2435d3…
07-01 05:59:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4b9479…
07-01 05:59:04	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x2149ba…
07-01 05:53:01	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xce713f…
07-01 05:45:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xe50eae…
05-14 12:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x348240…
05-14 07:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	61	47¢	$29	0x55a85c…
05-14 06:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x66b55d…
05-14 06:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x8a08a8…
05-14 06:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x34f085…
05-14 06:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xbb887a…
05-14 06:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x7a4825…
05-14 06:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xb7dae6…
05-14 06:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x3e96b6…
05-14 03:00:41	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xdd452d…
05-14 02:56:27	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xec0fe8…
05-14 02:56:23	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x90a8e1…
05-14 02:56:18	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x8b6ae7…
05-14 02:55:22	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1b4612…
05-14 02:50:54	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xccb25c…
05-14 02:50:51	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x0bd08c…
05-14 02:50:47	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5e1093…
05-14 02:29:26	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xf36ae3…
05-14 02:09:56	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xfedc0e…
05-14 02:09:50	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3f01af…
05-14 02:09:36	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xda3365…
05-14 02:09:36	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x2ce987…
05-14 01:23:54	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x8daea5…
05-14 01:01:18	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xccdc05…
05-14 01:01:02	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe34c53…
05-13 10:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe42e67…
05-13 05:06:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x0fbb9b…
05-13 04:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	120	50¢	$61	0x271c38…