Old-Fashioned-Gig — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

2,534 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$3.68K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-02 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 63% -$20

Other

25% 53% -$5

Sports

6% 43% -$4

Politics

4% 33% -$14

Tech

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 461 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	10	$50	213	213	+0	No	-$3	04-18 17:40
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	22	$33	33	31	+2	Cabo Verde	-$1	06-13 20:10
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan	12	$16	9	9	+0	Katerina Siniakova	+$0	06-15 12:31
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	9	$13	13	12	+2	Germany	+$1	06-14 16:36
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	7	$12	16	16	+0	Portugal	+$0	06-22 23:26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	9	$10	204	204	+0	No	-$1	04-15 18:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	9	$10	12	11	+1	Yes	+$0	06-14 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	4	$10	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	11-02 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$10	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	11-02 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$9	24	0	+24	Down	+$3	10-22 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$9	21	0	+21	Down	+$2	11-02 04:18
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	4	$9	14	14	+0	Yes	-$2	09-21 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$8	18	0	+18	Down	-$3	11-02 08:24
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$8	1,670	1,670	+0	No	-$2	05-25 13:52
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$8	33	33	+0	No	-$2	07-19 21:14
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$8	16	0	+16	Down	+$2	11-02 05:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-18 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$8	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	11-02 05:17
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	8	$8	8	8	+0	No	$0	04-14 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$8	16	0	+16	Down	+$3	11-02 05:37
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	8	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	-$1	06-21 01:47
Solana Up or Down on October 18?	6	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	10-18 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$7	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	10-21 07:57
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	2	$7	9	9	+0	No	$0	09-20 14:39
mlb oak sf 2026 06 25	3	$7	5	5	+0	Athletics	+$3	06-25 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$7	14	0	+14	Down	+$1	10-21 02:57
wta bouzkov valento 2026 07 24	6	$6	9	9	+0	Tereza Valentova	+$0	07-24 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	10-26 07:23
ethereum up or down on october 17 2026	5	$6	7	6	+2	Down	+$2	10-17 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-13 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 09:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x94cdc5…
11-02 09:12:24	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x767234…
11-02 09:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x36d391…
11-02 08:51:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x44629e…
11-02 08:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x69d03b…
11-02 08:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd0e475…
11-02 08:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1333b0…
11-02 08:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xd97302…
11-02 08:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa59787…
11-02 08:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x157327…
11-02 07:49:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x451220…
11-02 07:09:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb24578…
11-02 07:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x521547…
11-02 06:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd3356f…
11-02 06:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xa28a98…
11-02 06:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x338100…
11-02 06:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x88bf57…
11-02 06:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4b00e6…
11-02 05:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x98606d…
11-02 05:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7dd4eb…
11-02 05:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xde2876…
11-02 05:37:36	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe3eb9b…
11-02 05:37:36	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x429371…
11-02 05:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbf6e73…
11-02 05:36:55	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x53b879…
11-02 05:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x21f3ca…
11-02 05:26:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x582c3f…
11-02 05:26:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0651bf…
11-02 05:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa014f2…
11-02 05:17:12	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x83824b…
11-02 05:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x36aa67…
11-02 05:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdea3d3…
11-02 05:09:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x952226…
11-02 05:09:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6dc84b…
11-02 04:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x05522e…
11-02 04:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x33d3f0…
11-02 04:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x98766d…
11-02 04:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbb6908…
11-02 04:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7e64cb…
11-02 04:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7262cf…
11-02 04:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0e9601…
11-02 04:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc1cf6a…
11-02 04:24:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc30261…
11-02 04:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb835af…
11-02 04:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcdd59d…
11-02 04:19:07	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdc7134…
11-02 04:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x7449ed…
11-02 04:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x76b9c6…
11-02 04:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5248d8…
11-02 04:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x30a58c…
11-02 04:15:45	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1bb762…
11-02 04:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x46f251…
11-02 04:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9db798…
11-02 04:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2f386e…
11-02 03:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x228f3b…
11-02 03:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x1fe2db…
11-02 03:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xe3e554…
11-02 03:19:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf540b8…
11-02 03:14:15	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xe42aec…
11-02 03:14:10	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x391abc…
11-02 03:08:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3e383b…
11-02 03:07:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe2d547…
11-02 02:57:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3feb34…
11-02 02:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcefd12…
11-02 02:48:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xa26883…
11-02 02:48:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x76c5f1…
11-02 02:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x74f1cb…
11-02 02:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbd4d37…
11-02 02:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x6093a2…
11-02 02:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x75ee7c…
11-02 02:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x2116bf…
11-02 02:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xdcd4f5…
11-02 02:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x46a702…
11-02 02:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1b8dfe…
11-02 02:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x0af828…
11-02 01:58:18	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x7eba0f…
11-02 01:58:13	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3218aa…
11-02 01:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xa5ecdc…
11-02 01:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe881ca…
11-02 01:35:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2fb433…
11-02 01:34:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd289fb…
11-02 00:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x16b2bf…
11-02 00:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x55274d…
11-02 00:42:18	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7554d3…
11-02 00:33:37	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb29c4e…
11-02 00:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x9dc8cc…
11-02 00:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x68e21e…
11-01 23:58:46	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0288ee…
11-01 23:43:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc94d4c…
11-01 22:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc26319…
11-01 22:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x210599…
11-01 22:37:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf8ab94…
11-01 22:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0fdd08…
11-01 21:59:19	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0227a4…
11-01 21:22:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4fe537…
11-01 21:21:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2ea682…
11-01 20:53:16	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x74d2a5…
11-01 20:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x17d748…
11-01 20:13:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfbdfdb…
11-01 20:11:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x4aa2ad…