Realized P&L (24h)
+$13
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved (24h)
7
Trades (24h)
0
1,773 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$45.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$3.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
67% 84% +$102
Politics
20% 85% -$2,390
Sports
12% 75% -$156
Tech
1% 89% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,401 $1,391 99¢ $1.4K +$2 10-24 00:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +228 $206 99¢ $226 +$20 10-24 01:29
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +132 $130 97¢ $129 -$2 10-21 05:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +108 $100 97¢ $105 +$5 10-22 22:17
Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +105 $104 100¢ $104 +$0 10-23 03:39
Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +94 $94 100¢ $94 $0 10-16 17:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +90 $89 99¢ $90 +$0 10-22 15:53
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +89 $88 99¢ $88 +$1 10-21 16:36
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +96 $80 90¢ $87 +$7 10-20 18:13
Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 $0 10-21 17:57
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +73 $72 99¢ $72 +$0 10-18 05:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $76 77¢ $69 -$7 10-23 22:48
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +69 $68 100¢ $69 +$0 10-24 22:22
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +69 $68 100¢ $68 +$0 10-21 22:20
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? No +79 $48 83¢ $65 +$17 10-25 15:22
Will Marine Le Pen win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +68 $66 93¢ $64 -$3 10-13 01:23
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +62 $60 98¢ $61 +$0 10-13 17:04
will monica crowley be the next white house press secretary 2027 No +58 $58 96¢ $56 -$2 10-16 21:30
Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31? No +123 $60 45¢ $56 -$5 10-23 16:32
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30? No +55 $38 100¢ $55 +$17 10-23 18:49
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 $0 10-08 19:50
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 $0 10-24 19:59
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? No +42 $42 100¢ $42 +$0 10-22 15:04
Will Paloma Sánchez Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? No +45 $45 84¢ $38 -$7 10-06 04:02
Will Ackerman have the most kills at Worlds 2026? No — +35 $35 100¢ $35 +$0 10-15 21:31
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 10-15 16:09
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 10-20 14:30
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? No +36 $32 90¢ $32 $0 10-16 17:20
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? No +33 $24 97¢ $32 +$8 10-20 18:51