Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$82

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-22

last 10-23 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

79% 50% -$5

Politics

16% 67% +$4

Tech

5% 75% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-23 21:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	09-26 16:18
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	09-16 17:33
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-07 23:20
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-11 22:14
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	10-02 06:49
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:41
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-25 02:13
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-08 00:51
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-12 06:15
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-16 09:31
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	1	$1	4	+4	Down	-$1	10-23 12:55
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	1	+1	Up	-$1	10-15 14:32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-21 13:58
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-10 15:14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 23:15
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 14:14
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-30 18:50
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$4	09-25 10:14
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-23 23:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-27 21:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-08 14:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-26 07:23
spx up or down on september 10 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-10 04:48
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 05:55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-06 12:23
wti up or down on september 2 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-02 07:10
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	10-02 14:49
Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-24 15:47
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-14 22:08
will rklb reach 76 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-28 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 21:27:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x596795…
10-23 12:55:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb1ab54…
10-18 15:34:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4ffdec…
10-15 14:32:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xafa3f9…
10-12 06:15:09	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe34b0a…
10-11 22:14:41	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x903839…
10-11 14:14:37	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb2d8a7…
10-11 05:06:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x12cfef…
10-10 19:16:03	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x684020…
10-10 04:40:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x053617…
10-07 23:20:40	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7bb2ef…
10-07 23:20:34	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x87bec5…
10-07 15:14:55	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x910766…
10-07 04:23:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb57248…
10-06 20:23:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x06efdb…
10-06 12:23:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd97a17…
10-06 04:20:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x058870…
10-05 16:05:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd33e0c…
10-05 00:52:53	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbfeeb6…
10-02 14:49:42	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2e6092…
10-02 06:49:12	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xba6f16…
10-01 11:52:30	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd3b9c0…
10-01 03:41:54	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfc1ade…
09-30 18:50:00	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x44704e…
09-30 10:09:56	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x72b631…
09-29 01:25:45	will xauusd dip to 4100 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdd3d77…
09-28 05:24:17	will rklb reach 76 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x536920…
09-27 21:23:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7c0009…
09-27 06:08:42	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xea795f…
09-26 16:18:50	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb5e16e…
09-26 07:23:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdc435f…
09-26 07:12:47	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa3bc05…
09-25 10:14:38	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x654ae8…
09-25 02:13:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa8cd0e…
09-24 15:47:39	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x54c4af…
09-24 07:18:57	Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x139d89…
09-23 23:18:46	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc65947…
09-23 03:12:41	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8bd14b…
09-22 18:52:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9f147f…
09-21 21:59:49	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7b2a8b…
09-21 13:58:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xac9bd2…
09-21 05:55:06	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2aa14c…
09-20 21:41:46	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x48e5bf…
09-19 07:41:10	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x501ba6…
09-18 22:51:10	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x06f507…
09-17 22:14:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x06ba41…
09-17 10:40:42	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4b1e75…
09-17 01:33:55	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x00953e…
09-16 17:33:21	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x28e40c…
09-16 09:31:39	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x33fa4a…
09-16 00:41:39	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x922652…
09-15 20:51:55	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd34472…
09-15 08:09:27	wti up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x368cfd…
09-14 22:08:58	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x16e485…
09-14 13:40:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe6b57a…
09-14 05:39:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3171d5…
09-13 21:36:42	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdb00e7…
09-11 07:19:40	will meta reach 660 by september 7 2026 from september 10	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2fd186…
09-10 23:15:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8476a7…
09-10 15:14:24	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6cb762…
09-10 04:48:00	spx up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x664906…
09-09 13:13:21	Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6cdf00…
09-09 11:45:24	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd10c08…
09-09 05:53:54	spy up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x33962a…
09-08 14:01:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x88caa9…
09-08 00:51:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xea3091…
09-07 15:59:33	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6105a8…
09-02 17:34:48	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3ad906…
09-02 07:10:24	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3088cc…
09-01 09:16:18	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x43b7cd…
08-30 12:51:51	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x271281…
08-29 14:25:49	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x02683a…
08-29 13:47:37	will nvda dip to 216 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x37f6e0…
08-26 16:02:13	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8aa41f…
08-26 08:01:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x76c5d6…
08-25 21:34:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4502c9…
08-25 05:08:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf15d2e…
08-24 21:04:25	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5a76eb…
08-24 10:21:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbae38c…
08-24 02:21:12	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8cabce…
08-23 09:16:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcc19e3…
08-22 23:36:16	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x738e93…