Prestigious-Beastie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$103

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 09-24 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

49% 93% +$4

Politics

31% 78% +$20

Crypto

17% 67% -$9

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+64	$63	100¢	$64	+$1	09-04 14:41
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+33	$32	100¢	$33	+$1	05-24 15:11
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+6	$4	99¢	$6	+$2	09-24 06:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	5	$851	502	352	+150	No	+$2	07-29 20:51
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$587	388	200	+188	No	+$1	06-28 14:11
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$553	555	0	+555	No	+$2	02-28 07:34
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$465	266	202	+64	open	—	09-04 14:41
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	2	$424	425	0	+425	LGD Gaming	+$1	04-30 12:34
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$375	250	125	+125	No	+$0	03-25 10:37
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	09-24 06:34
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-23 13:40
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-23 10:48
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$165	165	0	+165	No	+$0	01-27 07:10
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$152	152	0	+152	No	+$0	04-15 11:28
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	09-24 06:34
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$137	137	0	+137	No	+$0	01-27 07:10
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	01-27 09:29
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	01-27 07:35
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$109	110	0	+110	No	+$1	06-04 08:45
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$0	01-27 07:10
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	03-07 06:51
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.6% in July?	3	$67	67	0	+67	No	+$0	07-29 06:48
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	09-24 06:34
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	05-22 11:25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	02-28 07:34
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	01-27 07:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-15 11:26
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-22 11:25
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	03-23 10:46
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	05-24 15:11
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-23 10:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-15 11:26
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-07 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 12:40:48	Will Trump say "Boeing" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x095ebb…
09-24 06:34:36	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xdab569…
09-24 06:34:23	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x03fd97…
09-24 06:34:11	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xaebf76…
09-24 06:33:17	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x474a26…
09-04 14:41:24	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xd8099f…
08-29 09:19:16	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xc4c601…
07-29 20:51:15	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe68a0e…
07-29 06:48:50	Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.6% in July?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x85f971…
07-29 01:58:41	Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.6% in July?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1c927…
07-27 06:03:27	Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.6% in July?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa1a5e4…
07-17 17:11:06	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xd1e87e…
07-14 18:47:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x15b6dc…
07-13 13:16:41	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xeecc8a…
07-09 09:55:59	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	502	100¢	$499	0x577ff5…
06-28 14:11:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x9fb615…
06-28 14:11:13	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x010391…
06-25 11:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x17106d…
06-25 07:16:17	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x632105…
06-25 06:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x553653…
06-25 06:00:07	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x8bafaa…
06-24 23:28:28	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x9816cf…
06-22 15:19:46	Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x289b32…
06-05 10:45:51	Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x166a36…
06-04 14:08:46	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc8c79b…
06-04 13:45:52	Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xab8940…
06-04 09:38:09	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3897c2…
06-04 09:30:13	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x438f55…
06-04 09:06:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6f6f05…
06-04 08:46:46	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x550375…
06-04 08:45:43	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7d0e8d…
06-04 08:33:06	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x27d36e…
06-04 08:31:34	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa556d7…
05-24 15:11:09	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x685997…
05-23 08:44:12	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x2f0e13…
05-22 14:40:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x20fdc9…
05-22 12:02:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xe424a9…
05-22 11:25:24	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x1063e4…
05-22 11:25:17	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc487b4…
05-22 11:25:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xde8072…
05-22 11:23:54	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	266	99¢	$264	0x69b528…
04-30 12:34:28	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LGD Gaming	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x891192…
04-30 12:33:54	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LGD Gaming	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x6c61e3…
04-15 11:28:06	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xe9844c…
04-15 11:27:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x4da6f5…
04-15 11:27:16	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3pt92	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf1aceb…
04-15 11:26:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xebcb97…
04-15 11:26:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x769eed…
03-25 10:37:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xc5a5b3…
03-23 13:40:19	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x04cec9…
03-23 10:48:33	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x06f875…
03-23 10:47:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x07154b…
03-23 10:47:13	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x374017…
03-23 10:46:39	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb56ba3…
03-23 10:46:31	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0c8708…
03-07 06:51:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x483f15…
03-07 06:51:23	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x93e698…
03-07 06:51:13	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf44df9…
03-07 06:51:09	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xedcb2e…
02-28 07:34:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	555	100¢	$553	0x47ab43…
02-28 07:34:23	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9ba5c4…
01-27 09:29:17	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xebbd8c…
01-27 07:35:59	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x146f3b…
01-27 07:10:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x83d595…
01-27 07:10:23	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x85b6e8…
01-27 07:10:13	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xc46fdf…
01-27 07:10:07	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xed0d53…