Considerate-Sole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$147

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-29 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% — —

Other

35% — —

Crypto

17% 100% +$0

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+3	$1	40¢	$1	+$0	06-29 20:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+0	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	06-26 17:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$26	28	28	+0	open	—	05-27 23:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	26	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	06-01 12:31
penguin listed on binance by march 31	2	$9	40	0	+40	open	—	01-29 20:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	33	33	+0	open	—	05-24 02:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$8	15	16	-1	open	—	05-26 14:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$5	3	4	-1	open	—	05-26 01:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 17:01
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-25 03:17
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	4	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	06-08 15:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-26 21:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$3	17	17	+0	open	—	06-26 17:55
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 15:44
will alexander zverev win the 2026 australian open	2	$2	32	32	+0	open	—	01-27 05:11
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-19 15:25
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 00:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-20 21:37
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	01-18 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 14:36
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 01:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 16:22
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	05-24 00:02
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-24 02:05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$2	2	1	+1	open	—	01-30 03:40
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	06-29 17:26
will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens australian open	2	$2	2	1	+1	open	—	01-29 20:24
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	06-18 05:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	06-23 01:03
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	2	$2	9	9	+0	open	—	06-25 05:09
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	01-22 16:42
will daniil medvedev win the 2026 australian open	1	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	01-20 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 20:29:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x261014…
06-29 17:26:17	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x848e52…
06-26 21:26:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xd1353c…
06-26 17:55:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x42b114…
06-26 11:31:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x53671e…
06-25 15:18:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x9585ee…
06-25 13:15:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe20c9c…
06-25 05:09:26	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x191370…
06-25 03:34:43	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xddfe26…
06-25 03:34:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb0bdfb…
06-25 01:13:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x80ae50…
06-23 10:28:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xea250d…
06-23 01:03:35	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x1daa13…
06-22 14:07:49	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8991ae…
06-18 08:12:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2feaf2…
06-18 05:02:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xf3cbec…
06-16 03:26:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcae786…
06-16 03:10:51	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xc996dc…
06-08 15:56:19	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x8293da…
06-08 15:39:00	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcc1a60…
06-08 12:03:07	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x2f0c12…
06-08 11:47:55	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x314293…
06-08 01:07:07	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcb2888…
06-07 22:09:58	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x28161f…
06-01 17:01:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xc5ab89…
06-01 14:09:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xee3ce1…
06-01 12:31:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5a9144…
06-01 07:56:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf70f71…
05-30 16:22:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xec06ce…
05-30 16:22:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xc708a2…
05-29 15:29:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xafdcf7…
05-29 15:13:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x795cc5…
05-29 15:13:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xeb08dd…
05-29 13:36:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc4a9cf…
05-27 23:05:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb17e9b…
05-27 22:28:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8e920b…
05-27 12:56:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x18cb8d…
05-27 12:35:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xc0dcf1…
05-27 12:25:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8103b2…
05-27 12:25:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x449756…
05-27 09:35:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x258170…
05-27 09:24:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9e958f…
05-27 04:19:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x42be05…
05-27 00:52:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x31e6cf…
05-27 00:16:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x00cf74…
05-26 23:35:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x3c86e6…
05-26 22:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x71b4b2…
05-26 22:12:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x30e1ce…
05-26 22:11:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x7c4616…
05-26 14:44:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd0d26d…
05-26 14:32:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xa0158c…
05-26 14:32:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x683e7b…
05-26 01:48:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa05f2e…
05-25 19:22:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa9a578…
05-25 18:09:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb519de…
05-25 03:17:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x1e1c2b…
05-25 03:16:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x54dc6a…
05-25 02:53:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8590e0…
05-25 02:53:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x4cf995…
05-25 02:53:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x422094…
05-25 02:53:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xafbfa7…
05-25 02:53:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4a3f87…
05-25 02:53:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xca1e70…
05-25 02:52:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x724cff…
05-25 02:18:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x131de6…
05-24 20:11:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0929f9…
05-24 17:33:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x65aed0…
05-24 17:33:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb9ae79…
05-24 14:58:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x428804…
05-24 14:18:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1cefd7…
05-24 13:17:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8763ce…
05-24 13:17:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x36ad12…
05-24 11:19:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe30b5a…
05-24 11:19:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc5c522…
05-24 10:23:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf49aab…
05-24 10:23:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0f6937…
05-24 09:36:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x4448a4…
05-24 06:23:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5c4887…
05-24 06:17:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x48f89a…
05-24 06:17:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd44d94…
05-24 05:14:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x593046…
05-24 04:50:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x13205b…
05-24 04:44:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xaf366c…
05-24 04:44:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x183ee8…
05-24 04:35:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x79bfb0…
05-24 04:35:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8893e8…
05-24 04:35:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4dd275…
05-24 04:35:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1f77bd…
05-24 02:05:17	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x08a16e…
05-24 02:05:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc8d74c…
05-24 02:05:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x3e1687…
05-24 02:05:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x782401…
05-24 02:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xdf590f…
05-24 02:05:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	22¢	$7	0x447c3b…
05-24 00:02:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x6725bb…
05-23 23:46:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9d167c…
05-23 23:46:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb1f721…
05-23 23:45:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x939a9c…
05-23 23:45:54	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x635a44…
05-23 23:45:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdc957e…