Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

$133

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-23 01:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$15

Politics

32% 100% +$5

Crypto

13% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+135	$132	99¢	$133	+$1	10-23 01:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by June 30?	5	$1.8K	927	927	+0	No	+$5	06-25 21:59
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	19	$1.8K	925	925	+0	No	+$3	06-20 20:41
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$1.8K	926	926	+0	No	+$3	06-12 00:57
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$261	134	134	+0	open	—	10-21 12:15
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$258	136	136	+0	open	—	09-24 20:23
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$254	128	128	+0	No	+$1	07-05 09:50
trump out as president by march 31	11	$236	121	121	+0	No	+$0	02-13 03:38
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$229	115	115	+0	No	+$1	04-30 02:15
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	2	$227	114	114	+0	No	+$0	03-29 03:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	4	$227	114	114	+0	No	+$0	04-22 01:43
will solana dip to 20 march 2 8	2	$226	113	113	+0	No	+$0	03-05 11:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$132	135	0	+135	open	—	10-23 01:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$127	128	0	+128	No	+$1	07-13 13:17
Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 4-10?	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	05-05 02:21
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	1	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	03-17 03:16
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	1	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	03-29 03:42
nflx above 20 on february 20 2026	1	$113	113	0	+113	Yes	+$0	02-18 04:10
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	1	$113	113	0	+113	No	+$0	02-24 08:32
will solana dip to 40 march 9 15	1	$113	113	0	+113	No	+$0	03-11 08:07
nflx above 20 on february 6 2026	1	$112	112	0	+112	Yes	+$0	02-02 02:32
will open dip to 2 50 in january	1	$111	112	0	+112	No	+$1	01-26 01:59
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 10	1	$104	104	0	+104	No	+$0	01-10 02:19
open above 9pt5 on january 16 2026	1	$104	104	0	+104	No	+$0	01-16 00:54
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 680 699	1	$103	104	0	+104	No	+$1	01-03 02:35
open above 9pt5 on january 23 2026	1	$96	97	0	+97	No	+$1	01-19 02:29
Will Tesla reach $435 in April?	1	$82	82	0	+82	No	+$0	04-30 02:17
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	1	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	09-30 12:27
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	2	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	06-28 01:37
msft above 350 on july 10 2026	1	$66	66	0	+66	Yes	+$0	07-10 10:44
msft above 340 on july 10 2026	1	$61	61	0	+61	Yes	+$0	07-10 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 01:51:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	108	98¢	$105	0x7ee770…
10-23 01:43:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x8b9ff5…
10-21 12:15:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	134	98¢	$131	0x953ec2…
10-03 00:57:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0xd659b1…
09-30 12:27:44	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x9c126a…
09-30 12:27:21	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x48018b…
09-24 20:23:26	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	136	96¢	$131	0xba4295…
08-01 00:42:11	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	136	94¢	$128	0x43ec77…
07-13 13:17:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0xa449ce…
07-10 10:44:52	msft above 350 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x469758…
07-10 10:44:28	msft above 340 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x8b984d…
07-05 09:50:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x3be930…
07-04 01:13:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0xbd99d4…
06-28 01:37:47	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xbd6032…
06-28 01:37:26	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c5779…
06-28 01:36:44	nflx above 110 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x313d07…
06-28 01:36:34	nflx above 120 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4de05…
06-28 01:36:20	nflx above 130 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x841275…
06-28 01:35:52	nflx above 30 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x4fae3e…
06-28 01:35:32	nflx above 20 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xa00bd6…
06-28 01:35:17	nflx above 10 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2cc998…
06-25 21:59:05	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	927	100¢	$925	0x95ec35…
06-22 12:53:31	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0x4e714b…
06-22 12:32:32	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	287	99¢	$285	0xb31cd8…
06-22 12:04:17	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7a2617…
06-22 11:23:47	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	468	99¢	$465	0xac900e…
06-20 20:41:23	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	925	100¢	$921	0xc85f0f…
06-12 17:20:51	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x45396b…
06-12 17:09:36	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x58bff1…
06-12 17:01:33	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	280	99¢	$278	0x460d60…
06-12 16:54:30	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$201	0x402991…
06-12 16:36:01	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x521459…
06-12 16:29:30	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d2a5a…
06-12 14:51:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9a82c5…
06-12 13:17:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd18699…
06-12 12:42:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xab3bb9…
06-12 11:56:04	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a3163…
06-12 11:32:33	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb08067…
06-12 11:32:27	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x64bf16…
06-12 11:10:00	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x78172a…
06-12 10:00:06	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc03aa0…
06-12 09:44:21	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x75f873…
06-12 09:12:07	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5585c…
06-12 04:49:00	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4c80b…
06-12 04:37:27	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3b6f72…
06-12 00:57:30	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	926	99¢	$919	0xac1ed6…
06-05 16:37:42	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	809	99¢	$800	0xbd91b4…
05-20 01:45:00	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$106	0xc75827…
05-20 01:35:12	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3867c6…
05-05 02:21:06	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 4-10?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x433df2…
04-30 02:17:44	Will Tesla reach $435 in April?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x4e819d…
04-30 02:17:04	Will Tesla reach $458 in April?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd03ff6…
04-30 02:15:24	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x8dbb17…
04-22 01:48:30	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xaca433…
04-22 01:43:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0xe0cb78…
04-04 10:29:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe9790c…
04-04 10:29:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x439225…
04-04 10:26:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb9197b…
03-29 03:42:18	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xe147b6…
03-29 03:38:58	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x218e24…
03-19 08:28:45	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xef444a…
03-17 03:16:41	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xa6243a…
03-11 08:07:21	will solana dip to 40 march 9 15	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x9a6445…
03-05 11:00:55	will solana dip to 20 march 2 8	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x270d19…
03-03 08:34:19	will solana dip to 20 march 2 8	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x3bbc55…
02-24 08:32:00	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xd7f651…
02-18 04:10:28	nflx above 20 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xbb4638…
02-13 03:38:53	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0x39abcc…
02-13 03:18:07	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x95a359…
02-13 03:04:29	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0b408e…
02-13 02:46:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2be83c…
02-10 03:25:07	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	27	97¢	$27	0xffbee1…
02-10 03:21:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x679c95…
02-10 03:05:19	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x97f67a…
02-10 02:41:23	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x4efc4e…
02-10 02:37:25	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x057350…
02-02 02:32:26	nflx above 20 on february 6 2026	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x837653…
01-26 01:59:28	will open dip to 2 50 in january	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0xdf3699…
01-21 03:54:38	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x42a8e0…
01-19 02:29:34	open above 9pt5 on january 23 2026	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x661c54…
01-19 02:26:52	elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 240plus	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc548ba…
01-16 00:54:02	open above 9pt5 on january 16 2026	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xd9abbb…
01-10 02:19:40	will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 10	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xdc236f…
01-03 02:35:33	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 680 699	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x91f6c0…
01-03 02:21:53	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6a5f32…
01-01 17:35:57	us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x39ed8b…