Flamboyant-Desktop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-26 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

53% 28% -$21

Crypto

41% 58% +$55

Tech

4% 0% $0

Sports

1% 50% -$3

Politics

1% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$461	231	231	+0	No	+$0	04-19 05:50
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	2	$461	231	231	+0	No	$0	04-20 01:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$461	232	232	+0	Yes	$0	04-20 01:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$455	228	228	+0	No	$0	04-19 01:39
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	2	$454	228	228	+0	Yes	$0	04-19 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?	2	$453	227	227	+0	No	$0	04-19 01:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$405	205	205	+0	Yes	$0	04-17 10:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$405	203	203	+0	No	$0	04-18 02:00
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$386	194	194	+0	Yes	+$1	04-16 07:14
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	2	$385	193	193	+0	Yes	$0	04-14 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:05 UTC	2	$375	194	193	+1	Down	+$11	04-14 12:22
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$372	186	186	+0	No	$0	04-01 02:59
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	2	$366	183	183	+0	No	$0	04-03 02:49
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$365	183	183	+0	No	$0	04-03 02:49
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	5	$365	183	183	+0	No	+$0	04-03 06:30
bitcoin above 76k on april 9	2	$365	183	183	+0	No	$0	04-09 02:10
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	2	$365	183	183	+0	No	$0	04-10 03:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$365	184	184	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 13:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	2	$364	183	183	+0	No	$0	04-10 03:39
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$364	183	183	+0	No	$0	04-13 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 01:40 UTC	1	$227	231	0	+231	Up	+$4	04-19 01:45
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	08-26 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:15 UTC	1	$206	229	0	+229	Up	+$23	04-18 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:05 UTC	1	$202	206	0	+206	Up	+$4	04-18 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:50 UTC	1	$201	203	0	+203	Up	+$2	04-17 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:40 UTC	1	$199	201	0	+201	Up	+$2	04-17 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:35 UTC	1	$195	199	0	+199	Down	+$4	04-17 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:30 UTC	6	$193	195	0	+195	Down	+$2	04-17 09:32
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 29c	1	$193	193	0	+193	Yes	+$0	04-14 12:27
bitcoin above 60k on april 1	1	$186	186	0	+186	Yes	+$0	04-01 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 03:40:15	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x315f72…
08-19 07:50:49	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x5bf878…
08-18 10:31:10	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbcef4e…
08-18 10:02:09	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x52daf6…
08-16 03:39:33	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xa7fbb1…
08-15 11:39:04	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x1f7e58…
08-15 07:28:09	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	No	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0x2aaa17…
08-14 14:33:18	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x9e7132…
08-14 06:37:57	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x71c6cd…
08-11 08:43:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x99d95f…
08-11 03:08:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x0198a5…
08-10 04:23:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xcc79b3…
08-10 03:10:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xc39398…
08-10 03:10:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x706faa…
08-06 02:27:38	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x1ffe7a…
08-06 02:26:24	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x24c23f…
08-05 18:00:21	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x036ec9…
08-04 10:00:03	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc22317…
08-04 02:00:33	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xfc123b…
08-03 09:02:47	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb021ce…
08-03 09:01:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x78f8f5…
08-03 02:40:44	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa42d3b…
08-03 02:30:47	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe44f28…
08-03 02:23:51	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xafd569…
08-01 07:38:15	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2b3a1c…
08-01 07:37:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd98901…
07-30 07:11:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x343fc8…
07-30 05:10:47	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0097ca…
07-29 07:12:33	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x427a5a…
07-29 07:12:11	Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd8f037…
07-25 03:21:07	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7f0778…
07-25 03:20:36	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1d1c66…
07-24 03:24:10	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x90db45…
07-24 03:03:37	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x787cad…
07-24 03:03:28	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6f5ed1…
07-23 14:35:33	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$31	0x6b8af8…
07-21 03:26:13	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x302870…
07-21 03:25:48	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x583160…
07-17 06:34:48	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x79d3b0…
07-17 06:32:54	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$32	0xf4888f…
07-15 06:28:10	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$32	0xde0224…
07-14 04:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x3d3735…
07-14 04:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x322839…
07-14 04:24:34	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x20331f…
07-12 17:40:55	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1f4958…
07-12 03:32:25	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf82e69…
07-12 03:32:05	will wti dip to 40 in july 2026 719	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8b65d3…
07-12 03:31:53	will wti dip to 40 in july 2026 719	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x08ff18…
07-02 04:01:01	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xb5b26f…
07-01 07:49:50	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x15e385…
07-01 07:26:59	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x0aa358…
07-01 07:25:44	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x0b68f0…
06-28 04:53:58	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9d9ff4…
06-28 04:53:35	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf66e05…
06-28 04:53:28	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa5f6e4…
06-28 04:52:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf26afc…
06-25 07:13:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x611f3a…
06-25 07:13:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xacdc14…
06-23 04:42:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3b1267…
06-23 03:38:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf30aff…
06-23 03:38:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb1a5d9…
06-22 13:52:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x3b8fe6…
06-21 04:03:32	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb8c6a3…
06-20 06:52:43	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1fb254…
06-20 03:49:02	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9e5adb…
06-19 06:42:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3d630d…
06-14 07:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x834511…
06-14 07:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1d17c7…
06-13 04:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x396d5d…
06-13 04:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9f6361…
06-13 04:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x217a61…
06-13 03:59:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in June?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8fd710…
06-11 02:50:03	will wti dip to 30 in june 2026 427 735 583	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x361edd…
06-10 12:58:16	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc9804f…
06-08 07:13:37	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x99a1eb…
06-07 03:32:45	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf28869…
06-07 03:31:10	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa56652…
06-04 07:09:37	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc7eb4f…
06-03 06:36:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x67ea19…
06-03 04:33:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x437f6e…
06-03 04:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8a50fc…
06-03 04:32:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x77df0d…
06-03 04:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$20	0x7bd0cd…
06-03 04:24:44	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x506d9c…
06-01 03:36:40	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xfab1da…
06-01 03:32:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7467a4…
05-29 04:21:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4b7b31…
05-29 04:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 29?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x01503a…
05-29 03:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x756149…
05-29 03:36:16	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$21	0xfe5333…
05-28 07:54:03	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0x266ef9…
05-27 02:45:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xfef9c1…
05-27 01:55:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x932331…
05-26 13:09:12	Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5a979c…
05-26 08:27:34	Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x00400e…
05-26 07:56:46	Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x03e0ce…
05-26 07:06:31	Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x43e14b…
05-24 03:17:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd68bff…
05-24 02:54:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x172948…
05-24 02:53:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x5976e5…