Realized P&L
-$2.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$60
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
521
Trades
1,773
lifetime
Volume
$45.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$4.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
67% 84% +$22
Politics
20% 86% -$2,404
Sports
12% 71% -$158
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,401 $1,391 99¢ $1.4K +$1 10-24 00:33
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +361 $359 97¢ $348 -$10 10-25 01:27
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +304 $295 92¢ $280 -$15 10-23 15:47
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +252 $251 99¢ $248 -$3 10-25 03:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +228 $206 90¢ $206 +$1 10-24 01:29
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +146 $145 100¢ $146 +$1 10-25 12:44
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +132 $130 99¢ $130 +$0 10-21 05:48
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +126 $34 100¢ $126 +$91 10-27 18:55
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-22 14:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +90 $89 99¢ $89 -$1 10-22 15:53
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +89 $88 98¢ $88 +$0 10-21 16:36
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +86 $86 100¢ $86 +$0 10-21 03:12
Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 $0 10-21 17:57
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +89 $84 88¢ $78 -$6 10-16 23:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $76 81¢ $73 -$2 10-23 22:48
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +69 $68 100¢ $68 $0 10-21 22:20
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +69 $68 96¢ $66 -$2 10-24 22:22
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +51 $51 99¢ $51 $0 10-08 19:50
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +45 $44 97¢ $44 +$0 10-25 11:11
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +36 $33 94¢ $34 +$1 10-25 14:43
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 10-20 14:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +28 $27 98¢ $27 $0 10-25 12:58
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +27 $27 99¢ $27 $0 10-19 14:04
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 +$0 10-21 22:18
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +25 $24 98¢ $25 +$1 10-23 13:45
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +26 $22 90¢ $23 +$2 10-11 00:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +29 $21 79¢ $23 +$1 10-14 10:42
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +23 $19 86¢ $20 +$1 10-26 03:32