Oblong-Pounding 0x301f1f…5c3609
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$137
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
229
Trades
566
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$573
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-27 12:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Politics
60% 67% -$21
Other
39% 69% +$189
Sports
1% 38% -$32
Tech
0% 67% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +231 $195 82¢ $189 -$6 10-08 17:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -155 -$135 86¢ $-133 +$2 06-15 12:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +74 $60 72¢ $53 -$7 09-10 19:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +77 $66 45¢ $35 -$31 06-07 12:11
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 10-11 16:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +34 $30 86¢ $29 -$1 10-11 16:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -31 -$27 86¢ $-27 +$1 08-31 19:46
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +23 $20 98¢ $23 +$3 08-31 19:45
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +22 $17 66¢ $15 -$2 10-19 07:42
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +17 $15 87¢ $14 -$1 10-14 19:55
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +17 $14 82¢ $14 +$1 10-19 07:43
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 10-11 18:58
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -16 -$3 16¢ $-3 +$0 06-15 06:46
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +6 $4 44¢ $3 -$1 06-02 20:20
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +6 $4 14¢ $1 -$3 07-15 21:43
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +7 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 10-12 22:58