Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$388

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-13 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Crypto

35% 38% $-9

Politics

10% — —

Sports

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+54	$5	6¢	$3	$-2	07-13 04:13
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-63	$-2	3¢	$-2	+$0	07-13 04:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$78	43	37	+5	open	—	05-11 15:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	5	$21	167	113	+54	open	—	07-13 04:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$20	286	286	+0	open	—	04-24 05:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 06:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	3	$19	1,548	1,548	+0	open	—	04-24 05:58
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	+$0	04-25 01:17
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 13:20
btc updown 5m 1783935900	3	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	07-13 09:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	07-13 04:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$9	588	588	+0	open	—	04-24 05:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$8	15	10	+5	open	—	05-11 15:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	13	$8	116	26	+90	open	—	07-13 04:13
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	4	$5	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 06:10
doge updown 5m 1783935900	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-13 09:43
btc updown 5m 1783941600	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-13 11:16
btc updown 5m 1783936200	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-13 09:46
eth updown 5m 1783941600	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-13 11:16
btc updown 15m 1783941300	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	07-13 11:16
eth updown 5m 1783941300	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-13 11:16
bnb updown 5m 1783935900	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-13 09:43
btc updown 5m 1783941300	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	07-13 11:16
btc updown 5m 1783948200	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-13 13:10
eth updown 5m 1783935900	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	07-13 09:49
btc updown 15m 1783947600	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	07-13 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	05-13 14:47
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	07-13 04:11
eth updown 5m 1783936200	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	07-13 09:47
eth updown 15m 1783941300	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	07-13 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 19:00:44	eth updown 5m 1783969200	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x6479d5…
07-13 13:10:07	btc updown 5m 1783948200	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xde2164…
07-13 13:10:07	btc updown 5m 1783948200	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2d7d3c…
07-13 13:10:05	sol updown 5m 1783948200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6bdee0…
07-13 13:08:08	sol updown 15m 1783947600	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3384e7…
07-13 13:07:55	btc updown 15m 1783947600	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x01dbd5…
07-13 11:16:43	btc updown 15m 1783941300	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x27c669…
07-13 11:16:41	sol updown 5m 1783941300	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7271e1…
07-13 11:16:37	eth updown 15m 1783941300	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x79e3c9…
07-13 11:16:34	eth updown 5m 1783941600	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbfff7e…
07-13 11:16:34	btc updown 5m 1783941300	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x621327…
07-13 11:16:31	eth updown 5m 1783941300	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9e4495…
07-13 11:16:22	btc updown 5m 1783941600	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x84621b…
07-13 09:49:38	eth updown 5m 1783935900	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x309a54…
07-13 09:47:13	sol updown 5m 1783936200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb85a37…
07-13 09:47:07	eth updown 5m 1783936200	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd02e22…
07-13 09:47:07	btc updown 5m 1783935900	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xb167b1…
07-13 09:47:05	btc updown 5m 1783935900	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfc52a2…
07-13 09:46:58	btc updown 5m 1783936200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c1b41…
07-13 09:45:08	btc updown 5m 1783935900	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xabc942…
07-13 09:43:08	doge updown 5m 1783935900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb69557…
07-13 09:43:04	bnb updown 5m 1783935900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5aa1ce…
07-13 04:19:59	btc updown 5m 1783916400	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6472fa…
07-13 04:17:08	doge updown 5m 1783916100	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa62a6e…
07-13 04:16:56	bnb updown 5m 1783916100	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x1ffa65…
07-13 04:16:52	xrp updown 15m 1783916100	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xadd81c…
07-13 04:16:49	xrp updown 5m 1783916400	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2831f0…
07-13 04:16:40	sol updown 5m 1783916400	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcc5fa2…
07-13 04:13:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x8db6cb…
07-13 04:13:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x1be415…
07-13 04:13:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x52be27…
07-13 04:11:37	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x85417f…
07-13 04:11:34	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x85ac79…
07-13 04:11:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$1	0x250a75…
07-13 04:11:31	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	4¢	$2	0xf417c3…
07-13 04:11:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	113	7¢	$8	0xf1cf21…
07-13 01:26:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc3e4c9…
07-13 00:41:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x976bcd…
07-13 00:41:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x2caa82…
07-13 00:41:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xef584d…
07-13 00:41:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x259b98…
07-13 00:41:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x7699f9…
07-13 00:41:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xaa872b…
07-13 00:41:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb6c3b1…
07-13 00:41:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x7dd5b9…
07-13 00:41:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3df4eb…
07-13 00:28:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xfc621a…
07-13 00:11:44	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf013ba…
07-11 16:13:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0xb9ce1b…
07-11 15:58:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0x54f514…
07-11 15:57:02	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd03f21…
05-13 14:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb72c94…
05-13 14:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbcaf13…
05-13 14:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2a2d45…
05-13 14:48:13	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x934ca9…
05-13 14:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9ebcb0…
05-13 14:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xea73ea…
05-13 14:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x99ec98…
05-13 14:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc20cb2…
05-13 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa28dd7…
05-13 14:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcce8b8…
05-13 14:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x6d9cd0…
05-13 14:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x492156…
05-13 14:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbca37f…
05-13 14:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x972d75…
05-13 14:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa53844…
05-13 14:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xd9c42f…
05-13 14:00:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x844bfc…
05-13 13:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x1a1215…
05-13 13:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb915c6…
05-11 15:39:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$37	0xb4fa3e…
05-11 15:39:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xda23d4…
05-11 12:02:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x54687e…
05-11 11:31:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x70704d…
05-11 08:51:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc47b8c…
04-25 01:17:30	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3c04e9…
04-25 01:09:36	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6c158b…
04-24 23:07:40	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0c266c…
04-24 06:28:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x46bdc2…
04-24 06:25:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xc307e8…
04-24 06:25:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x31034b…
04-24 06:10:36	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x425315…
04-24 06:10:32	highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 54 55f	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xfc6633…
04-24 06:10:32	highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 64 65f	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb0b89a…
04-24 06:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 25?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xae4adb…
04-24 06:10:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 25?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xb06597…
04-24 06:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 25?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0xad051e…
04-24 06:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 25?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x7103a9…
04-24 06:10:26	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 76 77f	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x7aae2f…
04-24 06:10:26	highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 56 57f	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x52eb5a…
04-24 06:10:26	highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 58 59f	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x067111…
04-24 06:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 25?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xa115f6…
04-24 06:10:22	highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xe82d2f…
04-24 06:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 25?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xe16628…
04-24 06:10:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 25?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x640769…
04-24 06:03:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xacb4a2…
04-24 05:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 25?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x85ef80…
04-24 05:58:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	286	4¢	$10	0x5c9c0b…
04-24 05:58:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	1,548	0¢	$8	0xa180af…
04-24 05:58:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x92f924…