Flamboyant-Desktop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-08 07:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% —

Crypto

45% 67% +$1

Tech

4% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No		+22	$22	100¢	$22	$-0	06-08 07:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$461	231	231	+0	open	—	04-19 05:50
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	2	$461	231	231	+0	open	—	04-20 01:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$461	232	232	+0	open	—	04-20 01:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$455	228	228	+0	open	—	04-19 01:39
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	2	$454	228	228	+0	open	—	04-19 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?	2	$453	227	227	+0	open	—	04-19 01:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$405	205	205	+0	open	—	04-17 10:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$405	203	203	+0	open	—	04-18 02:00
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$386	194	194	+0	Yes	+$1	04-16 07:14
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	2	$385	193	193	+0	open	—	04-14 12:25
btc updown 5m 1776168300	2	$375	194	193	+1	open	—	04-14 12:22
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$372	186	186	+0	open	—	04-01 02:59
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	2	$366	183	183	+0	open	—	04-03 02:49
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$365	183	183	+0	open	—	04-03 02:49
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	5	$365	183	183	+0	open	—	04-03 06:30
bitcoin above 76k on april 9	2	$365	183	183	+0	open	—	04-09 02:10
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	2	$365	183	183	+0	open	—	04-10 03:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$365	184	184	+0	open	—	04-13 13:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	2	$364	183	183	+0	open	—	04-10 03:39
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$364	183	183	+0	open	—	04-13 13:06
btc updown 5m 1776562800	1	$227	231	0	+231	open	—	04-19 01:45
btc updown 5m 1776478500	1	$206	229	0	+229	open	—	04-18 02:19
btc updown 5m 1776477900	1	$202	206	0	+206	open	—	04-18 02:09
btc updown 5m 1776419400	1	$201	203	0	+203	open	—	04-17 09:54
btc updown 5m 1776418800	1	$199	201	0	+201	open	—	04-17 09:44
btc updown 5m 1776418500	1	$195	199	0	+199	open	—	04-17 09:39
btc updown 5m 1776418200	6	$193	195	0	+195	open	—	04-17 09:32
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 29c	1	$193	193	0	+193	open	—	04-14 12:27
bitcoin above 60k on april 1	1	$186	186	0	+186	open	—	04-01 03:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 24c	1	$182	183	0	+183	open	—	04-09 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:13:37	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x99a1eb…
06-07 03:32:45	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf28869…
06-07 03:31:10	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa56652…
06-04 07:09:37	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc7eb4f…
06-03 04:32:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8a50fc…
06-03 04:32:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x77df0d…
06-03 04:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$20	0x7bd0cd…
06-01 03:32:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7467a4…
05-29 04:21:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4b7b31…
05-27 02:45:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xfef9c1…
05-27 01:55:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x932331…
05-24 03:17:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd68bff…
05-24 02:54:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x172948…
05-19 03:31:56	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x081d97…
05-16 02:42:15	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3ef625…
05-16 02:41:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xcf993b…
05-15 04:46:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x1811ef…
05-15 03:58:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x5d523c…
05-14 02:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x104222…
05-14 02:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x5e6a93…
05-14 02:50:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0xc8a51d…
05-13 02:47:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbff7c5…
05-13 02:47:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x509084…
05-13 02:47:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3769ca…
05-13 02:47:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8e488d…
05-13 02:40:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb1ad36…
05-10 08:44:29	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8b16d8…
05-09 06:55:00	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8f8456…
05-09 04:49:37	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5c4282…
05-06 03:21:32	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5e2ce5…
05-06 03:21:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8ce0ad…
05-04 03:05:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc9aa9d…
04-24 07:35:32	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x10cccc…
04-23 03:00:48	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf2bf5c…
04-20 01:15:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	232	99¢	$230	0x6184f3…
04-20 01:15:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	232	99¢	$230	0x63b71b…
04-20 01:15:24	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	No	SELL	231	100¢	$230	0x92d4dd…
04-20 01:15:18	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xf149db…
