Oblong-Pounding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-20 07:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% 67% +$7

Other

34% 100% +$14

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$731	417	417	+0	open	—	04-12 19:07
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$415	169	323	-155	open	—	06-15 12:32
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	3	$285	163	163	+0	open	—	04-14 03:35
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	3	$251	273	0	+273	open	—	04-17 18:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$229	120	120	+0	open	—	05-28 08:36
Iran leadership change by May 31?	6	$217	118	118	+0	open	—	06-01 06:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$174	240	160	+80	open	—	06-16 08:17
Iran leadership change by April 30?	5	$167	95	95	+0	open	—	04-17 18:27
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	4	$153	187	0	+187	open	—	04-19 20:33
will christine frechette be the next premier of quebec following the 2026 caq leadership elections	3	$153	84	84	+0	open	—	04-12 20:14
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$152	82	82	+0	open	—	05-14 21:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$150	175	0	+175	open	—	06-14 21:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$136	85	85	+0	open	—	06-28 19:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$134	75	75	+0	open	—	04-25 14:45
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$129	169	0	+169	open	—	04-17 09:17
Iran leadership change by June 30?	1	$125	0	127	-127	open	—	06-15 06:48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$123	35	95	-60	open	—	06-23 07:08
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$105	57	57	+0	open	—	07-09 20:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 08:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	06-15 09:18
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	4	$83	48	48	+0	open	—	07-07 18:08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$75	46	46	+0	open	—	04-13 05:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$74	77	18	+59	open	—	07-07 05:17
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$71	83	0	+83	open	—	04-17 16:23
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	06-15 09:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	06-14 22:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$58	33	33	+0	open	—	03-31 19:10
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$57	30	30	+0	Yes	+$3	05-08 17:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	07-08 09:29
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$50	90	0	+90	open	—	03-14 23:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 07:07:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x16baaf…
07-19 19:15:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbb505b…
07-15 21:43:07	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x05a06d…
07-15 20:57:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x448d87…
07-15 07:12:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x4377eb…
07-15 07:12:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf5918f…
07-15 07:11:55	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7c79a9…
07-14 22:19:05	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf2012d…
07-13 17:19:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x83d338…
07-12 12:27:17	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8ad14d…
07-11 22:52:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0192b4…
07-11 19:34:19	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2eb5c6…
07-09 21:03:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa7c27b…
07-09 21:00:31	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9947bf…
07-09 21:00:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x71e7f5…
07-09 20:59:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x150c3b…
07-09 20:59:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0fcb94…
07-09 20:54:10	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x140148…
07-09 20:49:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x18170c…
07-09 20:41:43	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb2c9e7…
07-09 20:41:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xd954bf…
07-09 17:43:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf595ab…
07-09 17:43:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5cfc6d…
07-08 21:08:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x223ec4…
07-08 09:38:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x01950e…
07-08 09:37:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1fd9d8…
07-08 09:29:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x845661…
07-08 05:50:22	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xff754d…
07-07 18:08:53	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xe2e65e…
07-07 17:53:26	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x336a99…
07-07 17:52:50	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x58ff75…
07-07 17:14:34	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7ad327…
07-07 09:51:53	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x128791…
07-07 05:53:52	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8ff722…
07-07 05:52:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x59464b…
07-07 05:18:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x04a6c4…
07-07 05:17:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x531882…
07-02 20:46:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x53b37f…
07-02 20:42:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa8cb51…
07-02 20:41:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd2c023…
07-02 04:46:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x392834…
06-28 19:06:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x4d3041…
06-25 21:10:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xdfb27f…
06-23 07:08:55	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x1732b4…
06-20 05:37:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xae417a…
06-19 07:00:11	will jd vance visit pakistan by june 30	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x57c100…
06-19 06:58:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x104e8d…
06-18 20:01:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x214a3c…
06-18 20:00:14	will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x9c177f…
06-18 19:50:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x596f56…
06-18 18:39:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3c30cb…
06-18 18:39:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfd859e…
06-18 18:34:29	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd24362…
06-16 21:16:28	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xf853ba…
06-16 21:12:20	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x10f32a…
06-16 19:10:04	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x4fe8fc…
06-16 08:17:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x0c1aa4…
06-16 08:16:34	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x7c62e4…
06-16 08:08:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xe211e0…
06-16 08:04:39	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x3628fb…
06-15 20:26:31	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xacc50b…
06-15 20:19:19	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0x8f5a84…
06-15 12:32:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	323	85¢	$275	0x5f9b48…
06-15 09:18:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xb1c9fb…
06-15 09:18:10	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x972f32…
06-15 09:17:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x6d72ff…
06-15 06:48:52	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	127	98¢	$125	0xf401a0…
06-15 06:47:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1ff8c3…
06-15 06:46:27	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x601dbd…
06-15 06:45:36	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0x18b9a1…
06-15 06:41:16	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xf6793f…
06-15 05:49:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3b934a…
06-15 05:49:01	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb61dd4…
06-15 05:24:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	83	84¢	$70	0xc532e3…
06-14 23:07:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xea97b6…
06-14 23:00:28	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	169	83¢	$140	0x2bc5cb…
06-14 22:59:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	47	84¢	$40	0x719fb9…
06-14 22:58:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	76	13¢	$10	0x42d692…
06-14 22:57:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x24e0c1…
06-14 22:44:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xa90e1a…
06-14 22:40:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2c6e64…
06-14 22:38:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	44	91¢	$41	0x933706…
06-14 22:37:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x070961…
06-14 22:23:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd1c208…
06-14 22:22:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xf591e8…
06-14 21:58:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x863f6a…
06-14 21:46:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xd4d121…
06-14 21:44:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x71c856…
06-14 21:43:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xeee11b…
06-14 21:43:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x32074d…
06-14 21:43:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	52	65¢	$34	0xde3469…
06-14 21:40:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x705aa0…
06-14 21:39:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x06a696…
06-14 20:48:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd53026…
06-14 20:46:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7fe5e4…
06-14 16:47:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0x238be8…
06-13 20:27:18	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3754f4…
06-13 20:20:40	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x986b62…
06-13 20:18:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x84beef…
06-11 12:41:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0x961d5b…