04-19 05:50:06	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x814782…
04-19 01:48:52	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x4874cb…
04-19 01:45:00	btc updown 5m 1776562800	Up	BUY	231	98¢	$227	0x2dc6a6…
04-19 01:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x51fc9a…
04-19 01:43:14	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x7cd579…
04-19 01:40:12	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	SELL	228	100¢	$227	0x1a8b9e…
04-19 01:40:02	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0xfd8c1a…
04-19 01:39:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$227	0x978c31…
04-18 02:26:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0x3f0c71…
04-18 02:19:26	btc updown 5m 1776478500	Up	BUY	229	90¢	$206	0x5a00cc…
04-18 02:09:36	btc updown 5m 1776477900	Up	BUY	206	98¢	$202	0x845d7c…
04-18 02:00:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0xa7d2a0…
04-18 01:59:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xace07a…
04-17 10:06:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x4e464d…
04-17 10:06:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x5d0d42…
04-17 09:54:20	btc updown 5m 1776419400	Up	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0x85d504…
04-17 09:44:28	btc updown 5m 1776418800	Up	BUY	201	99¢	$199	0x3a9e50…
04-17 09:39:40	btc updown 5m 1776418500	Down	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0x5a1110…
04-17 09:32:26	btc updown 5m 1776418200	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xe5ab5a…
04-17 09:32:24	btc updown 5m 1776418200	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd9e42e…
04-17 09:32:24	btc updown 5m 1776418200	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb6831f…
04-17 09:32:24	btc updown 5m 1776418200	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x96a71b…
04-17 09:32:24	btc updown 5m 1776418200	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x77a021…
04-17 09:32:22	btc updown 5m 1776418200	Down	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xa37205…
04-16 07:14:22	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x215c8f…
04-16 06:52:00	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x8f406b…
04-15 11:29:40	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0x7d991c…
04-14 12:27:33	highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0xaf4a5f…
04-14 12:25:59	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0xbdf3cf…
04-14 12:25:29	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x5ce9e4…
04-14 12:22:17	btc updown 5m 1776168300	Down	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0xcc2c9e…
04-14 12:09:55	btc updown 5m 1776168300	Down	BUY	194	94¢	$182	0x6a9bc9…
04-13 13:07:11	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x35691e…
04-13 13:06:31	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0x02441c…
04-13 13:06:23	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0xa9f8bf…
04-13 13:05:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	184	99¢	$182	0x0c1616…
04-13 13:04:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	184	99¢	$182	0x961f22…
04-10 03:41:41	meta above 530 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xce07e1…
04-10 03:41:27	meta above 520 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc91835…
04-10 03:39:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0x76dea7…
04-10 03:39:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0xdafc61…
04-10 03:39:33	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0xf20c2d…
04-10 03:39:27	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x1e783b…
04-09 02:10:49	highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 24c	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0xbd70b2…
04-09 02:10:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0xa4f6f3…
04-09 02:09:47	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xef0064…
04-03 06:30:09	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x16dc1e…
04-03 06:14:31	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x61ca7d…
04-03 03:39:33	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6fe02d…
04-03 03:23:41	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0xf1f3ec…
04-03 02:50:37	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x09342d…
04-03 02:49:35	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0xe8a8fb…
04-03 02:49:29	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xc3f445…
04-03 02:49:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x14a491…
04-03 02:49:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xdfc1fd…
04-03 02:48:13	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf94fc5…
04-01 03:00:03	bitcoin above 60k on april 1	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x450897…
04-01 02:59:39	Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0xe8ffb9…
04-01 02:59:31	Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x6cf5f6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	31	$14.5K	423	06-09 04:35
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	28	$152.4K	2,688	05-31 10:07
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	24	$1.63K	171	06-07 02:59
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	23	$4.16K	2,472	04-27 02:25
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	19	$1.33K	645	06-09 14:48
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	19	$1.26K	706	06-09 14:48
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	17	$252.9K	330	06-08 19:09
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	17	$2.17K	992	05-12 12:05